Download Full eBooks in PDF
Bad News And Good Judgment Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle version is available to download in english. Read online anytime anywhere directly from your device. Click on the download button below to get a free pdf file of Bad News And Good Judgment book. This book definitely worth reading, it is an incredibly well-written.
Author : Jim Pumarlo
Publisher : Marion Street Press, Inc.
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 096651761X
Helps editors of small-town newspapers decide how to report on sensitive issues such as suicides, sexual abuse, and accidents.
Author : Philip E. Tetlock,Dan Gardner
Publisher : Crown
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2015-09-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780804136709
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
Author : Morris L. Venden
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 96 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 1982
Category : Seventh-Day Adventists
ISBN : 081630484X
Author : Stanley Allen Renshon,Deborah Welch Larson
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 362 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2003
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0742510077
At the heart of political leadership lies choice. And at the heart of choice lies judgment. A leader's psychology and experience intersect with political realities to produce consequences that can make or break a leader--or a country. Nowhere is judgment more important than in the making of foreign policy. Good judgments can avoid wars, or win them. Poor judgments can start wars or lose them. This book draws together a distinguished group of contributors--psychologists, political scientists, and policymakers--to focus on and understand both good and poor judgment in foreign policy making. Case studies of key leadership decisions combine with theoretical overviews and analyses to offer a highly textured portrait of judgment in action in the all-important foreign policy arena. An up-to-the-minute case on George W. Bush and the war on terrorism applies good judgment theory to contemporary events.
Author : Michael Yeo,Anne Moorhouse,Pamela Khan,Patricia Rodney
Publisher : Broadview Press
Page : 498 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2020-04-30
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9781460406892
A portion of the revenue from this book’s sales will be donated to Doctors Without Borders to assist the humanitarian work of nurses, doctors, and other health care providers in the fight against COVID-19 and beyond. Concepts and Cases in Nursing Ethics is an introduction to contemporary ethical issues in health care, designed especially for Canadian audiences. The book is organized around six key concepts: beneficence, autonomy, truth-telling, confidentiality, justice, and integrity. Each of these concepts is explained and discussed with reference to professional and legal norms. The discussion is then supplemented by case studies that exemplify the relevant concepts and show how each applies in health care and nursing practice. This new fourth edition includes an added chapter on end-of-life issues, and it is revised throughout to reflect the latest developments on topics such as global health ethics, cultural competence, social media, and palliative sedation, as well as ethical issues relating to COVID-19.
Author : S. Robert Lichter,Richard Noyes
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 1996
Category : History
ISBN : 0847682730
Examines the media's mission to provide 'the truth' about presidential campaigns.
Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2017-08-29
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781400888818
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Author : Cecilia Friend,Don Challenger
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 440 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2013-10-15
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 9781135941345
Contemporary Editing offers journalism students a forward-looking introduction to news editing, providing instruction on traditional newsroom conventions along with a focus on emerging news platforms. This comprehensive text provides students with a strong understanding of everything an editor does, addressing essential copy editing fundamentals such as grammar and style; editorial decision making; photo editing, information graphics, and page design; and new media approaches to storytelling. Throughout, the book focuses on how "the editor’s attitude"—a keen awareness of news values, ethics, and audience—comes into play in all facets of news editing. This new edition offers expanded coverage of web publishing and mobile media, giving students solid editing skills for today’s evolving media and news forums. Features of the Third Edition: -Editing 2.0 boxes discuss the impact of digital technology and social media on editing. -Coverage of grammar problems and a new chapter on working with numbers provide students with a strong grasp of math and grammar, which are the underpinnings for all writing and editing. -An emphasis on editing for brevity prepares students to write and edit clearly and briefly, for print and for the web. -A chapter on the art of headline writing guides students through one of the editor’s most important tasks, and introduces the task of search engine optimization. -Examples of ethics and legal situations show students how issues arise in even the most basic stories, and how to address them. -Online exercises present additional practice for students, without needing to purchase a workbook.
Author : John W Dickie
Publisher : A&C Black
Page : 273 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2014-05-08
Category : Transportation
ISBN : 9781472900685
First modern title to cover the varied and complex world of ship management in the 21st century.
