Artificial Intelligence In Forecasting

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Forecasting with Artificial Intelligence

Mohsen Hamoudia,Spyros Makridakis,Evangelos Spiliotis
Forecasting with Artificial Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Mohsen Hamoudia,Spyros Makridakis,Evangelos Spiliotis
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 441 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2023-10-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783031358791

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Forecasting with Artificial Intelligence by Mohsen Hamoudia,Spyros Makridakis,Evangelos Spiliotis Pdf

This book is a comprehensive guide that explores the intersection of artificial intelligence and forecasting, providing the latest insights and trends in this rapidly evolving field. The book contains fourteen chapters covering a wide range of topics, including the concept of AI, its impact on economic decision-making, traditional and machine learning-based forecasting methods, challenges in demand forecasting, global forecasting models, meta-learning and feature-based forecasting, ensembling, deep learning, scalability in industrial and optimization applications, and forecasting performance evaluation. With key illustrations, state-of-the-art implementations, best practices, and notable advances, this book offers practical insights into the theory and practice of AI-based forecasting. This book is a valuable resource for anyone involved in forecasting, including forecasters, statisticians, data scientists, business analysts, or decision-makers.

Business Forecasting

Michael Gilliland,Len Tashman,Udo Sglavo
Business Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Michael Gilliland,Len Tashman,Udo Sglavo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 435 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2021-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119782476

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Business Forecasting by Michael Gilliland,Len Tashman,Udo Sglavo Pdf

Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.

Artificial Intelligence in Forecasting

Sachi Mohanty,Preethi Nanjundan,Tejaswini Kar
Artificial Intelligence in Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Sachi Mohanty,Preethi Nanjundan,Tejaswini Kar
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 365 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2024-07-19
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781040051504

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Artificial Intelligence in Forecasting by Sachi Mohanty,Preethi Nanjundan,Tejaswini Kar Pdf

Forecasting deals with the uncertainty of the future. To be effective, forecasting models should be timely available, accurate, reliable, and compatible with existing database. Accurate projection of the future is of vital importance in supply chain management, inventory control, economic condition, technology, growth trend, social change, political change, business, weather forecasting, stock price prediction, earthquake prediction, etc. AI powered tools and techniques of forecasting play a major role in improving the projection accuracy. The software running AI forecasting models use machine learning to improve accuracy. The software can analyse the past data and can make better prediction about the future trends with higher accuracy and confidence that favours for making proper future planning and decision. In other words, accurate forecasting requires more than just the matching of models to historical data. The book covers the latest techniques used by managers in business today, discover the importance of forecasting and learn how it's accomplished. Readers will also be familiarised with the necessary skills to meet the increased demand for thoughtful and realistic forecasts.

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python

Francesca Lazzeri
Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python Book PDF

Author : Francesca Lazzeri
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2020-12-03
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781119682387

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Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python by Francesca Lazzeri Pdf

Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling. Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon, trend, and seasonality Prepare time series data for modeling Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling.

Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting

Jason Kingdon
Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Jason Kingdon
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 233 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781447109495

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Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting by Jason Kingdon Pdf

A fundamental objective of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the creation of in telligent computer programs. In more modest terms AI is simply con cerned with expanding the repertoire of computer applications into new domains and to new levels of efficiency. The motivation for this effort comes from many sources. At a practical level there is always a demand for achieving things in more efficient ways. Equally, there is the technical challenge of building programs that allow a machine to do something a machine has never done before. Both of these desires are contained within AI and both provide the inspirational force behind its development. In terms of satisfying both of these desires there can be no better example than machine learning. Machines that can learn have an in-built effi ciency. The same software can be applied in many applications and in many circumstances. The machine can adapt its behaviour so as to meet the demands of new, or changing, environments without the need for costly re-programming. In addition, a machine that can learn can be ap plied in new domains with the genuine potential for innovation. In this sense a machine that can learn can be applied in areas where little is known about possible causal relationships, and even in circumstances where causal relationships are judged not to exist. This last aspect is of major significance when considering machine learning as applied to fi nancial forecasting.

Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting

Jason Kingdon
Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Jason Kingdon
Publisher : Springer
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 1997-04-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSC:32106018580149

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Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting by Jason Kingdon Pdf

This book examines the design of an automated system for financial time series forecasting. It explores the level of automation which can be achieved by a system for modelling a given financial time series with the minimum of human intervention. It aims to help the reader understand the issues involved in setting neural network, or genetic algorithm parameters, and to develop methods to deal with the problems they raise in a practical manner. Intelligent Systems and Financial Forecasting will provide invaluable reading material for academic and industrial researchers (particularly those with an interest in the application of adaptive system technology), information technology consultants applying adaptive system techniques, and graduate/postgraduate students in machine learning, AI, business modelling and finance.

