Environmental Modelling And Prediction

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Environmental Modelling and Prediction

Author : Gongbing Peng,Lance M. Leslie,Yaping Shao
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 487 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2013-03-09
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783662048689

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Environmental Modelling and Prediction by Gongbing Peng,Lance M. Leslie,Yaping Shao Pdf

In this book the authors consider the natural environment as an integrated system. The physical, chemical and biological processes that govern the behaviour of the environmental system can thus be understood through mathematical modelling, and their evolution can be studied by means of numerical simulation. The book contains a summary of various efficient approaches in atmospheric prediction, such as numerical weather prediction and statistical forecast of climate change, as well as other successful methods in land surface modelling. The authors explore new theories and methods in environment prediction such as systems analysis and information theory. Attention is given to new achievements in remote sensing tele-metering and geographic information systems.

Environmental Modelling, Software and Decision Support

Author : Anthony J. Jakeman,Alexey A. Voinov,Andrea E. Rizzoli,Serena H. Chen
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 384 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2008-09-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 0080915302

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Environmental Modelling, Software and Decision Support by Anthony J. Jakeman,Alexey A. Voinov,Andrea E. Rizzoli,Serena H. Chen Pdf

The complex and multidisciplinary nature of environmental problems requires that they are dealt with in an integrated manner. Modeling and software have become key instruments used to promote sustainability and improve environmental decision processes, especially through systematic integration of various knowledge and data and their ability to foster learning and help make predictions. This book presents the current state-of-the-art in environmental modeling and software and identifies the future challenges in the field. State-of-the-art in environmental modeling and software theory and practice for integrated assessment and management serves as a starting point for researchers Identifies the areas of research and practice required for advancing the requisite knowledge base and tools, and their wider usage Best practices of environmental modeling enables the reader to select appropriate software and gives the reader tools to integrate natural system dynamics with human dimensions

Environmental Modelling

Author : Keith Beven
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 393 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-03
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781498717977

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Environmental Modelling by Keith Beven Pdf

Uncertainty in the predictions of science when applied to the environment is an issue of great current relevance in relation to the impacts of climate change, protecting against natural and man-made disasters, pollutant transport and sustainable resource management. However, it is often ignored both by scientists and decision makers, or interpreted as a conflict or disagreement between scientists. This is not necessarily the case, the scientists might well agree, but their predictions would still be uncertain and knowledge of that uncertainty might be important in decision making. Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? introduces students, scientists and decision makers to: the different concepts and techniques of uncertainty estimation in environmental prediction the philosophical background to different concepts of uncertainty the constraint of uncertainties by the collection of observations and data assimilation in real-time forecasting techniques for decision making under uncertainty. This book will be relevant to environmental modellers, practitioners and decision makers in hydrology, hydraulics, ecology, meteorology and oceanography, geomorphology, geochemistry, soil science, pollutant transport and climate change. A companion website for the book can be found at www.uncertain-future.org.uk

GIS and Environmental Modeling

Author : Michael F. Goodchild,Louis T. Steyaert,Bradley O. Parks,Carol Johnston,David Maidment,Michael Crane,Sandi Glendinning
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 536 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 1996-09-30
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 0470236779

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GIS and Environmental Modeling by Michael F. Goodchild,Louis T. Steyaert,Bradley O. Parks,Carol Johnston,David Maidment,Michael Crane,Sandi Glendinning Pdf