Author : Elaine E. Englehardt,Michael S. Pritchard,Kerry D. Romesburg,Brian Schrag
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 216 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2009-09-18
Category : Education
ISBN : 9789048128419
This book is an invitation to academic administrators, at every level, to engage in reflection on the ethical dimensions of their working lives. Academics are very good at reflecting on the ethical issues in other professions but not so interested in reflecting on those in their own, including those faced by faculty and administrators. Yet it is a topic of great importance. Academic institutions are value-driven; hence virtually every decision made by an academic administrator has an ethical component with implications for students, faculty, the institution, and the broader community. Despite this, they receive little systematic preparation for this aspect of their professional lives when they take up administrative posts, especially when compared to, say, medical or legal training. Surprisingly little has been written about the ethical challenges that academic administrators are likely to face. Most of the literature relating to academic administration focuses on “leadership” and draws heavily on management and social science theory. The importance of focusing on ethical deliberation and decision-making often goes unrecognized.
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Booktango
Page : 214 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2024-05-13
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9781468915150
Author : Colin Price,Sharon Toye
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2017-01-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119147497
Transform your organization into a dynamic catalyst for success Accelerating Performance is not just another “warm and fuzzy” change management book—it's a practical, comprehensive, data-driven action plan for picking up the pace and achieving more. Co-written by one of the authors of Beyond Performance, this book draws on a combination of empirical research and decades of experience advising global companies to show you how to reduce time to value by building and changing momentum more quickly than your competitors. The META framework (short for Mobilize, Execute, and Transform with Agility) offers advice for leading change at four levels: strategy, the organization, teams, and individuals. In addition to step-by-step guidance toward assessment, planning, and implementation, the book offers: A diagnostic tool for leaders, teams, and organizations to assess their starting place, and highlight the specific areas needed to improve the ability to accelerate performance. A detailed look at the factors proven to create drag—and drive—at each of the four levels: strategy, organizations, teams, and individuals. An exploration of the 39 differentiating actions that organizations can combine as dictated by their strategy and context into a winning recipe. A closer look at the practices of 23 “superaccelerators,” a global (and perhaps unexpected) mix of companies that have demonstrated a consistent ability to accelerate performance. A single taste of success is all it takes to spark change, but the hard work of following through requires constant vigilance—and a plan. Learn how to capture that drive, bottle it, and use it to sustain motivation, inspiration, and achievement. Deliver at the highest level, and then turn around and do even better next time. Accelerating Performance gives leaders a step-by-step framework for taking action and transforming their organizations, teams, and even themselves—starting today.
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 744 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 1947
Category : Electronic
ISBN : UIUC:30112088068025
Author : Clive Endive Ogive Iv
Publisher : Dog Ear Publishing
Page : 186 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2010-08
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9781608446827
Murder and Mayhem at Old Bunbury, Clive Endive Ogive IV's eagerly awaited follow-up to his extremely successful and hugely influential Private Clubs in America and around the World, is another VERY clever and perceptive look into the special world of private clubs. In Murder and Mayhem at Old Bunbury, President Clive and waitress-extraordinaire Esther team up to solve a gruesome murder at one of the world's truly great private clubs: the Old Bunbury Golf Links & Reading Club. Along the way Clive and Esther reacquaint you with many wacky old friends and introduce you to some even zanier new ones. Private clubs are inextricably woven into the very fabric of America's history, traditions and culture-and for that matter, those histories, traditions and cultures of ALL free societies around the world-and members, employees and guests alike (well, maybe not guests) will enjoy the author's penetrating insights, off-beat humor, blatant irreverence and sarcastic wit. EVERYONE with a sense of humor (club member or not) will laugh his socks off at this latest Clive tale. Clive Endive Ogive IV belongs to at least eighteen very exclusive private clubs-certainly all the ones that matter. The fact that he has a Roman numeral four after his name and is exclusive heir to a trust fund whose annual interest is sufficient to pay all his annual club dues in perpetuity-and also somehow manages to write all this money off on his taxes as "legitimate business deductions"-is more than enough to qualify him to author multiple groundbreaking and awe-inspiring books about the wonderful world of private clubs. For more information-and to order additional copies for your friends, enemies, fellow club members and fellow club employees-please visit Clive's website at www.CliveEndiveOgiveIV.com. You may also to send your thoughts directly to Clive at [email protected].
Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 1654 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 1973
Category : Finance, Public
ISBN : UCAL:B3556787