Decision Economics Complexity Of Decisions And Decisions For Complexity

Author : Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan Manuel Corchado
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 334 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2020-02-07
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783030382278

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Decision Economics: Complexity of Decisions and Decisions for Complexity by Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan Manuel Corchado Pdf

This book is based on the International Conference on Decision Economics (DECON 2019). Highlighting the fact that important decision-making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, psychology, small and international business, management, operations, and production, the book focuses on analytics as an emerging synthesis of sophisticated methodology and large data systems used to guide economic decision-making in an increasingly complex business environment. DECON 2019 was organised by the University of Chieti-Pescara (Italy), the National Chengchi University of Taipei (Taiwan), and the University of Salamanca (Spain), and was held at the Escuela politécnica Superior de Ávila, Spain, from 26th to 28th June, 2019. Sponsored by IEEE Systems Man and Cybernetics Society, Spain Section Chapter, and IEEE Spain Section (Technical Co-Sponsor), IBM, Indra, Viewnext, Global Exchange, AEPIA-and-APPIA, with the funding supporting of the Junta de Castilla y León, Spain (ID: SA267P18-Project co-financed with FEDER funds)

Author : Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan Manuel Corchado
Publisher : Springer
Page : 179 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2018-12-28
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319996981

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Decision Economics. Designs, Models, and Techniques for Boundedly Rational Decisions by Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan Manuel Corchado Pdf

The special session on Decision Economics (DECON) is a scientific forum held annually, which is focused on sharing ideas, projects, research results, models, and experiences associated with the complexity of behavioural decision processes and socio‐economic phenomena. In 2018, DECON was held at Campus Tecnológico de la Fábrica de Armas, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain, as part of the 15th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence. For the third consecutive year, this book have drawn inspiration from Herbert A. Simon’s interdisciplinary legacy and, in particular, is devoted to designs, models, and techniques for boundedly rational decisions, involving several fields of study and expertise. It is worth noting that the recognition of relevant decision‐making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, small and international business management, operations, and production. Therefore, decision‐making issues are of fundamental importance in all branches of economics addressed with different methodological approaches. As a matter of fact, the study of decision‐making has become the focus of intense research efforts, both theoretical and applied, forming a veritable bridge between theory and practice as well as science and business organisations, whose pillars are based on insightful cutting‐edge experimental, behavioural, and computational approaches on the one hand, and celebrating the value of science as well as the close relationship between economics and complexity on the other. In this respect, the international scientific community acknowledges Herbert A. Simon’s research endeavours to understand the processes involved in economic decision‐making and their implications for the advancement of economic professions. Within the field of decision‐making, indeed, Simon has become a mainstay of bounded rationality and satisficing. His rejection of the standard (unrealistic) decision‐making models adopted by neoclassical economists inspired social scientists worldwide with the purpose to develop research programmes aimed at studying decision‐making empirically, experimentally, and computationally. The main achievements concern decision‐making for individuals, firms, markets, governments, institutions, and, last but not least, science and research. This book of selected papers tackles these issues that Simon broached in a professional career spanning more than sixty years. The Editors of this book dedicated it to Herb.

Author : Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan M. Corchado
Publisher : Springer
Page : 143 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2017-06-13
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319608822

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Decision Economics: In the Tradition of Herbert A. Simon's Heritage by Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan M. Corchado Pdf

The special session on Decision Economics (DECON) is a scientific forum held annually and intended to share ideas, projects, research results, models and experiences associated with the complexity of behavioural decision processes and socio‐economic phenomena. DECON 2017 was held at the Polytechnic of Porto, ISEP, Portugal, as part of the 14th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence. For the second consecutive year, the Editors of this book have drawn inspiration from Herbert A. Simon’s immense body of work and argue that Simon precipitated something akin to a revolution in microeconomics focused on the concept of decision‐making. Further, it is worth noting that the recognition of relevant decision‐making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, small and international business management, operations, and production. Therefore, decision‐making issues are of fundamental importance in all branches of economics addressed both deductively and inductively. Not surprisingly, the study of decision‐making has seen growing empirical research efforts in the economic literature over the last sixty years and, more recently, a variety of insightful cutting‐edge experimental, behavioural and computational approaches. Additionally, the awareness regarding generalizations and reductions to express economic concepts has led, on the one hand, to an increasing risk of spreading the language of mathematics as a rhetorical tool and, on the other hand, to an oversimplification and overlooking of some crucial details, especially when it comes to human decisions and, hence, economic behaviour. That awareness, however, has helped to produce an extraordinary volume of empirical research aimed at discovering how economic agents cope with complex decisions. In this sense, the international scientific community acknowledges Herbert A. Simon’s research endeavours to understand the processes involved in economic decision‐making and their implications for the advancement of economic professions. Within the field of decision‐making, indeed, Simon’s rejection of the standard decision‐making models used in neoclassical economics inspired social scientists worldwide to develop research programmes in order to study decision‐making empirically. The main achievements concern decision‐making for individuals, firms, markets, governments, institutions, and, last but not least, science and research.

