Will Terrorists Go Nuclear

Author : Brian Michael Jenkins
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 472 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : History
ISBN : STANFORD:36105134418446

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Will Terrorists Go Nuclear? by Brian Michael Jenkins Pdf

"Brian Michael Jenkins goes beyond what the experts know about terrorists' efforts to acquire nuclear weapons, nuclear black markets, "suitcase bombs," and mysterious substances like red mercury to examine how terrorists themselves think about such weapons." "Jenkins notes that terrorists have become increasingly adept at creating an atmosphere of nuclear terror. In fact, al Qaeda may have succeeded in becoming the world's first terrorist nuclear power without possessing a single nuclear weapon. The psychological effects of nuclear terror are fueled by American culture, which churns out novels and movies in which every conceivable horror scenario is played out. Political factions on both the right and the left also view nuclear terrorism as fodder to support their own arguments. In such an atmosphere, it is difficult for the average citizen to separate real from imagined dangers."--BOOK JACKET.

Author : Graham Allison
Publisher : Macmillan
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2004-08-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781429945516

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Nuclear Terrorism by Graham Allison Pdf

A leading strategist opens our eyes to the greatest terrorist threat of all-and how to prevent it before it's too late Americans in the twenty-first century are keenly aware of the many forms of terrorism: hijackings, biological attacks, chemical weapons. But rarely do we allow ourselves to face squarely the deadliest form of terrorism, because it is almost too scary to think about-a terrorist group exploding a nuclear device in an American city. In this urgent call to action, Graham Allison, one of America's leading experts on nuclear weapons and national security, presents the evidence for two provocative, compelling conclusions. First, if policy makers in Washington keep doing what they are currently doing about the threat, a nuclear terrorist attack on America is likely to occur in the next decade. And if one lengthens the time frame, a nuclear strike is inevitable. Second, the surprising and largely unrecognized good news is that nuclear terrorism is, in fact, preventable. In these pages, Allison offers an ambitious but feasible blueprint for eliminating the possibility of nuclear terrorist attacks. The United States once relied on the threat of mutually assured destruction to deter the Soviet Union from launching a nuclear strike. But in today's fragmented world, a new strategy is needed, especially with nuclear material vulnerable to theft or sale through black-market channels. The choice is ours: to grab this beast by the horns or to be impaled on those horns. We do not have the luxury of hoping the problem will go away, and Allison shows why.

Author : Rand Corporation,B.M. Jenkins
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 35 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 1970
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:632867929

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Will Terrorists Go Nuclear? by Rand Corporation,B.M. Jenkins Pdf

Author : Michael Levi
Publisher : Harvard University Press
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2009-06-30
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780674033566

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On Nuclear Terrorism by Michael Levi Pdf

"Nuclear terrorism is such a disturbing prospect that we shy away from its details. Yet as a consequence, we fail to understand how best to defeat it. Michael Levi takes us inside nuclear terrorism and behind the decisions a terrorist leader would be faced with in pursuing a nuclear plot. Along the way, Levi identifies the many obstacles, large and small, that such a terrorist scheme might encounter, allowing him to discover a host of ways that any plan might be foiled. Surveying the broad universe of plots and defenses, this accessible account shows how a wide-ranging defense that integrates the tools of weapon and materials security, law enforcement, intelligence, border controls, diplomacy, and the military can multiply, intensify, and compound the possibility that nuclear terrorists will fail. Levi draws from our long experience with terrorism and cautions us not to focus solely on the most harrowing yet most improbable threats. Nuclear terrorism shares much in common with other terrorist threats--and as a result, he argues, defeating it is impossible unless we put our entire counterterrorism and homeland security house in order. As long as we live in a nuclear age, no defense can completely eliminate nuclear terrorism. But this book reminds us that the right strategy can minimize the risks and shows us how to do it."

