Intuition In Judgment And Decision Making

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Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making

Henning Plessner,Cornelia Betsch,Tilmann Betsch
Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Henning Plessner,Cornelia Betsch,Tilmann Betsch
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2011-05-20
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781136875229

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Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making by Henning Plessner,Cornelia Betsch,Tilmann Betsch Pdf

The central goal of this volume is to bring the learning perspective into the discussion of intuition in judgment and decision making. The book gathers recent work on intuitive decision making that goes beyond the current dominant heuristic processing perspective. However, that does not mean that the book will strictly oppose this perspective. The unique perspective of this book will help to tie together these different conceptualizations of intuition and develop an integrative approach to the psychological understanding of intuition in judgment and decision making. Accordingly, some of the chapters reflect prior research from the heuristic processing perspective in the new light of the learning perspective. This book provides a representative overview of what we currently know about intuition in judgment and decision making. The authors provide latest theoretical developments, integrative frameworks and state-of-the-art reviews of research in the laboratory and in the field. Moreover, some chapters deal with applied topics. Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making aims not only at the interest of students and researchers of psychology, but also at scholars from neighboring social and behavioral sciences such as economy, sociology, political sciences, and neurosciences.

Judgment Misguided

Jonathan Baron
Judgment Misguided Book PDF

Author : Jonathan Baron
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Policy sciences
ISBN : 9780195111088

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Judgment Misguided by Jonathan Baron Pdf

People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.

Heuristics and Biases

Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman
Heuristics and Biases Book PDF

Author : Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 884 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2002-07-08
Category : Education
ISBN : 0521796792

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Heuristics and Biases by Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman Pdf

This book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Daniel Kahneman
Thinking Fast and Slow Book PDF

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Doubleday Canada
Page : 614 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2011-11-01
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780385676526

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Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman Pdf

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The guru to the gurus at last shares his knowledge with the rest of us. Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman's seminal studies in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, and happiness studies have influenced numerous other authors, including Steven Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman at last offers his own, first book for the general public. It is a lucid and enlightening summary of his life's work. It will change the way you think about thinking. Two systems drive the way we think and make choices, Kahneman explains: System One is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System Two is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. Examining how both systems function within the mind, Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities as well as the biases of fast thinking and the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on our thoughts and our choices. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, he shows where we can trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking, contrasting the two-system view of the mind with the standard model of the rational economic agent. Kahneman's singularly influential work has transformed cognitive psychology and launched the new fields of behavioral economics and happiness studies. In this path-breaking book, Kahneman shows how the mind works, and offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and personal lives--and how we can guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble.

Judgment, Decision-Making, and Embodied Choices

Markus Raab
Judgment Decision Making and Embodied Choices Book PDF

Author : Markus Raab
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 174 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2020-10-14
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780128235607

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Judgment, Decision-Making, and Embodied Choices by Markus Raab Pdf

Judgment, Decision-Making, and Embodied Choices introduces a new concept of embodied choices which take sensorimotor experiences into account when limited time and resources forces a person to make a quick decision. This book combines areas of cognitive psychology and movement science, presenting an integrative approach to understanding human functioning in everyday scenarios. This is the first book focusing on the role of the gut as a second brain, introducing the link to risky behavior. The book's author engages readers by providing real-life experiences and scenarios connecting theory to practice. Discusses the role of gut feelings and the brain-gut behavior connection Demonstrates that behavior influences decision and other people’s perceptions about mood or character Includes research on medical decisions and shopping decisions Illustrates how to train embodied choices

Judgment and Decision Making

Baruch Fischhoff
Judgment and Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Baruch Fischhoff
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 405 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2013-06-17
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781136497339

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Judgment and Decision Making by Baruch Fischhoff Pdf

Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are actually made, and analytical ones, to study how decisions should be made and how consequential imperfections are. This book brings together key publications, selected to represent the major topics and approaches used in the field. Put in one place, with integrating commentary, it shows the common elements in a research program that represents the scope of the field, while offering depth in each. Together, they provide a vision for what has become a burgeoning field.

Judgment and Decision Making

David Hardman
Judgment and Decision Making Book PDF

Author : David Hardman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 246 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2009-02-09
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781405123983

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Judgment and Decision Making by David Hardman Pdf

Judgment and Decision Making is a refreshingly accessible text that explores the wide variety of ways people make judgments. An accessible examination of the wide variety of ways people make judgments Features up-to-date theoretical coverage, including perspectives from evolutionary psychology and neuroscience Covers dynamic decision making, everyday decision making, individual differences, group decision making, and the nature of mind and brain in relation to judgment and decision making Illustrates key concepts with boxed case studies and cartoons

Noise

Daniel Kahneman,Olivier Sibony,Cass R. Sunstein
Noise Book PDF

Author : Daniel Kahneman,Olivier Sibony,Cass R. Sunstein
Publisher : Little, Brown
Page : 429 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2021-05-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780316451383

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Noise by Daniel Kahneman,Olivier Sibony,Cass R. Sunstein Pdf

From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

The Routines of Decision Making

Tilmann Betsch,Susanne Haberstroh
The Routines of Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Tilmann Betsch,Susanne Haberstroh
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 423 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2014-04-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781135622947

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The Routines of Decision Making by Tilmann Betsch,Susanne Haberstroh Pdf

Experience is currently a hot theme in decision making. For a long time, decision research was almost exclusively focused on new decisions and neglected the importance of experience. It took the field until the 1990s for a new direction in research and theorizing to become visible in the literature. There are parallel movements happening in sociology, political science, social psychology, and business. The purpose of this edited book is to provide a balanced and representative overview of what is currently known about the dynamics of experienced-based decision making. The chapters are written by renowned experts in the field and provide the latest theoretical developments, integrative frameworks, and state-of-the-art reviews of research in the laboratory and in the field.

