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Author : Geoffrey Hoyt Moore
Publisher : Irwin Professional Publishing
Page : 164 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105038584277
Describes sweeping changes to the Commerce Department's leading economic indicators.
Author : John B. Guerard
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 666 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2022-07-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030994181
In a time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, this book provides empirical guidance to the economy and what to expect in the near and distant future. Beginning with a historic look at major contributions to economic indicators and business cycles starting with Wesley Clair Mitchell (1913) to Burns and Mitchell (1946), to Moore (1961) and Zarnowitz (1992), this book explores time series forecasting and economic cycles, which are currently maintained and enhanced by The Conference Board. Given their highly statistically significant relationship with GDP and the unemployment rate, these relationships are particularly useful for practitioners to help predict business cycles.
Author : Zachary Karabell
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2014-02-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451651256
How did we come by the “leading indicators” we place such stock in? We allocate trillions of dollars and make public policy and personal decisions based upon them, but what do they really tell us? “The leading indicators” shape our lives intimately, but few of us know where these numbers come from, what they mean, or why they rule the world. GDP, inflation, unemployment, trade, and a host of averages determine whether we feel optimistic or pessimistic about the country’s future and our own. They dictate whether businesses hire and invest, or fire and hunker down, whether governments spend trillions or try to reduce debt, whether individuals marry, buy a car, get a mortgage, or look for a job. Zachary Karabell tackles the history and the limitations of each of our leading indicators. The solution is not to invent new indicators, but to become less dependent on a few simple figures and tap into the data revolution. We have unparalleled power to find the information we need, but only if we let go of the outdated indicators that lead and mislead us.
Author : Kajal Lahiri,Geoffrey H. Moore
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 488 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 1991
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0521438586
Developed fifty years ago by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the analytic methods of business cycles and economic indicators enable economists to forecast economic trends by examining the repetitive sequences that occur in business cycles. The methodology has proven to be an inexpensive and useful tool that is now used extensively throughout the world. In recent years, however, significant new developments have emerged in the field of business cycles and economic indicators. This volume contains twenty-two articles by international experts who are working with new and innovative approaches to indicator research. They cover advances in three broad areas of research: the use of new developments in economic theory and time-series analysis to rationalise existing systems of indicators; more appropriate methods to evaluate the forecasting records of leading indicators, particularly of turning point probability; and the development of new indicators.
Author : Ben J. Wattenberg
Publisher : Touchstone
Page : 436 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 1992
Category : History
ISBN : 0029340020
Wattenberg offers many persuasive reasons why America is not only still "number one", but poised on the brink of its most promising decade. The United States has become something never seen before--the first universal nation. At home, the nation is robust and growing, while overseas, America is the preeminent military power and is still economically dynamic and technologicically innotive.
Author : David Glasner
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 800 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2013-12-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781136545276
Experts define, review, and evaluate economic fluctuations Economic and business uncertainty dominate today's economic analyses. This new Encyclopedia illuminates the subject by offering 323 original articles on every major aspect of business cycles, fluctuations, financial crises, recessions, and depressions. The work of more than 200 experts, including many of the leading researchers in the field, the articles cover a broad range of subjects, including capsule biographies of leading economists born before 1920. Individual entries explore banking panics, the cobweb cycle, consumer durables, the depression of 1937-1938, Otto Eckstein, Friedrich Engels, experimental price bubbles, forced savings, lass-Steagall Act, Friedrich hagen, qualitative indicators, use of macro-econometric models, monetary neutrality, Phillips Curve, Paul Samuelson, Say's law, supply-side recessions, James Tokin, trend and random wages, Thorstein Veblen, worker-job turnover, and more.
Author : Kumiharu Shigehara
Publisher : Springer
Page : 409 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 1993-06-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781349128938
Investigates various aspects of inflation - the recent history of inflation as well as potential sources of changes, the technical issues regarding the measurement of inflation, the indicators for future inflation, and the policy implications to achieve and maintain price stability.
Author : Elia Xacapyr
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 200 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2016-09-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781315480671
An overview of the macroeconomic forecasting industry in the United States that explains and evaluates the forecasting techniques used to make predictions about various aspects of the national economy.
Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 613 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2007-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226978925
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
Author : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer,Günter Poser
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 512 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2019-01-04
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780429796678
First published in 1998, this wide-ranging and in-depth volume from specialists in economics and statistics examines leading indicators, the timing of cyclical turning points, firm behaviour, financial indicators, economic policy recommendations, transition economies and the service sector in relation to Finland’s bid for European Monetary Union membership.