Author : Brian Michael Jenkins
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 1977
Category : Atomic industries
ISBN : IND:39000002925506

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The Potential for Nuclear Terrorism by Brian Michael Jenkins Pdf

Author : Robert W. Marrs
Publisher : The Minerva Group, Inc.
Page : 112 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2004-09
Category : History
ISBN : 1410216020

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Nuclear Terrorism by Robert W. Marrs Pdf

Many policymakers and scholars contend that nuclear weapons remain inaccessible to terrorists, and that nuclear means are inconsistent with or disproportionate to their goals. Nevertheless, the historical pattern of nuclear proliferation suggests a trend toward nonstate actor acquisition, a notion supported by recent developments in the black market. Additional evidence suggests that some specific groups have expressed an interest in nuclear weapons. This thesis proposes that there is a terrorist demand for nuclear weapons. Further, its findings suggest that the possibility of terrorist acquisition has grown; and that these nonstate adversaries will enjoy significant advantage over states during nuclear crisis. Terrorists, like states, pursue political objectives and have similar concerns regarding power and security. Lacking state resources, terrorists employ instrumental targeting in pursuit of those objectives, while remaining relatively invulnerable to retaliation. This dynamic will encourage terrorists to acquire and exploit nuclear potential, thereby overturning traditional theories of deterrence. Wishful thinking about nuclear terrorism has discouraged thoughtful analysis of this dilemma. The prospect is sufficiently dire, that a preventive campaign must be launched to stop terrorist acquisition of nuclear capabilities. Policymakers must also prepare for the possible failure of preventive efforts, and search for options that may mitigate nuclear terrorism.

Author : Robin M. Frost
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 89 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2020-10-28
Category : History
ISBN : 9781136624193

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Nuclear Terrorism after 9/11 by Robin M. Frost Pdf

The very mention of nuclear terrorism is enough to rouse strong reactions, and understandably so, because it combines the most terrifying weapons and the most threatening of people in a single phrase. The possibility that terrorists could obtain and use nuclear weapons deserves careful analysis, but discussion has all too often been contaminated with exaggeration, even hysteria. For example, it has been claimed that nuclear terrorism poses an ‘existential threat’ to the United States. This Adelphi Paper develops a more measured analysis of the risk of terrorists detonating a true fission device. The problem is attacked from two perspectives: the considerable, possibly insurmountable, technical challenges involved in obtaining a functional nuclear weapon, whether ‘home-made’ or begged, borrowed or stolen from a state arsenal; and the question of the strategic, political and psychological motivations to ‘go nuclear’. The conclusions are that nuclear terrorism is a less significant threat than is commonly believed, and that, among terrorists, Muslim extremists are not the most likely to use nuclear weapons.

Author : Brecht Volders,Tom Sauer
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 249 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2016-03-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781317395188

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Nuclear Terrorism by Brecht Volders,Tom Sauer Pdf

This volume aims to improve understanding of nuclear security and the prevention of nuclear terrorism. Nuclear terrorism is perceived as one of the most immediate and extreme threats to global security today. While the international community has made important progress in securing fissile material, there are still important steps to be made with nearly 2,000 metric tons of weapons-usable nuclear material spread around the globe. The volume addresses this complex phenomenon through an interdisciplinary approach: legal, criminal, technical, diplomatic, cultural, economic, and political. Despite this cross-disciplinary approach, however, the chapters are all linked by the overarching aim of enhancing knowledge of nuclear security and the prevention of nuclear terrorism. The volume aims to do this by investigating the different types of nuclear terrorism, and subsequently discussing the potential means to prevent these malicious acts. In addition, there is a discussion of the nuclear security regime, in general, and an important examination of both its strengths and weaknesses. In summary, the book aims to extend the societal and political debate about the threat of nuclear terrorism. This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, nuclear governance, terrorism studies, international organizations, and security studies in general.

Author : John Mueller
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2012-04-26
Category : History
ISBN : 9780199837090

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Atomic Obsession by John Mueller Pdf

John Mueller argues how our obsession with nuclear weapons is unsupported by history, scientific fact, or logic. Examining the entire atomic era, Mueller boldly contends that nuclear weapons have had little impact on history.