GIS and Environmental Modeling: Progress and Research Issues Michael F. Goodchild, Louis T. Steyaert, Bradley O. Parks, Carol Johnston, David Maidment, Michael Crane, and Sandi Glendinning, Editors With growing pressure on natural resources and landscapes there is an increasing need to predict the consequences of any changes to the environment. Modelling plays an important role in this by helping our understanding of the environment and by forecasting likely impacts. In recent years moves have been made to link models to Geographical Information Systems to provide a means of analysing changes over an area as well as over time. GIS and Environmental Modeling explores the progress made to date in integrating these two software systems. Approaches to the subject are made from theoretical, technical as well as data stand points. The existing capabilities of current systems are described along with important issues of data availability, accuracy and error. Various case studies illustrate this and highlight the common concepts and issues that exist between researchers in different environmental fields. The future needs and prospects for integrating GIS and environmental models are also explored with developments in both data handling and modelling discussed. The book brings together the knowledge and experience of over 100 researchers from academic, commercial and government backgrounds who work in a wide range of disciplines. The themes followed in the text provide a fund of knowledge and guidance for those involved in environmental modelling and GIS. The book is easily accessible for readers with a basic GIS knowledge and the ideas and results of the research are clearly illustrated with both colour and black and white graphics.

Environmental Foresight and Models

Author : M.B. Beck
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 490 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2002-03-20
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780080531069

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Environmental Foresight and Models by M.B. Beck Pdf

Policy-makers and the public, it has famously been said, are more interested in the possibility of non-linear dislocations and surprises in the behaviour of the environment than in smooth extrapolations of current trends. The International Task Force in Forecasting Environmental Change (1993-1998) dedicated its work to developing procedures of model building capable of addressing our palpable concerns for substantial change in the future. This volume discusses the immense challenges that such structural change presents - that the behaviour of the environment may become radically different from that observed in the past - and investigates the potentially profound implications for model development. Drawing upon case histories from the Great Lakes, acidic atmospheric deposition and, among others, the urban ozone problem, this discourse responds to a new agenda of questions. For example: "What system of 'radar' might we design to detect threats to the environment lying just beyond the 'horizon'?" and "Are the seeds of structural change identifiable within the record of the recent past?" Meticulously researched by leading environmental modellers, this milestone volume engages vigorously with its subject and offers an animated account of how models can begin to take into consideration the significant threats and uncertainties posed by structural change.

Integrated Environmental Modelling to Solve Real World Problems

Author : A.T. Riddick,H. Kessler,J.R.A. Giles
Publisher : Geological Society of London
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2017-01-10
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781862396876

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Integrated Environmental Modelling to Solve Real World Problems by A.T. Riddick,H. Kessler,J.R.A. Giles Pdf

The discipline of Integrated Environmental Modelling (IEM) has developed in order to solve complex environmental problems, for example understanding the impacts of climate change on the physical environment. IEM provides methods to fuse or link models together, this in turn requires facilities to make models discoverable and also to make the outputs of modelling easily visualized. The vision and challenges for IEM going forward are summarized by leading proponents. Several case studies describe the application of model fusion to a range of real-world problems including integrating groundwater and recharge models within the UK Environment Agency, and the development of ‘catastrophe’ models to predict better the impact of natural hazards. Communicating modelling results to end users who are often not specialist modellers is also an emerging area of research addressed within the volume. Also included are papers that highlight current developments of the technology platforms underpinning model fusion.

Environmental Modelling

Author : John Wainwright,Mark Mulligan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 493 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2013-01-22
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781118351482

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Environmental Modelling by John Wainwright,Mark Mulligan Pdf

Simulation models are an established method used to investigate processes and solve practical problems in a wide variety of disciplines. Central to the concept of this second edition is the idea that environmental systems are complex, open systems. The authors present the diversity of approaches to dealing with environmental complexity and then encourage readers to make comparisons between these approaches and between different disciplines. Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity 2nd edition is divided into four main sections: An overview of methods and approaches to modelling. State of the art for modelling environmental processes Tools used and models for management Current and future developments. The second edition evolves from the first by providing additional emphasis and material for those students wishing to specialize in environmental modelling. This edition: Focuses on simplifying complex environmental systems. Reviews current software, tools and techniques for modelling. Gives practical examples from a wide variety of disciplines, e.g. climatology, ecology, hydrology, geomorphology and engineering. Has an associated website containing colour images, links to WWW resources and chapter support pages, including data sets relating to case studies, exercises and model animations. This book is suitable for final year undergraduates and postgraduates in environmental modelling, environmental science, civil engineering and biology who will already be familiar with the subject and are moving on to specialize in the field. It is also designed to appeal to professionals interested in the environmental sciences, including environmental consultants, government employees, civil engineers, geographers, ecologists, meteorologists, and geochemists.

