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Mastering Uncertainty by Matt Watkinson,Csaba Konkoly Pdf
What separates the world’s most successful founders, entrepreneurs, and business leaders from the rest? It’s not visionary ideas or superhuman intelligence. It’s something more fundamental: their relationship with uncertainty. Most people are blown off course by unexpected events. Top performers, by contrast, know how to navigate our unpredictable world. Not just that: they know how to thrive in it. You can acquire this essential skill, too. In Mastering Uncertainty, investor and serial entrepreneur Csaba Konkoly and award-winning business author Matt Watkinson reveal the shortcomings of conventional business thinking and the advantages of developing a “probabilistic” mindset that turns uncertainty from a source of fear into an incredible and exciting advantage. They offer superbly practical advice on everything from how to handle setbacks and expand your network, to how to spot business opportunities and shape them into successful, growing businesses. Above all, they show how to think and operate like a great entrepreneur.
Mastering Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering by Peter F. Pelz,Peter Groche,Marc E. Pfetsch,Maximilian Schaeffner Pdf
This open access book reports on innovative methods, technologies and strategies for mastering uncertainty in technical systems. Despite the fact that current research on uncertainty is mainly focusing on uncertainty quantification and analysis, this book gives emphasis to innovative ways to master uncertainty in engineering design, production and product usage alike. It gathers authoritative contributions by more than 30 scientists reporting on years of research in the areas of engineering, applied mathematics and law, thus offering a timely, comprehensive and multidisciplinary account of theories and methods for quantifying data, model and structural uncertainty, and of fundamental strategies for mastering uncertainty. It covers key concepts such as robustness, flexibility and resilience in detail. All the described methods, technologies and strategies have been validated with the help of three technical systems, i.e. the Modular Active Spring-Damper System, the Active Air Spring and the 3D Servo Press, which have been in turn developed and tested during more than ten years of cooperative research. Overall, this book offers a timely, practice-oriented reference guide to graduate students, researchers and professionals dealing with uncertainty in the broad field of mechanical engineering.
Mastering Uncertainty by Matt Watkinson,Csaba Konkoly Pdf
What separates the world’s most successful founders, entrepreneurs, and business leaders from the rest? It’s not visionary ideas or superhuman intelligence. It’s something more fundamental: their relationship with uncertainty. Most people are blown off course by unexpected events. Top performers, by contrast, know how to navigate our unpredictable world. Not just that: they know how to thrive in it. You can acquire this essential skill, too. In Mastering Uncertainty, investor and serial entrepreneur Csaba Konkoly and award-winning business author Matt Watkinson reveal the shortcomings of conventional business thinking and the advantages of developing a “probabilistic” mindset that turns uncertainty from a source of fear into an incredible and exciting advantage. They offer superbly practical advice on everything from how to handle setbacks and expand your network, to how to spot business opportunities and shape them into successful, growing businesses. Above all, they show how to think and operate like a great entrepreneur.
Batten down the hatches; great change is upon us! Excitement and uncertainty, in larger and more frequent doses, will define business and change management from here on out. To successfully navigate these uncertain waters, you and your crew will need to both understand business agility and practice to master its use to survive and thrive in these mounting seas of change. Colossal mega trends combined with a perfect storm of precarious economic, geopolitical and societal circumstances will make the choppy economic seas of the past look calm in comparison. No business will be safe using tools, methods and management styles developed for yesterday's business as usual. The pace of change will be frantic and to cope will require a flexible, more agile state of mind, plus powerful tools to help you remain focused upon what is coming instead of measuring and anal-eyes-ing what has already occurred. Get Agile Now! Here is a book packed with simple, practical tools to prepare you and your crew for the ride of your life! Whether you are running a small or medium enterprise, or grappling with the demands of a super large, multinational concern, being agile in thought, action and result is now a necessity.It is no longer only about making good decisions; it is about mastering powerful tools to implement changes effectively. It's about executing change with decisive and engaging leadership skills; to powerfully communicate with everyone involved to get them on board to quickly create measurable results. Praise for "Mastering Agility" "The message is clear: listen to what's