Judgement and Choice

Robin M. Hogarth
Judgement and Choice Book PDF

Author : Robin M. Hogarth
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 1987
Category : Choice (Psychology).
ISBN : MINN:31951000738972H

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Judgement and Choice by Robin M. Hogarth Pdf

This comprehensive work provides many insights as to how decisions are made. Acknowledging the fact that most decisions are made intuitively, the author shows how intuition itself can be studied and educated.

Judgment and Decision Making

Terry Connolly,Hal R. Arkes,Kenneth R. Hammond
Judgment and Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Terry Connolly,Hal R. Arkes,Kenneth R. Hammond
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 814 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Education
ISBN : 0521626021

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Judgment and Decision Making by Terry Connolly,Hal R. Arkes,Kenneth R. Hammond Pdf

This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.

Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making

Derek J. Koehler,Nigel Harvey
Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Derek J. Koehler,Nigel Harvey
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 680 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2008-04-15
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780470752913

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Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by Derek J. Koehler,Nigel Harvey Pdf

The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research

Sandra L. Schneider,James Shanteau
Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research Book PDF

Author : Sandra L. Schneider,James Shanteau
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 740 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2003-06-16
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 052152718X

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Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research by Sandra L. Schneider,James Shanteau Pdf

Table of contents

Foundations for Tracing Intuition

Andreas Glöckner,Cilia Witteman
Foundations for Tracing Intuition Book PDF

Author : Andreas Glöckner,Cilia Witteman
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 446 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2009-12-15
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781135181451

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Foundations for Tracing Intuition by Andreas Glöckner,Cilia Witteman Pdf

The study of intuition and its relation to thoughtful reasoning is a burgeoning research topic in psychology and beyond. While the area has the potential to radically transform our conception of the mind and decision making, the procedures used for establishing empirical conclusions have often been vaguely formulated and obscure. This book fills a gap in the field by providing a range of methods for exploring intuition experimentally and thereby enhancing the collection of new data. The book begins by summarizing current challenges in the study of intuition and gives a new foundation for intuition research. Going beyond classical dual-process models, a new scheme is introduced to classify the different types of processes usually collected under the label of intuition. These new classifications range from learning approaches to complex cue integration models. The book then goes on to describe the wide variety of behavioural methods available to investigate these processes, including information search tracing, think aloud protocols, maximum likelihood methods, eye-tracking, and physiological and non-physiological measures of affective responses. It also discusses paradigms to investigate implicit associations and causal intuitions, video-based approaches to expert research, methods to induce specific decision modes as well as questionnaires to assess individual preferences for intuition or deliberation. By uniquely providing the basis for exploring intuition by introducing the different methods and their applications in a step-by-step manner, this text is an invaluable reference for individual research projects. It is also very useful as a course book for advanced decision making courses, and could inspire experimental explorations of intuition in psychology, behavioural economics, empirical legal studies and clinical decision making.

Judgment and Choice

Robin M. Hogarth
Judgment and Choice Book PDF

Author : Robin M. Hogarth
Publisher : Wiley
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1991-01-08
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 0471914797

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Judgment and Choice by Robin M. Hogarth Pdf

Despite the many formal methods available most decisions are made intuitively?that is, without apparent reasoning and almost instinctively. This revised and updated edition emphasizes the unstructured and natural way people make judgements and exercise choice, which accounts for almost all real decision-making activity, but argues that intuition can be both studied and educated. The book is quite different from standard texts on decision-making methodology and standard decisions theory in that it is written from the point of view of a psychologist who recognizes that almost all decisions are based on anticipations people make about the future (predictive judgements) which lead to choices or decisions largely based on intuition. Written in a clear and non-technical way it deals with the basis of intuitive judgement, demonstrates the limitations on the human ability to make judgements, and suggests the means of overcoming potential shortcomings. At the same time it stresses the importance of learning the limits to one?s judgmental a bility. The purpose of this book is to help people make better decisions. In a world of increasing uncertainty and complexity Judgement and Choice will be of great value to all decision makers?in commerce, government service, medicine or any other professional activity. Contents Preface; The nature of human judgement; Randomness and the probabilistic environment; Combining information for prediction; Combining information for evaluation and choice; Choice under uncertainty; On learning relations; The role of memory in judgement; Creativity, imagination, and choice; Problem structuring and decision aids; Human judgement?an overview; Appendices; Index Reviews of the First Edition ??I believe that Professor Hogarth?s book will prove to be of historical importance in the development of the field of human judgement.? R.M. Corbin, Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 1. 1982. ??Hogarth has given us a clear, integrated treatment of the major issues in the field and has managed to convey both the excitement of the work itself and the direct practical implications of the findings.? Terry Connolly, ASQ, June 1982.