Water Pollution: Modelling, Measuring and Prediction

Author : C.A. Wrobel,C.A. Brebbia
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 720 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789401136945

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Water Pollution: Modelling, Measuring and Prediction by C.A. Wrobel,C.A. Brebbia Pdf

Water Pollution is a subject of growing concern in our industrial world. The environmental problems caused by the increase of pollutant loads dis charged into natural water systems have led the scientific community to pursue studies capable of relating the pollutant discharge with changes in the water quality. The results of these studies are permitting industries to employ more efficient methods of controlling and treating the waste loads, and water authorities to enforce more strict legislation regarding this matter. The present book contains edited versions of the papers presented at the First International Conference on Water Pollution (Modelling, Measuring and Prediction), held in Southampton, England, in September 1991. Its contents, which reflect the interdisciplinarity of the subject, are divided into four parts, each consisting of a keynote address and several invited and contributed papers: 1. Mathematical models (Keynote speaker: Prof. R.A. Falconer, Univer sity of Bradford, USA) 2. Data acquisition/monitoring/measurement (Keynote speaker: Dr. A. Plata Bedmar, IAEA, Austria) 3. Waste disposal and wastewater treatment (Keynote speaker: Prof. D.R.F. Harleman, MIT, USA) 4. Chemical and biological problems (Keynote speaker: Dr. E.I. Hamil ton, Environmental consultant, UK) Although the papers have been typographically edited they have been re produced directly from material submitted by the authors, and their content is a reflection of the authors' research and opinion.

Modelling Change in Environmental Systems

Author : A. J. Jakeman,M. B. Beck,M. J. McAleer,Michael McAleer
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 616 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 1993
Category : Science
ISBN : UCSD:31822020604914

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Modelling Change in Environmental Systems by A. J. Jakeman,M. B. Beck,M. J. McAleer,Michael McAleer Pdf

Foremost multinational contributors discuss the scientific achievements of environmental modelling, evaluate its limits and identify the restrictions these might place on predicting the effects of environmental change. Includes new techniques and approaches that might be successfully applied to environmental problems.

Environmental Modelling

Author : Jo Smith,Pete Smith
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2007-01-18
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780199272068

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Environmental Modelling by Jo Smith,Pete Smith Pdf

The global environment is a complex mix of interlinked processes, about which observation can tell us a great deal. This book shows how modelling can be used to explain experimental observations, and how these observations - and data gathered - can be extrapolated to explain novel situations. It also illustrates how models are actively applied.

Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making

Author : Philippe Baveye,Jaroslav Mysiak,Magdeline Laba
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 405 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2009-05-14
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789048126361

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Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making by Philippe Baveye,Jaroslav Mysiak,Magdeline Laba Pdf

Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.

Spatial Modeling in GIS and R for Earth and Environmental Sciences

Author : Hamid Reza Pourghasemi,Candan Gokceoglu
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 798 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2019-01-18
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780128156957

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Spatial Modeling in GIS and R for Earth and Environmental Sciences by Hamid Reza Pourghasemi,Candan Gokceoglu Pdf

Spatial Modeling in GIS and R for Earth and Environmental Sciences offers an integrated approach to spatial modelling using both GIS and R. Given the importance of Geographical Information Systems and geostatistics across a variety of applications in Earth and Environmental Science, a clear link between GIS and open source software is essential for the study of spatial objects or phenomena that occur in the real world and facilitate problem-solving. Organized into clear sections on applications and using case studies, the book helps researchers to more quickly understand GIS data and formulate more complex conclusions. The book is the first reference to provide methods and applications for combining the use of R and GIS in modeling spatial processes. It is an essential tool for students and researchers in earth and environmental science, especially those looking to better utilize GIS and spatial modeling. Offers a clear, interdisciplinary guide to serve researchers in a variety of fields, including hazards, land surveying, remote sensing, cartography, geophysics, geology, natural resources, environment and geography Provides an overview, methods and case studies for each application Expresses concepts and methods at an appropriate level for both students and new users to learn by example

