Learning To Predict Climate Variations Associated With El Nino And The Southern Oscillation

Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Commission on Geosciences, Environment and Resources,Advisory Panel for the Tropical Oceans and Global Atmosphere Program (TOGA Panel)
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 1997-01-12
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309053426

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Learning to Predict Climate Variations Associated with El Nino and the Southern Oscillation by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Commission on Geosciences, Environment and Resources,Advisory Panel for the Tropical Oceans and Global Atmosphere Program (TOGA Panel) Pdf

The TOGA (Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere) Program was designed to study short-term climate variations. A 10-year international program, TOGA made El Nino a household word. This book chronicles the cooperative efforts of oceanographers and meteorologists, several U.S. government agencies, many other nations, and international scientific organizations to study El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It describes the progression from being unable to detect the development of large climate variations to being able to make and use rudimentary climate predictions, especially for some tropical countries. It examines the development of the TOGA Program, evaluates its accomplishments, describes U.S. participation in the program, and makes general recommendations for developing better understanding and predictions of climate variations on seasonal to interannual time scales.

Author : Michael J. McPhaden,Agus Santoso,Wenju Cai
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 528 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2020-11-24
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781119548126

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El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate by Michael J. McPhaden,Agus Santoso,Wenju Cai Pdf

Comprehensive and up-to-date information on Earth’s most dominant year-to-year climate variation The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean has major worldwide social and economic consequences through its global scale effects on atmospheric and oceanic circulation, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and other natural systems. Ongoing climate change is projected to significantly alter ENSO's dynamics and impacts. El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate presents the latest theories, models, and observations, and explores the challenges of forecasting ENSO as the climate continues to change. Volume highlights include: Historical background on ENSO and its societal consequences Review of key El Niño (ENSO warm phase) and La Niña (ENSO cold phase) characteristics Mathematical description of the underlying physical processes that generate ENSO variations Conceptual framework for understanding ENSO changes on decadal and longer time scales, including the response to greenhouse gas forcing ENSO impacts on extreme ocean, weather, and climate events, including tropical cyclones, and how ENSO affects fisheries and the global carbon cycle Advances in modeling, paleo-reconstructions, and operational climate forecasting Future projections of ENSO and its impacts Factors influencing ENSO events, such as inter-basin climate interactions and volcanic eruptions The American Geophysical Union promotes discovery in Earth and space science for the benefit of humanity. Its publications disseminate scientific knowledge and provide resources for researchers, students, and professionals. Find out more about this book from this Q&A with the editors.

Author : Cynthia Rosenzweig,Daniel Hillel
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2008-01-07
Category : Science
ISBN : 0198031475

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Climate Variability and the Global Harvest by Cynthia Rosenzweig,Daniel Hillel Pdf

The Earth's climate is constantly changing. Some of the changes are progressive, while others fluctuate at various time scales. The El Ni?o-la Ni?a cycle is one such fluctuation that recurs every few years and has far-reaching impacts. It generally appears at least once per decade, but this may vary with our changing climate. The exact frequency, sequence, duration and intensity of El Ni?o's manifestations, as well as its effects and geographic distributions, are highly variable. The El Ni?o-la Ni?a cycle is particularly challenging to study due to its many interlinked phenomena that occur in various locations around the globe. These worldwide teleconnections are precisely what makes studying El Ni?o-la Ni?a so important. Cynthia Rosenzweig and Daniel Hillel describe the current efforts to develop and apply a global-to-regional approach to climate-risk management. They explain how atmospheric and social scientists are cooperating with agricultural practitioners in various regions around the world to determine how farmers may benefit most from new climate predictions. Specifically, the emerging ability to predict the El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle offers the potential to transform agricultural planning worldwide. Biophysical scientists are only now beginning to recognize the large-scale, globally distributed impacts of ENSO on the probabilities of seasonal precipitation and temperature regimes. Meanwhile, social scientists have been researching how to disseminate forecasts more effectively within rural communities. Consequently, as the quality of climatic predictions have improved, the dissemination and presentation of forecasts have become more effective as well. This book explores the growing understanding of the interconnectedness of climate predictions and productive agriculture for sustainable development, as well as methods and models used to study this relationship.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 140 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : Climatic changes
ISBN : UCSD:31822031078140

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An Experiment in the Application of Climate Forecasts by Anonim Pdf

Author : Mark Monmonier
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 354 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 1999-04-15
Category : Science
ISBN : 0226534227

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Air Apparent by Mark Monmonier Pdf

Traces the development of the weather map and its ability to make the atmosphere visible and predictable, and examines the interaction and relationship between technology and weather forecasting.

Author : Colleen Vogel,Karen o'Brien
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 205 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2017-11-22
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781351777575

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Coping with Climate Variability by Colleen Vogel,Karen o'Brien Pdf

This title was first published in 2003. Recent food shortages in Southern Africa, induced by rainfall variability but compounded by problems of governance and rising food prices, have resulted in massive relief efforts. A recent scientific innovation - supplying farmers with seasonal climate forecasts - has been touted as a way to increase preparedness for such situations. This book examines how climate forecasts are used by the agricultural community in Southern Africa. Based on a workshop funded by the World Bank, it covers a broad set of issues related to the use of seasonal forecasts, including factors that constrain users' capacities to respond. Case studies presented in the book explore how forecasts can potentially increase production and food security among a population highly dependent on agriculture and vulnerable to climate variability. The book reflects on how the production, delivery and uptake of seasonal forecasts might be improved, as well as the limitations to their usefulness, and it should catalyse future thinking and research in this field.

Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2010-10-08
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309151832

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Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability Pdf

More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.

Author : Zhaohua Wu
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 72 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Climatic changes
ISBN : UCSD:31822030265557

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The Modulated Annual Cycle--an Alternative Reference Frame for Climate Anomalies by Zhaohua Wu Pdf

Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Computer Science and Telecommunications Board,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Board on Earth Sciences and Resources,Committee on Geophysical and Environmental Data,Committee on Partnerships in Weather and Climate Services
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2003-05-14
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309168526

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Fair Weather by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Computer Science and Telecommunications Board,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Board on Earth Sciences and Resources,Committee on Geophysical and Environmental Data,Committee on Partnerships in Weather and Climate Services Pdf

Decades of evolving U.S. policy have led to three sectors providing weather servicesâ€"NOAA (primarily the National Weather Service [NWS]), academic institutions, and private companies. This three-sector system has produced a scope and diversity of weather services in the United States second to none. However, rapid scientific and technological change is changing the capabilities of the sectors and creating occasional friction. Fair Weather: Effective Partnerships in Weather and Climate Services examines the roles of the three sectors in providing weather and climate services, the barriers to interaction among the sectors, and the impact of scientific and technological advances on the weather enterprise. Readers from all three sectors will be interested in the analysis and recommendations provided in Fair Weather.

Author : Thomas D. Potter,Bradley R. Colman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 1030 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2003-08-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780471214908

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Handbook of Weather, Climate, and Water by Thomas D. Potter,Bradley R. Colman Pdf

This comprehensive, two-volume review of the atmospheric and hydrologic sciences promises to be the definitive reference for both professionals and laypersons for years to come. Volume I addresses atmospheric dynamics, physical meteorology, weather systems, and measurements, while Volume II contains information on the climate system, atmospheric chemistry, hydrology, and societal impacts.

Author : National Research Council,Policy and Global Affairs,Policy Division,Committee on Global Change Research
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 29 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2000-02-19
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309073271

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The Science of Regional and Global Change by National Research Council,Policy and Global Affairs,Policy Division,Committee on Global Change Research Pdf

This report is intended to promote a dialogue between the scientific community and the government officials who will lead our nation in the coming years on global change research. The first section of the report is a brief description of the challenges and proposed responses needed from the highest levels of the government and the second provides more detailed discussion and is directed to agency-level issues and responses. The last section is a detailed bibliography that lists many of the specific reports on which the views outlined here are ultimately based.

Author : John H. Steele,Steve A. Thorpe,Karl K. Turekian
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 648 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2009-12-16
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780123785558

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Elements of Physical Oceanography by John H. Steele,Steve A. Thorpe,Karl K. Turekian Pdf

Elements of Physical Oceanography is a derivative of the Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, 2nd Edition and serves as an important reference on current physical oceanography knowledge and expertise in one convenient and accessible source. Its selection of articles—all written by experts in their field—focuses on ocean physics, air-sea transfers, waves, mixing, ice, and the processes of transfer of properties such as heat, salinity, momentum and dissolved gases, within and into the ocean. Elements of Physical Oceanography serves as an ideal reference for topical research. References related articles in physical oceanography to facilitate further research Richly illustrated with figures and tables that aid in understanding key concepts Includes an introductory overview and then explores each topic in detail, making it useful to experts and graduate-level researchers Topical arrangement makes it the perfect desk reference

Author : William K.-M. Lau,Duane E. Waliser
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 437 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2007-06-10
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783540272502

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Intraseasonal Variability in the Atmosphere-Ocean Climate System by William K.-M. Lau,Duane E. Waliser Pdf

This is the first comprehensive review of intra-seasonal variability (ISV); the contents are balanced between observation, theory and modeling. Starting with an overview of ISV and historical observations, the book addresses the coupling between ocean and atmosphere, and the worldwide role of ISV in monsoon variability. Also considered are the connections between oscillations like the Madden, Julian and El Nino/Southern and short-term climate.

Author : National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Environmental Change and Society,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel on the Human Dimensions of Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Variability
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 1999-06-27
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309064750

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Making Climate Forecasts Matter by National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Environmental Change and Society,Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Panel on the Human Dimensions of Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Variability Pdf

El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well. How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedâ€"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting? This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores: Vulnerability of human activities to climate. State of the science of climate forecasting. How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate. How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response. How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.

Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 96 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2001-10-31
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780309183307

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A Climate Services Vision by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate Pdf

A Climate Services Vision: First Steps Toward the Future describes the types of products that should be provided through a climate service; outlines the roles of the public, private, and academic sectors in a climate service; describe fundamental principles that should be followed in the provision of climate services; and describes potential audiences and providers of climate services.