The Economics of Artificial Intelligence

Ajay Agrawal,Joshua Gans,Avi Goldfarb,Catherine Tucker
The Economics of Artificial Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Ajay Agrawal,Joshua Gans,Avi Goldfarb,Catherine Tucker
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2024-03-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226833125

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The Economics of Artificial Intelligence by Ajay Agrawal,Joshua Gans,Avi Goldfarb,Catherine Tucker Pdf

A timely investigation of the potential economic effects, both realized and unrealized, of artificial intelligence within the United States healthcare system. In sweeping conversations about the impact of artificial intelligence on many sectors of the economy, healthcare has received relatively little attention. Yet it seems unlikely that an industry that represents nearly one-fifth of the economy could escape the efficiency and cost-driven disruptions of AI. The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: Health Care Challenges brings together contributions from health economists, physicians, philosophers, and scholars in law, public health, and machine learning to identify the primary barriers to entry of AI in the healthcare sector. Across original papers and in wide-ranging responses, the contributors analyze barriers of four types: incentives, management, data availability, and regulation. They also suggest that AI has the potential to improve outcomes and lower costs. Understanding both the benefits of and barriers to AI adoption is essential for designing policies that will affect the evolution of the healthcare system.

Time Series Forecasting using Deep Learning

Ivan Gridin
Time Series Forecasting using Deep Learning Book PDF

Author : Ivan Gridin
Publisher : BPB Publications
Page : 354 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2021-10-15
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9789391392574

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Time Series Forecasting using Deep Learning by Ivan Gridin Pdf

Explore the infinite possibilities offered by Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks KEY FEATURES ● Covers numerous concepts, techniques, best practices and troubleshooting tips by community experts. ● Includes practical demonstration of robust deep learning prediction models with exciting use-cases. ● Covers the use of the most powerful research toolkit such as Python, PyTorch, and Neural Network Intelligence. DESCRIPTION This book is amid at teaching the readers how to apply the deep learning techniques to the time series forecasting challenges and how to build prediction models using PyTorch. The readers will learn the fundamentals of PyTorch in the early stages of the book. Next, the time series forecasting is covered in greater depth after the programme has been developed. You will try to use machine learning to identify the patterns that can help us forecast the future results. It covers methodologies such as Recurrent Neural Network, Encoder-decoder model, and Temporal Convolutional Network, all of which are state-of-the-art neural network architectures. Furthermore, for good measure, we have also introduced the neural architecture search, which automates searching for an ideal neural network design for a certain task. Finally by the end of the book, readers would be able to solve complex real-world prediction issues by applying the models and strategies learnt throughout the course of the book. This book also offers another great way of mastering deep learning and its various techniques. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN ● Work with the Encoder-Decoder concept and Temporal Convolutional Network mechanics. ● Learn the basics of neural architecture search with Neural Network Intelligence. ● Combine standard statistical analysis methods with deep learning approaches. ● Automate the search for optimal predictive architecture. ● Design your custom neural network architecture for specific tasks. ● Apply predictive models to real-world problems of forecasting stock quotes, weather, and natural processes. WHO THIS BOOK IS FOR This book is written for engineers, data scientists, and stock traders who want to build time series forecasting programs using deep learning. Possessing some familiarity of Python is sufficient, while a basic understanding of machine learning is desirable but not needed. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Time Series Problems and Challenges 2. Deep Learning with PyTorch 3. Time Series as Deep Learning Problem 4. Recurrent Neural Networks 5. Advanced Forecasting Models 6. PyTorch Model Tuning with Neural Network Intelligence 7. Applying Deep Learning to Real-world Forecasting Problems 8. PyTorch Forecasting Package 9. What is Next?

Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk

Richard Berk
Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk Book PDF

Author : Richard Berk
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 115 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2012-04-06
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781461430858

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Criminal Justice Forecasts of Risk by Richard Berk Pdf

Machine learning and nonparametric function estimation procedures can be effectively used in forecasting. One important and current application is used to make forecasts of “future dangerousness" to inform criminal justice decision. Examples include the decision to release an individual on parole, determination of the parole conditions, bail recommendations, and sentencing. Since the 1920s, "risk assessments" of various kinds have been used in parole hearings, but the current availability of large administrative data bases, inexpensive computing power, and developments in statistics and computer science have increased their accuracy and applicability. In this book, these developments are considered with particular emphasis on the statistical and computer science tools, under the rubric of supervised learning, that can dramatically improve these kinds of forecasts in criminal justice settings. The intended audience is researchers in the social sciences and data analysts in criminal justice agencies.

AI-Driven Time Series Forecasting

Raghurami Reddy Etukuru Ph.D.
AI Driven Time Series Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Raghurami Reddy Etukuru Ph.D.
Publisher : iUniverse
Page : 509 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2023-10-06
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781663256737

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AI-Driven Time Series Forecasting by Raghurami Reddy Etukuru Ph.D. Pdf

When you enter the world of time series analysis, you step into a labyrinth of numerical patterns, where each turn you take unveils another layer of complexity. Here, simple mathematical or statistical models struggle to keep pace. Reality is riddled with complex patterns in time series data, which, like cryptic pieces of a jigsaw puzzle, hold the key to unraveling insightful predictions. These complex patterns include non-linearity, non-stationarity, long memory or dependence, asymmetry, and stochasticity. But what creates these intricate patterns? Raghurami Reddy Etukuru, Ph.D., a distinguished and adaptable specialist in data science and artificial intelligence, delves into that question in this groundbreaking book, explaining that the factors are numerous and multifaceted, each adding their own measure of challenge. He doesn't just discuss problems but also addresses the forecasting of time series amidst intricate patterns. Take a deep dive deep into the world of numbers and patterns, so you can unravel complexities and leverage the power of artificial intelligence to enhance predictive capabilities. More than just a theoretical guide, this book is a practical companion in the often-turbulent journey of understanding and predicting complex time series data.

