World Economic Outlook October 2018

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 215 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2018-10-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484376799

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World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2019-01-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484382974

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World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2018
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1484377192

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World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by Anonim Pdf

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2019-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513516172

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World Economic Outlook, October 2019 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth is forecast at 3.0 percent for 2019, its lowest level since 2008–09 and a 0.3 percentage point downgrade from the April 2019 World Economic Outlook.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2018-10-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484380208

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Growth in the first half of 2018 was softer than in 2017, especially in advanced economies. In contrast, growth remained robust in emerging market economies and broadly in line with expectations. After rising to 6.9 percent in 2017, growth in China continued to be strong into the first half of 2018 but has likely slowed since, given the latest high-frequency indicators, including weakening investment growth. In Japan, after exceeding potential for two years, growth dropped into negative territory in the first quarter of 2018 before rebounding sharply in the second quarter. In India, growth continues to recover steadily after the disruptions related to demonetization and the rollout of the goods and services tax in the last fiscal year.1 And in ASEAN-4 economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand), growth generally lost momentum in the first half of 2018, except in Thailand.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2018-04-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484349731

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World Economic Outlook, April 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This report describes the world economic outlook as of April 2018, projecting that advanced economies will continue to expand above their potential growth rates before decelerating, while growth in emerging markets in developing economies will rise before leveling off. It details global prospects and policies, including risks to the forecast, and essential determinants of long-term economic growth: labor force participation in advanced economies, the declining share of manufacturing jobs globally and in advanced economies, and the process through which innovative activity and technological knowledge spread across national borders.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2018-10-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484375365

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Western Hemisphere Department by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Amid escalating trade tensions, tighter financial conditions, and volatile commodity markets, economic recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean has both moderated and become more uneven.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2015-10-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513515397

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World Economic Outlook, October 2015 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This issue discusses a number of factors affecting global growth, as well as growth prospects across the world’s main countries and regions. It assesses the ongoing recovery from the global financial crisis in advanced and emerging market economies and evaluates risks, both upside and downside, including those associated with commodity prices, currency fluctuations, and financial market volatility. A special feature examines in detail causes and implications of the recent commodity price downturn; analytical chapters look at the effects of commodity windfalls on potential output and of exchange rate movements on trade.

Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 28 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2018-11-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484375402

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Pdf

Economic activity continued to expand in the first half of 2018, albeit at a slower-than-expected pace, mainly in advanced Europe. Domestic demand, supported by stronger employment and wages, remains the main engine of growth. However, the external environment has become less supportive and is expected to soften further in 2019 owing to slowing global demand, trade tensions, and higher energy prices. Tighter financial conditions in vulnerable emerging market economies and maturing business cycles are also weighing on activity. Accordingly, growth is projected to moderate from 2.8 percent in 2017 to 2.3 percent in 2018 and 1.9 percent in 2019. That said, it is expected to remain above potential in most countries in the region.

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 412 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2011-07-18
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9264063471

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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2011 Issue 1 by OECD Pdf

In addition to the usual macroeconomic and country assessments and statistical annex with projection data, this issue of the OECD Economic Outlook also includes special chapters on the persistence of high unemployment and drivers and vulnerabilities associated with international capital flows.

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 69 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2018-10-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484375396

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen. Growth is expected to increase from 2.7 percent in 2017 to 3.1 percent in 2018, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive external environment, including continued steady growth in the global economy, higher commodity prices, and accommodative external financing conditions. Inflation is abating; and fiscal imbalances are being contained in many countries. Over the medium term, and on current policies, growth is expected to accelerate to about 4 percent, too low to create the number of jobs needed to absorb anticipated new entrants into labor markets.

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2018-10-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484378816

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen with higher growth, easing inflation, and stabilizing public debt ratios with some countries improving their fiscal balances. But there are concerns on the quality of the fiscal adjustment and underlying vulnerabilities have yet to be decisively addressed.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 177 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2020-04-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513539744

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World Economic Outlook, April 2020 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The COVID-19 pandemic is inflicting high and rising human costs worldwide, and the necessary protection measures are severely impacting economic activity. As a result of the pandemic, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by –3 percent in 2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis. In a baseline scenario--which assumes that the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020 and containment efforts can be gradually unwound--the global economy is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2021 as economic activity normalizes, helped by policy support. The risks for even more severe outcomes, however, are substantial. Effective policies are essential to forestall the possibility of worse outcomes, and the necessary measures to reduce contagion and protect lives are an important investment in long-term human and economic health. Because the economic fallout is acute in specific sectors, policymakers will need to implement substantial targeted fiscal, monetary, and financial market measures to support affected households and businesses domestically. And internationally, strong multilateral cooperation is essential to overcome the effects of the pandemic, including to help financially constrained countries facing twin health and funding shocks, and for channeling aid to countries with weak health care systems.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 203 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2020-10-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513556053

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World Economic Outlook, October 2020 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The global economy is climbing out from the depths to which it had plummeted during the Great Lockdown in April. But with the COVID-19 pandemic continuing to spread, many countries have slowed reopening and some are reinstating partial lockdowns to protect susceptible populations. While recovery in China has been faster than expected, the global economy’s long ascent back to pre-pandemic levels of activity remains prone to setbacks.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 657 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2013-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484348833

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World Economic Outlook, October 2013 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses. Chapter 3 explores how output comovements are influenced by policy and financial shocks, growth surprises, and other linkages. Chapter 4 assesses why certain emerging market economies were able to avoid the classical boom-and-bust cycle in the face of volatile capital flows during the global financial crisis.