Intelligence Analysis And Policy Making

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Intelligence Analysis and Policy Making

Thomas Juneau,Stephanie Carvin
Intelligence Analysis and Policy Making Book PDF

Author : Thomas Juneau,Stephanie Carvin
Publisher : Stanford University Press
Page : 321 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2021-12-07
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781503629714

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Intelligence Analysis and Policy Making by Thomas Juneau,Stephanie Carvin Pdf

Canada is a key member of the world's most important international intelligence-sharing partnership, the Five Eyes, along with the US, the UK, New Zealand, and Australia. Until now, few scholars have looked beyond the US to study how effectively intelligence analysts support policy makers, who rely on timely, forward-thinking insights to shape high-level foreign, national security, and defense policy. Intelligence Analysis and Policy Making provides the first in-depth look at the relationship between intelligence and policy in Canada. Thomas Juneau and Stephanie Carvin, both former analysts in the Canadian national security sector, conducted seventy in-depth interviews with serving and retired policy and intelligence practitioners, at a time when Canada's intelligence community underwent sweeping institutional changes. Juneau and Carvin provide critical recommendations for improving intelligence performance in supporting policy—with implications for other countries that, like Canada, are not superpowers but small or mid-sized countries in need of intelligence that supports their unique interests.

Political Decision-Making and Security Intelligence: Recent Techniques and Technological Developments

Dall'Acqua, Luisa,Gironacci, Irene M.
Political Decision Making and Security Intelligence Recent Techniques and Technological Developments Book PDF

Author : Dall'Acqua, Luisa,Gironacci, Irene M.
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 169 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2019-11-22
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781799815631

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Political Decision-Making and Security Intelligence: Recent Techniques and Technological Developments by Dall'Acqua, Luisa,Gironacci, Irene M. Pdf

The enormous spread of devices gives access to virtual networks and to cyberspace areas where continuous flows of data and information are exchanged, increasing the risk of information warfare, cyber-espionage, cybercrime, and identity hacking. The number of individuals and companies that suffer data breaches has increased vertically with serious reputational and economic damage internationally. Thus, the protection of personal data and intellectual property has become a priority for many governments. Political Decision-Making and Security Intelligence: Recent Techniques and Technological Developments is an essential scholarly publication that aims to explore perspectives and approaches to intelligence analysis and performance and combines theoretical underpinnings with practical relevance in order to sensitize insights into training activities to manage uncertainty and risks in the decision-making process. Featuring a range of topics such as crisis management, policy making, and risk analysis, this book is ideal for managers, analysts, politicians, IT specialists, data scientists, policymakers, government officials, researchers, academicians, professionals, and security experts.

Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

Stig Stenslie,Lars Haugom,Brigt H. Vaage
Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age Book PDF

Author : Stig Stenslie,Lars Haugom,Brigt H. Vaage
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2021-08-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781000426618

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Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age by Stig Stenslie,Lars Haugom,Brigt H. Vaage Pdf

This book examines intelligence analysis in the digital age and demonstrates how intelligence has entered a new era. While intelligence is an ancient activity, the digital age is a relatively new phenomenon. This volume uses the concept of the "digital age" to highlight the increased change, complexity, and pace of information that is now circulated, as new technology has reduced the time it takes to spread news to almost nothing. These factors mean that decision-makers face an increasingly challenging threat environment, which in turn increases the demand for timely, relevant, and reliable intelligence to support policymaking. In this context, the book demonstrates that intelligence places greater demands on analysis work, as the traditional intelligence cycle is no longer adequate as a process description. In the digital age, it is not enough to accumulate as much information as possible to gain a better understanding of the world. To meet customers’ needs, the intelligence process must be centred around the analysis work – which in turn has increased the demand for analysts. Assessments, not least predictions, are now just as important as revealing someone else’s secrets. This volume will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, security studies, and international relations.

Reducing Uncertainty

Thomas Fingar
Reducing Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Thomas Fingar
Publisher : Stanford University Press
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2011-07-20
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780804775946

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Reducing Uncertainty by Thomas Fingar Pdf

This book describes what Intelligence Community (IC) analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output. It is written by a 25-year intelligence professional.

Intelligence Analysis

National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security
Intelligence Analysis Book PDF

Author : National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2011-04-08
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780309176989

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Intelligence Analysis by National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security Pdf

The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities. Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations. Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis.

Cases in Intelligence Analysis

Sarah Miller Beebe,Randolph H. Pherson
Cases in Intelligence Analysis Book PDF

Author : Sarah Miller Beebe,Randolph H. Pherson
Publisher : CQ Press
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2014-04-28
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781483340142

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Cases in Intelligence Analysis by Sarah Miller Beebe,Randolph H. Pherson Pdf

In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.

