World Economic Outlook October 2013

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World Economic Outlook, October 2013

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2013 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 657 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2013-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484348833

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World Economic Outlook, October 2013 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses. Chapter 3 explores how output comovements are influenced by policy and financial shocks, growth surprises, and other linkages. Chapter 4 assesses why certain emerging market economies were able to avoid the classical boom-and-bust cycle in the face of volatile capital flows during the global financial crisis.

World Economic Outlook, April 2013

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook April 2013 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 204 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2013-04-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475560589

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World Economic Outlook, April 2013 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global economic prospects have improved again, but the bumpy recovery and skewed macroeconomic policy mix in advanced economies are complicating policymaking in emerging market economies. Chapter 3 examines the prospects for inflation, particularly because inflation was remarkably stable in the wake of the Great Recession and, in fact, has become less responsive to cyclical conditions. Chapter 4 examines whether today’s fast-growing, dynamic low-income countries are likely to maintain their momentum and avoid the reversals that afflicted many such countries in the past.

World Economic Outlook, October 2012

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2012 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 251 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2012-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475562903

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World Economic Outlook, October 2012 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The October 2012 World Economic Outlook (WEO) assesses the prospects for the global recovery in light of such risks as the ongoing euro area crisis and the "fiscal cliff" facing U.S. policymakers. Reducing the risks to the medium-term outlook implies reducing public debt in the major advanced economies, and Chapter 3 explores 100 years of history of dealing with public debt overhangs. In emerging market and developing economies, activity has been slowed by policy tightening in response to capacity constraints, weaker demand from advanced economies, and country-specific factors, but policy improvements have raised these economies' resilience to shocks, an issue explored in depth in Chapter 4.

World Economic Outlook, October 2018

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2018 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 215 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2018-10-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484376799

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World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.

World Economic Outlook, October 2018

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2018 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2019-01-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484382974

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World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.

World Economic Outlook, October 2015

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2015 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2015-10-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513515397

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World Economic Outlook, October 2015 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This issue discusses a number of factors affecting global growth, as well as growth prospects across the world’s main countries and regions. It assesses the ongoing recovery from the global financial crisis in advanced and emerging market economies and evaluates risks, both upside and downside, including those associated with commodity prices, currency fluctuations, and financial market volatility. A special feature examines in detail causes and implications of the recent commodity price downturn; analytical chapters look at the effects of commodity windfalls on potential output and of exchange rate movements on trade.

World Economic Outlook, April 2014

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook April 2014 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 234 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2014-04-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484308349

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World Economic Outlook, April 2014 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014–15, according to the April 2014 WEO, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies. Although downside risks have diminished overall, lower-than-expected inflation poses risks for advanced economies, there is increased financial volatility in emerging market economies, and increases in the cost of capital will likely dampen investment and weigh on growth. Advanced economy policymakers need to avoid a premature withdrawal of monetary accommodation. Emerging market economy policymakers must adopt measures to changing fundamentals, facilitate external adjustment, further monetary policy tightening, and carry out structural reforms. The report includes a chapter that analyzes the causes of worldwide decreases in real interest rates since the 1980s and concludes that global rates can be expected to rise in the medium term, but only moderately. Another chapter examines factors behind the fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth and concludes that strong growth in China played a key role in buffering the effects of the global financial crisis in these economies.

World Economic Outlook, April 2018

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook April 2018 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2018-04-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484338278

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World Economic Outlook, April 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This report describes the world economic outlook as of April 2018, projecting that advanced economies will continue to expand above their potential growth rates before decelerating, while growth in emerging markets in developing economies will rise before leveling off. It details global prospects and policies, including risks to the forecast, and essential determinants of long-term economic growth: labor force participation in advanced economies, the declining share of manufacturing jobs globally and in advanced economies, and the process through which innovative activity and technological knowledge spread across national borders.

World Economic Outlook, October 2014:

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2014 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2014-10-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498307901

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World Economic Outlook, October 2014: by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The pace of recovery has disappointed in recent years, and downside risks have increased, including from heightened geopolitical tensions. These increased risks make it a priority to raise actual and potential growth. In a number of economies, an increase in public infrastructure investment can also provide support to demand and help boost potential output. And in advanced economies as well as emerging and developing economies there is a general, urgent need for structural reforms to strengthen growth potential or make growth more sustainable. The four individual chapters examine the overall global outlook, the prospects for individual countries and regions, the benefits of increased public infrastructure investment in terms of raising output, and the extent to which global imbalances have narrowed significantly since their peak in 2006.

