Quantitative Reverse Stress Testing

Author : Michael Eichhorn,Tiziano Bellini,Daniel Mayenberger
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Page : 483 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2021-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783110644951

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Reverse Stress Testing in Banking by Michael Eichhorn,Tiziano Bellini,Daniel Mayenberger Pdf

Reverse stress testing was introduced in risk management as a regulatory tool for financial institutions more than a decade ago. The recent Covid-19 crisis illustrates its relevance and highlights the need for a systematic re-thinking of tail risks in the banking sector. This book addresses the need for practical guidance describing the entire reverse stress testing process. Reverse Stress Testing in Banking features contributions from a diverse range of established practitioners and academics. Organized in six parts, the book presents a series of contributions providing an in-depth understanding of: Regulatory requirements and ways to address them Quantitative and qualitative approaches to apply reverse stress testing at different levels – from investment portfolios and individual banks to the entire banking system The use of artificial intelligence, machine learning and quantum computing to gain insights into and address banks’ structural weaknesses Opportunities to co-integrate reverse stress testing with recovery and resolution planning Governance and processes for board members and C-suite executives Readers will benefit from the case studies, use cases from practitioners, discussion questions, recommendations and innovative practices provided in this insightful and pioneering book.

Author : Assad Bouayoun
Publisher : Wiley
Page : 220 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2021-03-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1119621054

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Quantitative Reverse Stress Testing by Assad Bouayoun Pdf

A practioner’s guide to quantitative reverse stress testing, featuring advanced solutions for better management of financial risks Whether you manage a portfolio, a business unit or a bank, you must ensure that a sudden shock in the markets won’t drive you out of business because of a large loss, a jump in capital utilisation or an increase in funding consumption . In financial risk management, reverse stress testing is the attempt to identify worst case scenarios causing maximum financial loss. Traditional stress testing methods have failed to avert the last financial crisis or highlight financial distress. . Every so often some regulators and risk managers specify stress scenarios with simplifications that create a false sense of safety. To avoid a combinatorial explosion, a number of arbitrary choices are usually made in relation to the level of each shock, their combination and the time horizon. These assumptions, although necessary, limit the effectiveness of this technique. Quantitative Reverse Stress Testing: Hunting for the Black Swan offers a more natural approach to identifying the realistic scenario provoking the largest losses. It also provides a means to understand the impact of extreme events and how to mitigate them while introducing technological advances and the adapted mathematical tools that have made it possible to solve this type of quantitative finance problems. You’ll see how mitigation strategies can be more accurate and better targeted, reducing risk, cost of funding and regulatory capital. With this book, you’ll have access to a comprehensive guide to crucial aspects of reverse stress testing. · Get an introduction to a rigorous mathematical framework to quantitative reverse stress testing · Consider different heuristics, one of them based on annealing, to solve theoptimisation problem · Review solution implementation, system infrastructure design and integration into the financial risk management of a firm · Read related case studies from a variety of industries If it’s time to move your approach to reverse stress testing forward, this guide offers real solutions tooptimisation and cost issues. Get a guide that supports a more informed approach to testing and financial risk management as it helps to protect vital business interests.

Author : Tiziano Bellini
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2016-11-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780128036112

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Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks by Tiziano Bellini Pdf

Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks provides a comprehensive view of the risk management activity by means of the stress testing process. An introduction to multivariate time series modeling paves the way to scenario analysis in order to assess a bank resilience against adverse macroeconomic conditions. Assets and liabilities are jointly studied to highlight the key issues that a risk manager needs to face. A multi-national bank prototype is used all over the book for diving into market, credit, and operational stress testing. Interest rate, liquidity and other major risks are also studied together with the former to outline how to implement a fully integrated risk management toolkit. Examples, business cases, and exercises worked in Matlab and R facilitate readers to develop their own models and methodologies. Provides a rigorous statistical framework for modeling stress test in line with U.S. Federal Reserve FRB CCAR (Comprehensive Capital Analysis Review), U.K. PRA (Prudential Regulatory Authority), EBA (European Baning Authorithy) and comply with Basel Accord requirements Follows an integrated bottom-up approach central in the most advanced risk modelling practice Provides numerous sample codes in Matlab and R