Intelligence Analysis and Assessment

David Charters,Stuart Farson,Glenn P. Hastedt
Intelligence Analysis and Assessment Book PDF

Author : David Charters,Stuart Farson,Glenn P. Hastedt
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 240 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2013-11-05
Category : History
ISBN : 9781135212452

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Intelligence Analysis and Assessment by David Charters,Stuart Farson,Glenn P. Hastedt Pdf

These essays cover: assessment systems now in place in Britain, the USA, Germany and Australia; the bureaucratic dynamics of analysis and assessment; the changing ground in intelligence; and the impact of new technologies and modes of communication on intelligence gathering and analysis.

Top Secret Canada

Stephanie Carvin,Thomas Juneau,Craig Forcese
Top Secret Canada Book PDF

Author : Stephanie Carvin,Thomas Juneau,Craig Forcese
Publisher : University of Toronto Press
Page : 408 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781487536664

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Top Secret Canada by Stephanie Carvin,Thomas Juneau,Craig Forcese Pdf

National security in the interest of preserving the well-being of a country is arguably the first and most important responsibility of any democratic government. Motivated by some of the pressing questions and concerns of citizens, Top Secret Canada is the first book to offer a comprehensive study of the Canadian intelligence community, its different parts, and how it functions as a whole. In taking up this important task, contributors aim to identify the key players, explain their mandates and functions, and assess their interactions. Top Secret Canada features essays by the country’s foremost experts on law, foreign policy, intelligence, and national security, and will become the go-to resource for those seeking to understand Canada’s intelligence community and the challenges it faces now and in the future.

Analyzing Intelligence

Roger Z. George,James B. Bruce
Analyzing Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Roger Z. George,James B. Bruce
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
Page : 353 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2008-04-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781589012394

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Analyzing Intelligence by Roger Z. George,James B. Bruce Pdf

Drawing on the individual and collective experience of recognized intelligence experts and scholars in the field, Analyzing Intelligence provides the first comprehensive assessment of the state of intelligence analysis since 9/11. Its in-depth and balanced evaluation of more than fifty years of U.S. analysis includes a critique of why it has under-performed at times. It provides insights regarding the enduring obstacles as well as new challenges of analysis in the post-9/11 world, and suggests innovative ideas for improved analytical methods, training, and structured approaches. The book's six sections present a coherent plan for improving analysis. Early chapters examine how intelligence analysis has evolved since its origins in the mid-20th century, focusing on traditions, culture, successes, and failures. The middle sections examine how analysis supports the most senior national security and military policymakers and strategists, and how analysts must deal with the perennial challenges of collection, politicization, analytical bias, knowledge building and denial and deception. The final sections of the book propose new ways to address enduring issues in warning analysis, methodology (or "analytical tradecraft") and emerging analytic issues like homeland defense. The book suggests new forms of analytic collaboration in a global intelligence environment, and imperatives for the development of a new profession of intelligence analysis. Analyzing Intelligence is written for the national security expert who needs to understand the role of intelligence and its strengths and weaknesses. Practicing and future analysts will also find that its attention to the enduring challenges provides useful lessons-learned to guide their own efforts. The innovations section will provoke senior intelligence managers to consider major changes in the way analysis is currently organized and conducted, and the way that analysts are trained and perform.

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Richards J Heuer
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis Book PDF

Author : Richards J Heuer
Publisher : Pickle Partners Publishing
Page : 344 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2020-03-05
Category : History
ISBN : 9781839743054

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Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richards J Heuer Pdf

In this seminal work, published by the C.I.A. itself, produced by Intelligence veteran Richards Heuer discusses three pivotal points. First, human minds are ill-equipped ("poorly wired") to cope effectively with both inherent and induced uncertainty. Second, increased knowledge of our inherent biases tends to be of little assistance to the analyst. And lastly, tools and techniques that apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex problems.

Intelligence and National Security Policymaking on Iraq

James P. Pfiffner,Mark Phythian
Intelligence and National Security Policymaking on Iraq Book PDF

Author : James P. Pfiffner,Mark Phythian
Publisher : Texas A&M University Press
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : History
ISBN : 1603440674

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Intelligence and National Security Policymaking on Iraq by James P. Pfiffner,Mark Phythian Pdf

"Drawing on the unusually extensive official documentation that has emerged through multiple inquiries on both sides of the Atlantic, as well as insider accounts of CIA deliberations, the contributors to this volume offer careful and insightful analyses of the national security decision-making process, the foreign policy roles of the President and Prime Minister, the roles of Congress and Parliament, the management and limits of intelligence, the shaping of public opinion, and the ethics of humanitarian military intervention. The book also discusses the dilemmas faced by Australia, a junior ally in the War on Terror, and their implications for Australian intelligence."--BOOK JACKET.