World Economic Outlook, October 2014

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2014 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 243 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2014-10-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498331555

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World Economic Outlook, October 2014 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The pace of recovery has disappointed in recent years, and downside risks have increased, including from heightened geopolitical tensions. These increased risks make it a priority to raise actual and potential growth. In a number of economies, an increase in public infrastructure investment can also provide support to demand and help boost potential output. And in advanced economies as well as emerging and developing economies there is a general, urgent need for structural reforms to strengthen growth potential or make growth more sustainable. The four individual chapters examine the overall global outlook, the prospects for individual countries and regions, the benefits of increased public infrastructure investment in terms of raising output, and the extent to which global imbalances have narrowed significantly since their peak in 2006.

World Economic Outlook, October 2009

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2009 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 229 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2009-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589068070

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World Economic Outlook, October 2009 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This edition of the World Economic Outlook explores the prospects for growth in the aftermath of the financial crisis. The fragile nature of the recovery will present many challenges. These include the need for continued strong monetary, fiscal, and financial policies, ongoing efforts to restore the financial sector to health, improvements in private demand, and preparation of exit strategies on the fiscal, monetary, and financial fronts. The first of two analytical chapters included in this edition, "Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: What Do We Learn from Booms and Busts?" explores whether there is a role for monetary policy in preventing asset price busts. The second, "Medium-Run Output Evolutions after Crises: A Historical Perspective," explores the effect of large economic shocks on output and its composition, including variations related to initial conditions, the type of shock, and economic policies.

World Economic Outlook, October 2016

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2016 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2016-10-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513599540

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World Economic Outlook, October 2016 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

According to the October 2016 "World Economic Outlook," global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2016 before recovering to 3.4 percent in 2017. The forecast, revised down by 0.1 percentage point for 2016 and 2017 relative to April’s report, reflects a more subdued outlook for advanced economies following the June U.K. vote in favor of leaving the European Union (Brexit) and weaker-than-expected growth in the United States. These developments have put further downward pressure on global interest rates, as monetary policy is now expected to remain accommodative for longer. Although the market reaction to the Brexit shock was reassuringly orderly, the ultimate impact remains very unclear, as the fate of institutional and trade arrangements between the United Kingdom and the European Union is uncertain. Financial market sentiment toward emerging market economies has improved with expectations of lower interest rates in advanced economies, reduced concern about China’s near-term prospects following policy support to growth, and some firming of commodity prices. But prospects differ sharply across countries and regions, with emerging Asia in general and India in particular showing robust growth and sub-Saharan Africa experiencing a sharp slowdown. In advanced economies, a subdued outlook subject to sizable uncertainty and downside risks may fuel further political discontent, with anti-integration policy platforms gaining more traction. Several emerging market and developing economies still face daunting policy challenges in adjusting to weaker commodity prices. These worrisome prospects make the need for a broad-based policy response to raise growth and manage vulnerabilities more urgent than ever.

World Economic Outlook, October 2007

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook October 2007 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 277 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2007-04-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589066885

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World Economic Outlook, October 2007 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The global economy grew strongly in the first half of 2007, although turbulence in financial markets has clouded prospects. While the 2007 forecast has been little affected, the baseline projection for 2008 global growth has been reduced by almost 1⁄2 percentage point relative to the July 2007 World Economic Outlook Update. This would still leave global growth at a solid 43⁄4 percent, supported by generally sound fundamentals and strong momentum in emerging market economies. Risks to the outlook, however, are firmly on the downside, centered around the concern that financial market strains could deepen and trigger a more pronounced global slowdown. Thus, the immediate focus of policymakers is to restore more normal financial market conditions and safeguard the expansion. Additional risks to the outlook include potential inflation pressures, volatile oil markets, and the impact on emerging markets of strong foreign exchange inflows. At the same time, longer-term issues such as population aging, increasing resistance to globalization, and global warming are a source of concern.

World Economic Outlook, April 2016

International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
World Economic Outlook April 2016 Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 230 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2016-04-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498398589

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World Economic Outlook, April 2016 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Major macroeconomic realignments are affecting prospects differentially across the world’s countries and regions. The April 2016 WEO examines the causes and implications of these realignments—including the slowdown and rebalancing in China, a further decline in commodity prices, a related slowdown in investment and trade, and declining capital flows to emerging market and developing economies—which are generating substantial uncertainty and affecting the outlook for the global economy. Additionally, analytical chapters examine the slowdown in capital flows to emerging market economies since their 2010 peak—its main characteristics, how it compares with past slowdowns, the factors that are driving it, and whether exchange rate flexibility has changed the dynamics of the capital inflow cycle—and assess whether product and labor market reforms can improve the economic outlook in advanced economies, looking at the recent evolution and scope for further reform, the channels through which reforms affect economic activity under strong versus weak economic conditions, reforms’ short- to medium-term macroeconomic effects, and sequencing of reforms and coordination with other policies to maximize their potential quantitative economic benefits. A special feature analyzes in depth the energy transition in an era of low fossil fuel prices.

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1

OECD
OECD Economic Outlook Volume 2013 Issue 1 Book PDF

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 297 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2013-06-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789264200920

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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1 by OECD Pdf

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.