Judgments Decisions And Public Policy

Author : Mothakapalli Venkatappa Rajeev Gowda,Jeffrey C. Fox
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 390 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2002
Category : Education
ISBN : 052166084X

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Judgments, Decisions, and Public Policy by Mothakapalli Venkatappa Rajeev Gowda,Jeffrey C. Fox Pdf

Behavioral decision theory draws on experimental research in cognitive psychology to provide a descriptively accurate model of human behavior. It shows that people systematically violate the normative assumptions of economic rationality by miscalculating probabilities and making choices based on one-economic criteria. Behavioral decision theory s ability to capture the complexity of human judgments and choices makes it a useful foundation for improving public policy analysis, design, and implementation. This volume showcases the research of leading scholars who are working on applications of behavioral decision theory in diverse policy settings. It is designed to give policy analysts and practitioners who are non-psychologists a clearer understanding of the complexities of human judgment and choice, and an idea of how to integrate behavioral decision theoretic insights into the policy sciences. This interdisciplinary volume should be insightful and useful wherever people s judgments and choices matter for policy formulation, acceptance, and effectiveness.

Author : Kenneth R. Hammond
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2019-03-04
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780429727276

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Judgement And Decision by Kenneth R. Hammond Pdf

From various vantage points the authors consider the topic of judgment and decision in policy formation. Richard Lamm, governor of Colorado, describes the problem of utilizing scientific knowledge in the context of political survival. Joseph Coates, assistant to the director, Congressional Office of Technology Assessment, explores the nature of public policy issues. Kenneth Hammond, director of the Center for the Study of Judgment and decision in Policy Formation at the University of Colorado, describes the competence of thought that can he brought to bear on public policy issues. Paul Slovic, Decision Research Inc., addresses the problem of risk assessment in policy formation from the point of view of a cognitive psychologist. Ward Edwards, director, Social Science Research Institute, University of Southern California, describes the general manner in which decision theory may be applied to policy formation. Kenneth Boulding, program director, Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado, provides an overview of judgment and decision in policy formation. Eillel Einhorn, professor of industrial psychology, University of Chicago, shows the consequences of fallible judgment for social policy formation. Kenneth Hammond and Leonard Adelman provide an example of the application of judgment analysis to a public policy issue.

Author : Jonathan Baron
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Policy sciences
ISBN : 9780195111088

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Judgment Misguided by Jonathan Baron Pdf

People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.

Author : Eldar Shafir
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 532 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780691137568

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The Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy by Eldar Shafir Pdf

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Author : Donghun Yoon
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 101 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2021-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781801172684

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Preliminary Feasibility for Public Research & Development Projects by Donghun Yoon Pdf

Preliminary Feasibility for Public Research & Development Projects explains how to evaluate R&D business by exploring the five key features of policy implication, policy improvement, preliminary feasibility study, R&D evaluation, and R&D strategy and will help develop strategic measures for R&D preliminary feasibility studies.

Author : Sanjit Dhami,Cass R. Sunstein
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 553 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2022-07-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780262369657

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Bounded Rationality by Sanjit Dhami,Cass R. Sunstein Pdf

Two leaders in the field explore the foundations of bounded rationality and its effects on choices by individuals, firms, and the government. Bounded rationality recognizes that human behavior departs from the perfect rationality assumed by neoclassical economics. In this book, Sanjit Dhami and Cass R. Sunstein explore the foundations of bounded rationality and consider the implications of this approach for public policy and law, in particular for questions about choice, welfare, and freedom. The authors, both recognized as experts in the field, cover a wide range of empirical findings and assess theoretical work that attempts to explain those findings. Their presentation is comprehensive, coherent, and lucid, with even the most technical material explained accessibly. They not only offer observations and commentary on the existing literature but also explore new insights, ideas, and connections. After examining the traditional neoclassical framework, which they refer to as the Bayesian rationality approach (BRA), and its empirical issues, Dhami and Sunstein offer a detailed account of bounded rationality and how it can be incorporated into the social and behavioral sciences. They also discuss a set of models of heuristics-based choice and the philosophical foundations of behavioral economics. Finally, they examine libertarian paternalism and its strategies of “nudges.”

Author : Edward S. Quade
Publisher : Elsevier Publishing Company
Page : 344 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 1975
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : WISC:89033915802

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Analysis for Public Decisions by Edward S. Quade Pdf

Monograph on the methodology of public policy analysis in the context of government policy decision making in the USA - includes references.

Author : Derek J. Koehler,Nigel Harvey
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 680 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2008-04-15
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780470752913

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Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by Derek J. Koehler,Nigel Harvey Pdf

The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

Author : Max H. Bazerman
Publisher : Wiley
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2001-07-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 047139887X

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Judgment in Managerial Decision Making by Max H. Bazerman Pdf

Author is a leading theorist in negotiation and decision-making.

Author : Sir Geoffrey Vickers
Publisher : New York : Basic Books, Incorporated
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 1965
Category : Decision-making
ISBN : STANFORD:36105033753240

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The Art of Judgment by Sir Geoffrey Vickers Pdf

Author : Baruch Fischhoff
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 405 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2013-06-17
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781136497339

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Judgment and Decision Making by Baruch Fischhoff Pdf

Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are actually made, and analytical ones, to study how decisions should be made and how consequential imperfections are. This book brings together key publications, selected to represent the major topics and approaches used in the field. Put in one place, with integrating commentary, it shows the common elements in a research program that represents the scope of the field, while offering depth in each. Together, they provide a vision for what has become a burgeoning field.

Author : Gideon Keren,George Wu
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 1064 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2015-12-14
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781118912751

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The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by Gideon Keren,George Wu Pdf

A comprehensive, up-to-date examination of the most important theory, concepts, methodological approaches, and applications in the burgeoning field of judgment and decision making (JDM) Emphasizes the growth of JDM applications with chapters devoted to medical decision making, decision making and the law, consumer behavior, and more Addresses controversial topics from multiple perspectives – such as choice from description versus choice from experience – and contrasts between empirical methodologies employed in behavioral economics and psychology Brings together a multi-disciplinary group of contributors from across the social sciences, including psychology, economics, marketing, finance, public policy, sociology, and philosophy 2 Volumes

Author : Emmett Macfarlane
Publisher : UBC Press
Page : 266 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : History
ISBN : 9780774823500

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Governing from the Bench by Emmett Macfarlane Pdf

In Governing from the Bench, Emmett Macfarlane draws on interviews with current and former justices, law clerks, and other staff members of the court to shed light on the institution’s internal environment and decision-making processes. He explores the complex role of the Supreme Court as an institution; exposes the rules, conventions, and norms that shape and constrain its justices’ behavior; and situates the court in its broader governmental and societal context, as it relates to the elected branches of government, the media, and the public.

Author : Daniel Kahneman,Olivier Sibony,Cass R. Sunstein
Publisher : Little, Brown
Page : 429 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2021-05-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780316451383

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Noise by Daniel Kahneman,Olivier Sibony,Cass R. Sunstein Pdf

From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Author : Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 884 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2002-07-08
Category : Education
ISBN : 0521796792

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Heuristics and Biases by Thomas Gilovich,Dale Griffin,Daniel Kahneman Pdf

This book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.