going on with all your senses. Get your business associates and partners to do the same. Pay attention. Get agile...." Bob Waterman, Co-Author; In Search of Excellence, Author; The Renewal Factor, Adhocracy - the Power to Change, What America Does Right "Hans Amell has written a really important book. For a couple of decades now we have seen a lot of volatility. This is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future. This book provides the reader with a sound intellectual framework for how to cope in different volatile situations using agility as a headline for different activities. It also gives a number of more practical advice coming from the vast experience of the author's long life in the corporate sector. It is a book I really recommend for anyone entrusted with leading companies in the next volatile decade...." Leif Johansson; Chairman Ericsson & AstraZeneca "Mastering Agility offers a timely look at some of the global political, economic, technological and social forces rocking today's corporate world and offers plenty of well-crafted advice for not only staying afloat, but sailing ahead. It is a must read for business leaders who want to navigate the sea of changes taking place..." Dr. John W. Graham, Ph.D, Professor of Economics, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey "Terrific opportunities! This book charts a clear course for your C-suite to consider for quickly and easily leading the business through the 'perfect storms' of uncertainty.... " Hans Levenbach, President Delphus Inc. MS, MA, PhD, Co-Author; Forecasting, Practice and Process for Demand Management "Hans is the very definition of intellectual, emotional and physical agility. His vision and belief in Platinum Equity when we were just starting out made an indelible impact, and over the past two decades I have seen firsthand his power to think creatively, act decisively and inspire others to succeed..." Tom Gores, Founder & Chairman/CEO, Platinum Equity Group
Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering by Peter F. Pelz,Peter Groche Pdf
This open access book reports on methods and technologies to describe, evaluate and control uncertainty in mechanical engineering applications. It brings together contributions by engineers, mathematicians and legal experts, offering a multidisciplinary perspective on the main issues affecting uncertainty throughout the complete system lifetime, which includes process and product planning, development, production and usage. The book is based on the proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering (ICUME 2021), organized by the Collaborative Research Center (CRC) 805 of the TU Darmstadt, and held online on June 7–8, 2021. All in all, it offers a timely resource for researchers, graduate students and practitioners in the field of mechanical engineering, production engineering and engineering optimization.
Risk modeling is now a core skill for successful managers inside and outside finance. Alastair Day's "Mastering Risk Modelling" shows managers exactly how to build Excel-based models for identifying, quantifying and managing risk--models that provide clear, accurate decision-making guidance that can be used with confidence throughout the enterprise. An ideal follow-up to Day's bestselling "Mastering Financial Modelling," the book brings together risk modeling theory and practice more effectively than ever before. Day presents extensive tips and methods for developing Excel-based risk applications--including practical guidance on designing models and layering complexity on top of basic models. His series of Excel templates will jumpstart your own modeling, eliminate the need to start from scratch, and provide powerful insights for improving any model. All models are provided on an accompanying CD-ROM.
The Autism Discussion Page on Stress, Anxiety, Shutdowns and Meltdowns by Bill Nason Pdf
Anxiety, meltdowns and emotional regulation can be hugely challenging for autistic people. This book is full of proactive strategies for understanding, accepting and respecting the processing differences in autism. It contains tools for reducing sensory, social and mental drain, and offers strategies to protect from ongoing stress and anxiety. These help minimize shutdowns and burnout, while maximizing self-esteem, autistic identity and mental health. Learn strategies for matching environmental demands to the person's processing needs, how to support vulnerabilities, and how to prevent and manage meltdowns while protecting the identify and self-esteem of the individual with autism.
The Autism Discussion Page on anxiety, behavior, school, and parenting strategies by Bill Nason Pdf
The Autism Discussion Page green book covers anxiety and stress, challenging behaviors, stretching comfort zones, discipline, and school issues. It also provides more general teaching and mentoring strategies for coaching children on the autism spectrum in basic daily living strategies to improve their day-to-day lives. Based on posts on the popular online community page and organised by subject for ease of reference, this book offers an excellent understanding of how children with autism process and experience the world and effective strategies for coping with the challenges.