Author : M.T. Belongia,Michelle R. Garfinkel
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 209 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789401129565
These proceedings, from a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on October 17-18, 1991, attempted to layout what we currently know about aggregate economic fluctuations. Identifying what we know inevitably reveals what we do not know about such fluctuations as well. From the vantage point of where the conference's participants view our current understanding to be, these proceedings can be seen as suggesting an agenda for further research. The conference was divided into five sections. It began with the formu lation of an empirical definition of the "business cycle" and a recitation of the stylized facts that must be explained by any theory that purports to capture the business cycle's essence. After outlining the historical develop ment and key features of the current "theories" of business cycles, the conference evaluated these theories on the basis of their ability to explain the facts. Included in this evaluation was a discussion of whether (and how) the competing theories could be distinguished empirically. The conference then examined the implications for policy of what is known and not known about business cycles. A panel discussion closed the conference, high lighting important unresolved theoretical and empirical issues that should be taken up in future business cycle research. What Is a Business Cycle? Before gaining a genuine understanding of business cycles, economists must agree and be clear about what they mean when they refer to the cycle.
Author : Edward F. Zigler,Sharon Lynn Kagan,Nancy W. Hall
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 462 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 1996-09-13
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0521589401
Children, Families, and Government: Preparing for the Twenty-first Century analyses the relationship between child development research and the design and implementation of social policy concerning children and families. This book is both timely and enduring; perennially important issues like health care, welfare reform, and drug abuse, are addressed in a context that enables the reader to relate current events to the theories and foundations on which policies are based. It highlights state of the art research and reforms to specify policy areas affecting children and families.
Author : Michael P. Niemira,Philip A. Klein
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 545 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 1994-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780471845447
Gain the knowledge and skills that can help you exploit instability. No book can help you construct foolproof forecasting systems that will ensure you'll accurately predict economic turning points every time. But with Niemira and Klein's Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles on hand, you'll be able to significantly strengthen your ability to measure, monitor, and forecast important fluctuations. Part history, it provides you with essential background material on the characteristics and causes of economic volatility. It offers accessible coverage of the classical business cycle, the five basic types of economic cycles as determined by leading economists, and evolving ideas on the forces driving instability—ranging from simple unicausal theories, more complex Keynesian theory, to new classical macroeconomics. In addition, its concise review of America's economic past highlights the lessons that can be learned from the various cycles experienced since shortly before World War II. Part handbook, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles presents the full spectrum of statistical techniques used to measure cycles, trends, seasonal patterns, and other vital changes, offering you step-by-step guidance on applying a specific method and detailing its uses and limitations. It goes on to show how youcan adapt particular techniques to assess, track, and predict: Industry cycles—including an objective, tailor-made forecasting tool Regional business cycles—including a survey of regional indicators International business cycles—with an international business cycle chronology Inflation cycles—plus "12 little-known facts" about this complex cycle Financial cycles—covering credit, monetary, and interest rate cycles Stock market cycles—with advice on achieving more disciplined trading Based on outstanding scholarship and years of practical experience, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles will serve as an invaluable tool for practitioners like you whose decision-making—and profit margin—depend on accurately assessing today's often uncertain economic climate. "Forecasting Financialand Economic Cycles provides a lively survey of the many ways that cyclical economic activity has been dissected and analyzed. With this book, an astute reader may even be able to anticipate the next cyclical turn." —Samuel D. Kahan, Chief Economist Fuji Securities, Inc. "The definitive book on the most important and enduringfeature of an often mist-bound economic landscape: the business cycle." —Alfred L. Malabre, Jr., Economics Editor, The Wall Street,Journal "Niemira and Klein cover both the theory of economic cyclesand methods for forecasting them. They provide one of the most comprehensive and current reviews of academic studies of economic cycles to be found anywhere." —Anthony F. Herbst, Professor of Finance, The University of Texas at El Paso "This book succeeds as a comprehensive, balanced, and accessible treatment of fluctuations in economic and financial activity. It should prove useful to all those in industry and finance who wish to understand and analyze the trends and changes in the modern dynamic economy." —Victor Zarnowitz, Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance, University of Chicago
Author : Les Ruddock
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 294 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2008-10-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781134051908
Recent decades have seen a major social and economic changes across the developed world and consequent changes in the construction and property industries. The discipline of construction economics needs to respond to this. For instance, the importance of sustainable development has become recognised, as has the need to increasingly master the mediu
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 212 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Health status indicators
ISBN : CHI:71000054