Fundamentals of Ecological Modelling

Author : S.E. Jorgensen
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 350 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2011-01-10
Category : Science
ISBN : 0444535683

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Fundamentals of Ecological Modelling by S.E. Jorgensen Pdf

Fundamentals of Ecological Modelling: Applications in Environmental Management and Research, Fourth Edition, provides a comprehensive discussion of the fundamental principles of ecological modeling. The first two editions of this book (published in 1986 and 1994) focused on the roots of the discipline the four main model types that dominated the field 30-40 years ago: (1) dynamic biogeochemical models; (2) population dynamic models; (3) ecotoxicological models; and (4) steady-state biogeochemical and energy models. The third edition focused on the mathematical formulations of ecological processes that are included in ecological models. This fourth edition uses the four model types previously listed as the foundation and expands the latest model developments in spatial models, structural dynamic models, and individual-based models. As these seven types of models are very different and require different considerations in the model development phase, a separate chapter is devoted to the development of each of the model types. Throughout the text, the examples given from the literature emphasize the application of models for environmental management and research. Presents the most commonly used model types with a step-by-step outline of the modeling procedure used for each Shows readers through an illustrated example of how to use each model in research and management settings New edition is revised to include only essential theory with a focus on applications Includes case studies, illustrations, and exercises (case study of an ecological problem with full illustration on how to solve the problem)

Fundamentals of Ecological Modelling

Author : S.E. Jorgensen
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 544 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2001-08-14
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780080532103

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Fundamentals of Ecological Modelling by S.E. Jorgensen Pdf

This is a thoroughly revised and updated edition of an authoritative introduction to ecological modelling. Sven Erik Jørgensen, Editor-in-Chief of the journal Ecological Modelling, and Giuseppe Bendoricchio, Professor of Environmental Modelling at the University of Padova, Italy, offer compelling insights into the subject. This volume explains the concepts and processes involved in ecological modelling, presents the latest developments in the field and provides readers with the tools to construct their own models. The Third Edition features: • A detailed discussion and step-by-step outline of the modelling procedure. • An account of different model types including overview tables, examples and illustrations. • A comprehensive presentation of the submodels and unit processes used in modelling. • In-depth descriptions of the latest modelling techniques. • Structured exercises at the end of each chapter. • Three mathematical appendices and a subject index. This practical and proven book very effectively combines the theory, methodology and applications of ecological modelling. The new edition is an essential, up-to-date guide to a rapidly growing field.

Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality

Author : M.B. Beck,G. van Straten
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 382 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783642820540

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Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality by M.B. Beck,G. van Straten Pdf

Since the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis began its study of water quality modeling and management in 1977, it has been interested in the relations between uncertainty and the problems of model calibration and prediction. The work has focused on the theme of modeling poorly defined environmental systems, a principal topic of the effort devoted to environmental quality control and management. Accounting for the effects of uncertainty was also of central concern to our two case studies of lake eutrophication management, one dealing with Lake Balaton in Hungary and the other with several Austrian lake systems. Thus, in November 1979 we held a meeting at Laxenburg to discuss recent method ological developments in addressing problems associated with uncertainty and forecasting of water quality. This book is based on the proceedings of that meeting. The last few years have seen an increase in awareness of the issue of uncertainty in water quality and ecological modeling. This book is relevant not only to contemporary issues but also to those of the future. A lack of field data will not always be the dominant problem for water quality modeling and management; more sophisticated measuring techniques and more comprehensive monitoring networks will come to be more widely applied. Rather, the important problems of the future are much more likely to emerge from the enhanced facility of data processing and to concern the meaningful interpretation, assimilation., and use of the information thus obtained.