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Risk Theory: A Heavy Tail Approach by Konstantinides Dimitrios George Pdf
This book is written to help graduate students and young researchers to enter quickly into the subject of Risk Theory. It can also be used by actuaries and financial practitioners for the optimization of their decisions and further by regulatory authorities for the stabilization of the insurance industry. The topic of extreme claims is especially presented as a crucial feature of the modern ruin probability.
Risk Theory by Dimitrios George Konstantinides Pdf
Preface -- Classical risk model -- Renewal risk model -- Ruin probability estimation -- Extreme value theory -- Regular variation -- Ruin under subexponentiality -- Random sums -- The single big jump -- Ruin under constant interest force -- Absolute ruin -- Discrete dependence model -- Ruin under dependence -- Multivariate regular variation -- Bibliography -- Index
Advances in Heavy Tailed Risk Modeling by Gareth W. Peters,Pavel V. Shevchenko Pdf
ADVANCES IN HEAVY TAILED RISK MODELING A cutting-edge guide for the theories, applications, and statistical methodologies essential to heavy tailed risk modeling Focusing on the quantitative aspects of heavy tailed loss processes in operational risk and relevant insurance analytics, Advances in Heavy Tailed Risk Modeling: A Handbook of Operational Risk presents comprehensive coverage of the latest research on the theories and applications in risk measurement and modeling techniques. Featuring a unique balance of mathematical and statistical perspectives, the handbook begins by introducing the motivation for heavy tailed risk processes. A companion with Fundamental Aspects of Operational Risk and Insurance Analytics: A Handbook of Operational Risk, the handbook provides a complete framework for all aspects of operational risk management and includes: Clear coverage on advanced topics such as splice loss models, extreme value theory, heavy tailed closed form loss distribution approach models, flexible heavy tailed risk models, risk measures, and higher order asymptotic approximations of risk measures for capital estimation An exploration of the characterization and estimation of risk and insurance modeling, which includes sub-exponential models, alpha-stable models, and tempered alpha stable models An extended discussion of the core concepts of risk measurement and capital estimation as well as the details on numerical approaches to evaluation of heavy tailed loss process model capital estimates Numerous detailed examples of real-world methods and practices of operational risk modeling used by both financial and non-financial institutions Advances in Heavy Tailed Risk Modeling: A Handbook of Operational Risk is an excellent reference for risk management practitioners, quantitative analysts, financial engineers, and risk managers. The handbook is also useful for graduate-level courses on heavy tailed processes, advanced risk management, and actuarial science.
Risk and Insurance by Søren Asmussen,Mogens Steffensen Pdf
This textbook provides a broad overview of the present state of insurance mathematics and some related topics in risk management, financial mathematics and probability. Both non-life and life aspects are covered. The emphasis is on probability and modeling rather than statistics and practical implementation. Aimed at the graduate level, pointing in part to current research topics, it can potentially replace other textbooks on basic non-life insurance mathematics and advanced risk management methods in non-life insurance. Based on chapters selected according to the particular topics in mind, the book may serve as a source for introductory courses to insurance mathematics for non-specialists, advanced courses for actuarial students, or courses on probabilistic aspects of risk. It will also be useful for practitioners and students/researchers in related areas such as finance and statistics who wish to get an overview of the general area of mathematical modeling and analysis in insurance.
The Cramér–Lundberg Model and Its Variants by Michel Mandjes,Onno Boxma Pdf
This book offers a comprehensive examination of the Cramér–Lundberg model, which is the most extensively researched model in ruin theory. It covers the fundamental dynamics of an insurance company's surplus level in great detail, presenting a thorough analysis of the ruin probability and related measures for both the standard model and its variants. Providing a systematic and self-contained approach to evaluate the crucial quantities found in the Cramér–Lundberg model, the book makes use of connections with related queueing models when appropriate, and its emphasis on clean transform-based techniques sets it apart from other works. In addition to consolidating a wealth of existing results, the book also derives several new outcomes using the same methodology. This material is complemented by a thoughtfully chosen collection of exercises. The book's primary target audience is master's and starting PhD students in applied mathematics, operations research, and actuarial science, although it also serves as a useful methodological resource for more advanced researchers. The material is self-contained, requiring only a basic grounding in probability theory and some knowledge of transform techniques.