Author : Marisa Faggini,Concetto Paolo Vinci
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2010-12-28
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9788847017788

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Decision Theory and Choices: a Complexity Approach by Marisa Faggini,Concetto Paolo Vinci Pdf

In economics agents are assumed to choose on the basis of rational calculations aimed at the maximization of their pleasure or profit. Formally, agents are said to manifest transitive and consistent preferences in attempting to maximize their utility in the presence of several constraints. They operate according to the choice imperative: given a set of alternatives, choose the best. This imperative works well in a static and simplistic framework, but it may fail or vary when 'the best' is changing continuously. This approach has been questioned by a descriptive approach that springing from the complexity theory tries to give a scientific basis to the way in which individuals really choose, showing that those models of human nature is routinely falsified by experiments since people are neither selfish nor rational. Thus inductive rules of thumb are usually implemented in order to make decisions in the presence of incomplete and heterogeneous information sets.

Author : Gilbert Probst,Andrea Bassi
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2017-09-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351287623

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Tackling Complexity by Gilbert Probst,Andrea Bassi Pdf

Our socio-economic systems continue to grow and evolve. We need to acknowledge that, consequently, our decisions often fail – they are ineffective and create unexpected side effects. The speed of execution is increasing constantly and markets and systems respond almost immediately, making decision-making challenging. There is little or no room for failure.This important new book analyses real world strategy and policy challenges, addressing the interconnectedness of the markets/systems we live in. It provides a step-by-step approach using systems thinking to solve complex problems in socio-political as well as business environment. It proposes a technique with which to better understand the problems and the context in which they arise, and tools to directly inform each step of the decision-making process. The book explores the main innovation that systemic thinking introduces – the emphasis on defining the problem creating system, which is made up of interacting parts, rather than prioritizing events that need immediate fixing.The case studies, examples and the approach proposed can be used to better understand reality and its complexity, and to integrate stakeholders for a better solution. Practically, it can be used to identify problems, analyse their boundaries, design interventions, forecast and measure their expected impacts, implement them and monitor and evaluate their success/failure. The book touches upon global issues related to policy making and strategic management, as well as issues related to sustainable development for both the public and private sector.

Author : Rudolf Grünig,Richard Kühn
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 246 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2009-09-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783642008542

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Successful Decision-making by Rudolf Grünig,Richard Kühn Pdf

Unlike other publications on decision making, the book focuses on discovering the problem, analyzing it and on developing and assessing solution options. One whole chapter describes a case study. It illustrates how the proposed decision making procedure is used in practice. Executives get an approach to systematically and successfully solving complex problems.

Author : Brian J. Loasby
Publisher : CUP Archive
Page : 266 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 1976-04-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521210658

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Choice, Complexity and Ignorance by Brian J. Loasby Pdf

Author : Pasquale Commendatore,Saime Kayam,Ingrid Kubin
Publisher : Springer
Page : 377 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2015-02-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319128054

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Complexity and Geographical Economics by Pasquale Commendatore,Saime Kayam,Ingrid Kubin Pdf

The uneven geographical distribution of economic activities is a huge challenge worldwide and also for the European Union. In Krugman’s New Economic Geography economic systems have a simple spatial structure. This book shows that more sophisticated models should visualise the EU as an evolving trade network with a specific topology and different aggregation levels. At the highest level, economic geography models give a bird eye’s view of spatial dynamics. At a medium level, institutions shape the economy and the structure of (financial and labour) markets. At the lowest level, individual decisions interact with the economic, social and institutional environment; the focus is on firms’ decision on location and innovation. Such multilevel models exhibit complex dynamic patterns – path dependence, cumulative causation, hysteresis – on a network structure; and specific analytic tools are necessary for studying strategic interaction, heterogeneity and nonlinearities.

Author : Morris Altman
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2020-06-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780128114612

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Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World by Morris Altman Pdf

Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World is a fresh and reality-based perspective on decision-making with significant implications for analysis, self-understanding and policy. The book examines the conditions under which smart people generate outcomes that improve their place of work, their household and society. Within this work, the curious reader will find interesting open questions on many fascinating areas of current economic debate, including, the role of realistic assumptions robust model building, understanding how and when non-neoclassical behavior is best practice, why the assumption of smart decision-makers is best to understand and explain our economies and societies, and under what conditions individuals can make the best possible choices for themselves and society at large. Additional sections cover when and how efficiency is achieved, why inefficiencies can persist, when and how consumer welfare is maximized, and what benchmarks should be used to determine efficiency and rationality. Makes the case for 'smart and rational' decision-making as a context-dependent rational process that is framed by socio-cultural environment and conditioned by institutional capacities Explains how incorporation of the 'smart' decision-maker concept into economic thought improves our understanding of how, why and when people generate certain outcomes Explores how economic efficiency can be achieved, individual preferences realized, and social welfare maximized through the use of 'smart and rational' approaches