Author : Charles D. Ferguson,William C. Potter
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 387 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2012-08-21
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781135086398

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The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism by Charles D. Ferguson,William C. Potter Pdf

The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism, a new book from the Center for Nonproliferation Studies, assesses the motivations and capabilities of terrorist organizations to acquire and use nuclear weapons, to fabricate and and detonate crude nuclear explosives, to strike nuclear power plants and other nuclear facilities, and to build and employ radiological weapons or "dirty bombs."

Author : Brian Michael Jenkins,Rand Corporation
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 16 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 1985
Category : Nuclear terrorism
ISBN : STANFORD:36105118937262

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The Likelihood of Nuclear Terrorism by Brian Michael Jenkins,Rand Corporation Pdf

"This paper discusses the likelihood that terrorists will detonate or threaten to detonate a nuclear device. The author considers whether terrorists are technically able to acquire a nuclear device, but finds that the real argument centers around terrorists' motives and goals: their desire to be watched exceeds their desire to kill large numbers of people. The author also finds that terrorists are limited by self-imposed constraints that derive from moral or political considerations: the belief that indiscriminate violence is immoral, the fear of alienating their perceived constituents, and the danger of creating a split within their own group. Circumstances may also erode the constraints: terrorists may become brutalized by long years of struggle; they may feel compelled to escalate their violence to keep the public's attention; and their perceived enemies may be an entire ethnic group. The author concludes that the use of nuclear threats by terrorists is not impossible, but also is not imminent or inevitable."--Rand abstracts.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 1991-06
Category : Antinuclear movement
ISBN : 0941375056

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When the Lights Go Out, and Never Come Back On by Anonim Pdf

Identifies a variety of left and right-wing groups in America which might have a reason to be active terrorists in the future. A viable target for such groups is nuclear power plants.

Author : Brian Michael Jenkins
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 1979
Category : Nuclear energy industries
ISBN : IND:39000002492325

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The Consequences of Nuclear Terrorism by Brian Michael Jenkins Pdf

It is not the primary purpose of this paper to argue the probability of nuclear terrorism, which in the final analysis remains a matter of speculation, but instead to presume that a serious incident of nuclear terrorism has occurred, and then to examine the consequences. Will it significantly alter the political landscape of the world? Will it change attitudes about nuclear arms or nuclear energy? Will it lead to a new international regime of cooperation and control? Will it increase the likelihood of further use of nuclear weapons by States or terrorists?

Author : Louis Rene Beres
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 182 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2019-07-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781000314366

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Terrorism And Global Security by Louis Rene Beres Pdf

The enormous potential for destruction that lies latent in nuclear technology inevitably gives rise to the possibility of nuclear terrorism—the use of nuclear explosives or radioactivity by insurgent groups. Professor Beres considers the factors that might foster such terrorism, the forms it might take, and the probable consequences of each form. He then identifies a coherent strategy of counternuclear terrorism, one that embraces both technological and behavioral measures, that suggests policies for deterrence and situation management on both national and international levels, and that points toward a major refashioning of world order.

Author : International Strategic and Security Studies Programme of the National Institute of Advanced Studies,National Academy of Sciences,Committee on International Security and Arms Control
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 180 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2007-03-27
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780309104999

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Science and Technology to Counter Terrorism by International Strategic and Security Studies Programme of the National Institute of Advanced Studies,National Academy of Sciences,Committee on International Security and Arms Control Pdf

This volume presents the papers and summarizes the discussions of a workshop held in Goa, India, in January 2004, organized by the Indian National Institute of Advanced Science (NIAS) and the U.S. Committee on International Security and Arms Control (CISAC). During the workshop, Indian and U.S. experts examined the terrorist threat faced in both countries and elsewhere in the world, and explored opportunities for the U.S. and India to work together. Bringing together scientists and experts with common scientific and technical backgrounds from different cultures provided a unique opportunity to explore possible means of preventing or mitigating future terrorist attacks.