Handbook Of Heavy-tailed Distributions In Asset Management And Risk Management by Michele Leonardo Bianchi,Stoyan V Stoyanov,Gian Luca Tassinari,Frank J Fabozzi,Sergio Focardi Pdf
The study of heavy-tailed distributions allows researchers to represent phenomena that occasionally exhibit very large deviations from the mean. The dynamics underlying these phenomena is an interesting theoretical subject, but the study of their statistical properties is in itself a very useful endeavor from the point of view of managing assets and controlling risk. In this book, the authors are primarily concerned with the statistical properties of heavy-tailed distributions and with the processes that exhibit jumps. A detailed overview with a Matlab implementation of heavy-tailed models applied in asset management and risk managements is presented. The book is not intended as a theoretical treatise on probability or statistics, but as a tool to understand the main concepts regarding heavy-tailed random variables and processes as applied to real-world applications in finance. Accordingly, the authors review approaches and methodologies whose realization will be useful for developing new methods for forecasting of financial variables where extreme events are not treated as anomalies, but as intrinsic parts of the economic process.
Ruin Probabilities by S?ren Asmussen,Hansjrg Albrecher Pdf
The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramr?Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber?Shiu functions and dependence.
Handbook of Heavy Tailed Distributions in Finance by S.T Rachev Pdf
The Handbooks in Finance are intended to be a definitive source for comprehensive and accessible information in the field of finance. Each individual volume in the series should present an accurate self-contained survey of a sub-field of finance, suitable for use by finance and economics professors and lecturers, professional researchers, graduate students and as a teaching supplement. The goal is to have a broad group of outstanding volumes in various areas of finance. The Handbook of Heavy Tailed Distributions in Finance is the first handbook to be published in this series. This volume presents current research focusing on heavy tailed distributions in finance. The contributions cover methodological issues, i.e., probabilistic, statistical and econometric modelling under non- Gaussian assumptions, as well as the applications of the stable and other non -Gaussian models in finance and risk management.
Modern Actuarial Risk Theory by Rob Kaas,Marc Goovaerts,Jan Dhaene,Michel Denuit Pdf
The book contains important material on topics that are relevant for recent insurance and actuarial developments including determining solvency measures, fair-value computations, reserving, ranking of risks, modelling dependencies and the use of generalized linear models. Numerous exercises and the hints for solving them make the book useful as a textbook. Practical paradigms in insurance are presented in a way that is appealing to actuaries in their daily business.
Statistical Data Fusion by Kedem Benjamin,Oliveira Victor De,Sverchkov Michael Pdf
This book comes up with estimates or decisions based on multiple data sources as opposed to more narrowly defined estimates or decisions based on single data sources. And as the world is awash with data obtained from numerous and varied processes, there is a need for appropriate statistical methods which in general produce improved inference by multiple data sources. The book contains numerous examples useful to practitioners from genomics. Topics range from sensors (radars), to small area estimation of body mass, to the estimation of small tail probabilities, to predictive distributions in time series analysis.
Modelling Extremal Events by Paul Embrechts,Claudia Klüppelberg,Thomas Mikosch Pdf
"A reader's first impression on leafing through this book is of the large number of graphs and diagrams, used to illustrate shapes of distributions...and to show real data examples in various ways. A closer reading reveals a nice mix of theory and applications, with the copious graphical illustrations alluded to. Such a mixture is of course dear to the heart of the applied probabilist/statistician, and should impress even the most ardent theorists." --MATHEMATICAL REVIEWS
Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance by Ibragimov Rustam,Prokhorov Artem Pdf
This book offers a unified approach to the study of crises, large fluctuations, dependence and contagion effects in economics and finance. It covers important topics in statistical modeling and estimation, which combine the notions of copulas and heavy tails — two particularly valuable tools of today's research in economics, finance, econometrics and other fields — in order to provide a new way of thinking about such vital problems as diversification of risk and propagation of crises through financial markets due to contagion phenomena, among others. The aim is to arm today's economists with a toolbox suited for analyzing multivariate data with many outliers and with arbitrary dependence patterns. The methods and topics discussed and used in the book include, in particular, majorization theory, heavy-tailed distributions and copula functions — all applied to study robustness of economic, financial and statistical models, and estimation methods to heavy tails and dependence.
2017 MATRIX Annals by Jan de Gier,Cheryl E. Praeger,Terence Tao Pdf
MATRIX is Australia’s international and residential mathematical research institute. It facilitates new collaborations and mathematical advances through intensive residential research programs, each 1-4 weeks in duration. This book is a scientific record of the eight programs held at MATRIX in its second year, 2017: - Hypergeometric Motives and Calabi–Yau Differential Equations - Computational Inverse Problems - Integrability in Low-Dimensional Quantum Systems - Elliptic Partial Differential Equations of Second Order: Celebrating 40 Years of Gilbarg and Trudinger’s Book - Combinatorics, Statistical Mechanics, and Conformal Field Theory - Mathematics of Risk - Tutte Centenary Retreat - Geometric R-Matrices: from Geometry to Probability The articles are grouped into peer-reviewed contributions and other contributions. The peer-reviewed articles present original results or reviews on a topic related to the MATRIX program; the remaining contributions are predominantly lecture notes or short articles based on talks or activities at MATRIX.