Author : Kenneth R. Mount,Stanley Reiter
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 251 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2002-06-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781139433730

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Computation and Complexity in Economic Behavior and Organization by Kenneth R. Mount,Stanley Reiter Pdf

This book presents a model of computing and a measure of computational complexity which are intended to facilitate analysis of computations performed by people, machines, or a mixed system of people and machines. The model is designed to apply directly to models of economic theory, which typically involve continuous variables and smooth functions, without requiring analysis of approximations. The model permits analysis of the feasibility and complexity of the calculations required of economic agents in order for them to arrive at their decisions. The treatment contains applications of the model to game theory and economics, including comparison of the complexities of different solution concepts in certain bargaining games, and the trade-off between communication and computation in an example of an Edgeworth Box economy.

Author : Pierre Massotte,Patrick Corsi
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 293 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2020-01-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119694984

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Complex Decision-Making in Economy and Finance by Pierre Massotte,Patrick Corsi Pdf

Pertinent to modern industry, administration, finance and society, the most pressing issue for firms today is how to reapproach the way we think and work in business. With topics ranging from improving productivity and coaxing economic growth after periods of market inactivity, Complex Decision-Making in Economy and Finance offers pragmatic solutions for dealing with the critical levels of disorder and chaos that have developed throughout the modern age. This book examines how to design complex products and systems, the benefits of collective intelligence and self-organization, and the best methods for handling risks in problematic environments. It also analyzes crises and how to manage them. This book is of benefit to companies and public bodies with regards to saving assets, reviving fortunes and laying the groundwork for robust, sustainable societal dividends. Examples, case studies, practical hints and guidelines illustrate the topics, particularly in finance.

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah,J. Michael Spector,Paal Davidsen
Publisher : Springer
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2007-09-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783540736653

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Complex Decision Making by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah,J. Michael Spector,Paal Davidsen Pdf

Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.

Author : Massimo Salzano,David Colander
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 321 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2007-05-15
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9788847005341

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Complexity Hints for Economic Policy by Massimo Salzano,David Colander Pdf

This book considers the benefits of complexity, suggesting that economists should become a bit less certain in their policy conclusions. A broader range of models would include agent-based models, which use computational power to deal with specification of models that are far beyond analytic solution; and non-linear dynamic stochastic models, many of which are beyond analytic solution, but whose nature can be discovered by a combination of analytics and computer simulations.

Author : Karin Brunsson,Nils Brunsson
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2017-12-29
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9781788110396

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Decisions by Karin Brunsson,Nils Brunsson Pdf

Decisions and the complexity of decision-making are central topics in several social science disciplines, including those of social psychology, political science and the study of organizations. This book draws on insights from all of these disciplines and provides a concise overview of some of the most intriguing and salient observations and arguments in the research about decision-making. The book first deals with basic decision making logics and applies them to both individual and organizational decision making. The book then deals with consequences of decisions and the complications of making decisions in a political context, where many individuals and organizations are involved.

Author : Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan M. Corchado,Javier Parra D.
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 287 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2021-08-16
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783030755836

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Decision Economics: Minds, Machines, and their Society by Edgardo Bucciarelli,Shu-Heng Chen,Juan M. Corchado,Javier Parra D. Pdf

This book is the result of a multi-year research project led and sponsored by the University of Chieti-Pescara, National Chengchi University, University of Salamanca, and Osaka University. It is the fifth volume to emerge from that international project, held under the aegis of the United Nations Academic Impact in 2020. All the essays in this volume were (virtually) discussed at the University of L’Aquila―as the venue of the 2nd International Conference on Decision Economics, a three-day global gathering of approximately one hundred scholars and practitioners—and were subjected to thorough peer review by leading experts in the field. The essays reflect the extent, diversity, and richness of several research areas, both normative and descriptive, and are an invaluable resource for graduate-level and PhD students, academics, researchers, policymakers and other professionals, especially in the social and cognitive sciences. Given its interdisciplinary scope, the book subsequently delivers new approaches on how to contribute to the future of economics, providing alternative explanations for various socio-economic issues such as computable humanities; cognitive, behavioural, and experimental perspectives in economics; data analysis and machine learning as well as research areas at the intersection of computer science, artificial intelligence, mathematics, and statistics; agent-based modelling and the related. The editors are grateful to the scientific committee for its continuous support throughout the research project as well as to the many participants for their insightful comments and always probing questions. In any case, the collaboration involved in the project extends far beyond the group of authors published in this volume and is reflected in the quality of the essays published over the years.