What manager is not anxious about the future? We live in a white-knuckled age of rapid technological change and global instability. But uncertainty is not the enemy, says management expert Paul J. H. Schoemaker. It is where the greatest opportunities are. To unlock these opportunities, however, requires a very different approach to strategy and implementation. In this pioneering book, Dr. Schoemaker presents a systematic approach that combines concepts such as scenario planning, options thinking, and dynamic monitoring to create novel strategies for profiting from ambiguity. Building on his experience with more than one hundred consulting projects in fields ranging from health care to manufacturing, from utilities to financial services, Schoemaker shows how major corporations throughout the world have used his pathbreaking methodology to prepare for an uncertain future and profit from it. In this first comprehensive approach to the subject, Schoemaker shows the reader (1) how to develop and analyze multiple industry scenarios, (2) craft nimble strategies with just the right amount of flexibility, (3) implement them using an options approach, and (4) make real-time adjustments through dynamic monitoring. As a leading academic thinker and practitioner, the author draws on the frontiers of decision science, organization theory, strategy, and cognitive psychology to integrate the most practical contributions these various fields have made to navigating uncertainty. More than any other capability, skill in seizing initiatives in shifting, unpredictable circumstances is the key to success. Profiting from Uncertainty provides a road map to do just that. This book was first published in 2002, well ahead of the mega turmoil that befell the world in 2008 and beyond. The methods and tools described here have been used by many companies and are even more relevant today than when originally published. You can’t do without them.
In The Politics of Uncertainty Peter Marris examines one of the most crucial and least studied aspects of social relationships: how we manage uncertainty, from the child's struggle for secure attachment to the competitive strategies of multinational corporations. Using a powerful synthesis of social and psychological theory, he shows how strategies of competition interact with the individual's sense of personal agency to place the heaviest burden of uncertainty on those with the fewest social and economic resources. He argues that these strategies maximize uncertainty for everyone by undermining the reciprocity essential to successful economic and social relationships. At a time when global economic reorganisation is undermining security of employment, The Politics of Uncertainty makes a convincing case for strategies of co-operation at both personal and political levels to ensure our economic and social survival in the twenty-first century.
Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering III by Peter F. Pelz,Peter Groche Pdf
Selected, peer reviewed papers from the 3rd International Conference on Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering (ICUME 2018), November 15 - 16, 2018, Darmstadt, Germany
Brand risk is often narrowly defined as risk to reputation. Yet risk and uncertainty are evident in many aspects of brand performance and marketing operations. Considered and responsible risk-taking is central to effective brand management. Risk literacy is the marketer’s third necessary competence, alongside strategic insight and financial understanding. In Brand Risk, a practical and accessible book for those who hold responsibilities in marketing or risk management, David Abrahams brings together relevant risk thinking and a range of techniques for the evaluation of brand exposures and opportunities - whether in response to the ambitions of a key business project, new market conditions or shareholder concern. A balanced review of the subject is enriched by reference to topics of current interest and is supported by illustrative examples throughout. Presenting the essentials of brand management and risk management side-by-side, Brand Risk offers graduated and complementary approaches to brand risk assessment, from the intuitive to the data-driven.
Handbook of Stress, Coping, and Health by Virginia Hill Rice Pdf
This is the first comprehensive Handbook to examine the various models of stress, coping, and health and their relevance to nursing and related health fields. No other volume provides a compendium of key issues in stress and coping for the nursing and allied health professions. In this new edition, the authors assembles a team of expert practitioners and scholars in the field to present the broad range of issues that relate to stress and health such as response-oriented stress, stimulus-oriented stress, stress, coping, .
J-Curve Exposure by Pierre-Yves Mathonet,Thomas Meyer Pdf
Building on the success of the author’s previous book Beyond the J Curve:Managing a Portfolio of Venture Capital and Private Equity Funds, this work covers new and additional material and offers advanced guidance on the practical questions faced by institutions when setting up and managing a successful private equity investment programme. Written from the practitioner’s viewpoint, the book offers private equity and venture capital professionals an advanced guide that will make high return targets more realistic and sustainable. Factors that can sometimes cause institutions to shy away from venture capital are the industry’s opaque track record, unclear valuations and risks, perceived lack of transparency as well as the significant entry barriers to overcome before tangible results show. These issues are all addressed in details with practical solutions to the problems. Among other topics J-Curve Exposure includes discussions of: Experiences with the adoption of the International Private Equity and Venture Capital Valuation Guidelines to address fair value under IFRS. Approaches for splitting and prioritizing distributions from private equity funds. Techniques for track record analysis and other tools to help limited partners in their due diligence. Approaches to dealing with uncertainty, the relevance of real options, and co-investments and side funds as advanced portfolio management techniques. Questions related to limited partner decision making fallacies and how to manage portfolios of VC funds. Securitization backed by portfolios of investments in private equity funds. Real life case studies illustrate the issues relevant for the practitioner.