Future-Oriented Technology Analysis

Cristiano Cagnin,Michael Keenan,Ron Johnston,Fabiana Scapolo,Rémi Barré
Future Oriented Technology Analysis Book PDF

Author : Cristiano Cagnin,Michael Keenan,Ron Johnston,Fabiana Scapolo,Rémi Barré
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 169 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2008-07-29
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783540688112

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Future-Oriented Technology Analysis by Cristiano Cagnin,Michael Keenan,Ron Johnston,Fabiana Scapolo,Rémi Barré Pdf

The application of foresight to address the challenges of uncertainty and rapid change has grown dramatically in the past decade. In that period, the techniques have been greatly refined and the scope has been broadened to encompass future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) and more recently, the concept and practice of strategic intelligence. FTA addresses directly the longer-term future through the active and continuous development of visions, and pathways to realise these visions. It is increasingly seen as a valuable management and policy tool complementing, and extending further into the future, classical strategy, planning, and decision-making approaches. This book charts the development of FTA and provides the first coherent description and analysis of its practical application and impact in the worlds of business, government, education and research in both advanced and developing countries. It draws on papers addressing the application of FTA around the globe which were presented at the Second International Seville Seminar in September 2006. The insights and practical experience will be invaluable for company managers, government ministers and officials, researchers and academics with responsibilities for effective planning and decision-making in an increasingly turbulent and unpredictable world.

Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow

National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security
Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow Book PDF

Author : National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 116 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2011-04-08
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780309163422

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Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow by National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security Pdf

The intelligence community (IC) plays an essential role in the national security of the United States. Decision makers rely on IC analyses and predictions to reduce uncertainty and to provide warnings about everything from international diplomatic relations to overseas conflicts. In today's complex and rapidly changing world, it is more important than ever that analytic products be accurate and timely. Recognizing that need, the IC has been actively seeking ways to improve its performance and expand its capabilities. In 2008, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) asked the National Research Council (NRC) to establish a committee to synthesize and assess evidence from the behavioral and social sciences relevant to analytic methods and their potential application for the U.S. intelligence community. In Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences, the NRC offers the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) recommendations to address many of the IC's challenges. Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow asserts that one of the most important things that the IC can learn from the behavioral and social sciences is how to characterize and evaluate its analytic assumptions, methods, technologies, and management practices. Behavioral and social scientific knowledge can help the IC to understand and improve all phases of the analytic cycle: how to recruit, select, train, and motivate analysts; how to master and deploy the most suitable analytic methods; how to organize the day-to-day work of analysts, as individuals and teams; and how to communicate with its customers. The report makes five broad recommendations which offer practical ways to apply the behavioral and social sciences, which will bring the IC substantial immediate and longer-term benefits with modest costs and minimal disruption.

A Decadal Survey of the Social and Behavioral Sciences

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on a Decadal Survey of Social and Behavioral Sciences for Applications to National Security
A Decadal Survey of the Social and Behavioral Sciences Book PDF

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on a Decadal Survey of Social and Behavioral Sciences for Applications to National Security
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 401 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2019-07-26
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780309487610

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A Decadal Survey of the Social and Behavioral Sciences by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on a Decadal Survey of Social and Behavioral Sciences for Applications to National Security Pdf

The primary function of the intelligence analyst is to make sense of information about the world, but the way analysts do that work will look profoundly different a decade from now. Technological changes will bring both new advances in conducting analysis and new risks related to technologically based activities and communications around the world. Because these changes are virtually inevitable, the Intelligence Community will need to make sustained collaboration with researchers in the social and behavioral sciences (SBS) a key priority if it is to adapt to these changes in the most productive ways. A Decadal Survey Of The Social and Behavioral Sciences provides guidance for a 10-year research agenda. This report identifies key opportunities in SBS research for strengthening intelligence analysis and offers ideas for integrating the knowledge and perspectives of researchers from these fields into the planning and design of efforts to support intelligence analysis.

Researching National Security Intelligence

Stephen Coulthart,Michael Landon-Murray,Damien Van Puyvelde
Researching National Security Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Stephen Coulthart,Michael Landon-Murray,Damien Van Puyvelde
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
Page : 270 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2019-11-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781626167056

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Researching National Security Intelligence by Stephen Coulthart,Michael Landon-Murray,Damien Van Puyvelde Pdf

Researchers in the rapidly growing field of intelligence studies face unique and difficult challenges ranging from finding and accessing data on secret activities, to sorting through the politics of intelligence successes and failures, to making sense of complex socio-organizational or psychological phenomena. The contributing authors to Researching National Security Intelligence survey the state of the field and demonstrate how incorporating multiple disciplines helps to generate high-quality, policy-relevant research. Following this approach, the volume provides a conceptual, empirical, and methodological toolkit for scholars and students informed by many disciplines: history, political science, public administration, psychology, communications, and journalism. This collection of essays written by an international group of scholars and practitioners propels intelligence studies forward by demonstrating its growing depth, by suggesting new pathways to the creation of knowledge, and by identifying how scholarship can enhance practice and accountability.