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python

Francesca Lazzeri
Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python Book PDF

Author : Francesca Lazzeri
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2020-12-15
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781119682363

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Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python by Francesca Lazzeri Pdf

Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling. Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon, trend, and seasonality Prepare time series data for modeling Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling.

Prediction Machines

Ajay Agrawal,Joshua Gans,Avi Goldfarb
Prediction Machines Book PDF

Author : Ajay Agrawal,Joshua Gans,Avi Goldfarb
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2018-04-17
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781633695689

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Prediction Machines by Ajay Agrawal,Joshua Gans,Avi Goldfarb Pdf

"What does AI mean for your business? Read this book to find out." -- Hal Varian, Chief Economist, Google Artificial intelligence does the seemingly impossible, magically bringing machines to life--driving cars, trading stocks, and teaching children. But facing the sea change that AI will bring can be paralyzing. How should companies set strategies, governments design policies, and people plan their lives for a world so different from what we know? In the face of such uncertainty, many analysts either cower in fear or predict an impossibly sunny future. But in Prediction Machines, three eminent economists recast the rise of AI as a drop in the cost of prediction. With this single, masterful stroke, they lift the curtain on the AI-is-magic hype and show how basic tools from economics provide clarity about the AI revolution and a basis for action by CEOs, managers, policy makers, investors, and entrepreneurs. When AI is framed as cheap prediction, its extraordinary potential becomes clear: Prediction is at the heart of making decisions under uncertainty. Our businesses and personal lives are riddled with such decisions. Prediction tools increase productivity--operating machines, handling documents, communicating with customers. Uncertainty constrains strategy. Better prediction creates opportunities for new business structures and strategies to compete. Penetrating, fun, and always insightful and practical, Prediction Machines follows its inescapable logic to explain how to navigate the changes on the horizon. The impact of AI will be profound, but the economic framework for understanding it is surprisingly simple.

Short-Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies

Wei-Chiang Hong,Ming-Wei Li,Guo-Feng Fan
Short Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies Book PDF

Author : Wei-Chiang Hong,Ming-Wei Li,Guo-Feng Fan
Publisher : MDPI
Page : 445 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2019-01-29
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9783038975823

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Short-Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies by Wei-Chiang Hong,Ming-Wei Li,Guo-Feng Fan Pdf

This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Short-Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies" that was published in Energies

Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python

Ben Auffarth
Machine Learning for Time Series with Python Book PDF

Author : Ben Auffarth
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 371 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2021-10-29
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781801816106

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Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python by Ben Auffarth Pdf

Get better insights from time-series data and become proficient in model performance analysis Key FeaturesExplore popular and modern machine learning methods including the latest online and deep learning algorithmsLearn to increase the accuracy of your predictions by matching the right model with the right problemMaster time series via real-world case studies on operations management, digital marketing, finance, and healthcareBook Description The Python time-series ecosystem is huge and often quite hard to get a good grasp on, especially for time-series since there are so many new libraries and new models. This book aims to deepen your understanding of time series by providing a comprehensive overview of popular Python time-series packages and help you build better predictive systems. Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python starts by re-introducing the basics of time series and then builds your understanding of traditional autoregressive models as well as modern non-parametric models. By observing practical examples and the theory behind them, you will become confident with loading time-series datasets from any source, deep learning models like recurrent neural networks and causal convolutional network models, and gradient boosting with feature engineering. This book will also guide you in matching the right model to the right problem by explaining the theory behind several useful models. You'll also have a look at real-world case studies covering weather, traffic, biking, and stock market data. By the end of this book, you should feel at home with effectively analyzing and applying machine learning methods to time-series. What you will learnUnderstand the main classes of time series and learn how to detect outliers and patternsChoose the right method to solve time-series problemsCharacterize seasonal and correlation patterns through autocorrelation and statistical techniquesGet to grips with time-series data visualizationUnderstand classical time-series models like ARMA and ARIMAImplement deep learning models, like Gaussian processes, transformers, and state-of-the-art machine learning modelsBecome familiar with many libraries like Prophet, XGboost, and TensorFlowWho this book is for This book is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and Python developers who want instantly useful and practical recipes to implement today, and a comprehensive reference book for tomorrow. Basic knowledge of the Python Programming language is a must, while familiarity with statistics will help you get the most out of this book.

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Söhnke M. Bartram,Jürgen Branke,Mehrshad Motahari
Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management Book PDF

Author : Söhnke M. Bartram,Jürgen Branke,Mehrshad Motahari
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
Page : 95 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2020-08-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781952927034

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Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management by Söhnke M. Bartram,Jürgen Branke,Mehrshad Motahari Pdf

Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.