Author : Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 115 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 1999-03-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451845167
Determinants of Ex-Ante Banking System Distress by Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo Pdf
This paper empirically analyzes the contribution of microeconomic and macroeconomic factors in five recent episodes of banking system problems in the U.S. Southwest (1986–92), Northeast (1991–92), and California (1992–93); Mexico (1994–95); and Colombia (1982–87). The paper finds that a low capital equity and reserve coverage of problem loans ratio is a leading indicator of bank distress, signaling a high likelihood of near-term failure. Distress is shown to be a function of the same fundamental macro-micro sources of risk that determine bank failures. Focusing on distress has the advantage that the fragility of the banking system can be assessed before a crisis actually occurs.