Author : Stéphane Crépey,Tomasz R. Bielecki,Damiano Brigo
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 390 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2014-06-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498785709

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Counterparty Risk and Funding by Stéphane Crépey,Tomasz R. Bielecki,Damiano Brigo Pdf

Solve the DVA/FVA Overlap Issue and Effectively Manage Portfolio Credit Risk Counterparty Risk and Funding: A Tale of Two Puzzles explains how to study risk embedded in financial transactions between the bank and its counterparty. The authors provide an analytical basis for the quantitative methodology of dynamic valuation, mitigation, and hedging of bilateral counterparty risk on over-the-counter (OTC) derivative contracts under funding constraints. They explore credit, debt, funding, liquidity, and rating valuation adjustment (CVA, DVA, FVA, LVA, and RVA) as well as replacement cost (RC), wrong-way risk, multiple funding curves, and collateral. The first part of the book assesses today’s financial landscape, including the current multi-curve reality of financial markets. In mathematical but model-free terms, the second part describes all the basic elements of the pricing and hedging framework. Taking a more practical slant, the third part introduces a reduced-form modeling approach in which the risk of default of the two parties only shows up through their default intensities. The fourth part addresses counterparty risk on credit derivatives through dynamic copula models. In the fifth part, the authors present a credit migrations model that allows you to account for rating-dependent credit support annex (CSA) clauses. They also touch on nonlinear FVA computations in credit portfolio models. The final part covers classical tools from stochastic analysis and gives a brief introduction to the theory of Markov copulas. The credit crisis and ongoing European sovereign debt crisis have shown the importance of the proper assessment and management of counterparty risk. This book focuses on the interaction and possible overlap between DVA and FVA terms. It also explores the particularly challenging issue of counterparty risk in portfolio credit modeling. Primarily for researchers and graduate students in financial mathematics, the book is also suitable for financial quants, managers in banks, CVA desks, and members of supervisory bodies.

Author : Mr.Tobias Adrian,Mr.James Morsink,MissLiliana B Schumacher
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 73 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2020-02-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513520742

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Stress Testing at the IMF by Mr.Tobias Adrian,Mr.James Morsink,MissLiliana B Schumacher Pdf

This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

Author : Marco Corazza,Manfred Gilli,Cira Perna,Claudio Pizzi,Marilena Sibillo
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 389 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2021-12-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030789657

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Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance by Marco Corazza,Manfred Gilli,Cira Perna,Claudio Pizzi,Marilena Sibillo Pdf

The cooperation and contamination between mathematicians, statisticians and econometricians working in actuarial sciences and finance is improving the research on these topics and producing numerous meaningful scientific results. This volume presents new ideas, in the form of four- to six-page papers, presented at the International Conference eMAF2020 – Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Due to the now sadly famous COVID-19 pandemic, the conference was held remotely through the Zoom platform offered by the Department of Economics of the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice on September 18, 22 and 25, 2020. eMAF2020 is the ninth edition of an international biennial series of scientific meetings, started in 2004 at the initiative of the Department of Economics and Statistics of the University of Salerno. The effectiveness of this idea has been proven by wide participation in all editions, which have been held in Salerno (2004, 2006, 2010 and 2014), Venice (2008, 2012 and 2020), Paris (2016) and Madrid (2018). This book covers a wide variety of subjects: artificial intelligence and machine learning in finance and insurance, behavioral finance, credit risk methods and models, dynamic optimization in finance, financial data analytics, forecasting dynamics of actuarial and financial phenomena, foreign exchange markets, insurance models, interest rate models, longevity risk, models and methods for financial time series analysis, multivariate techniques for financial markets analysis, pension systems, portfolio selection and management, real-world finance, risk analysis and management, trading systems, and others. This volume is a valuable resource for academics, PhD students, practitioners, professionals and researchers. Moreover, it is also of interest to other readers with quantitative background knowledge.

Author : Muhamed Zulkhibri,Turkhan Ali Abdul Manap,Aishath Muneeza
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 201 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2019-10-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030240059

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Islamic Monetary Economics and Institutions by Muhamed Zulkhibri,Turkhan Ali Abdul Manap,Aishath Muneeza Pdf

This edited volume explores theoretical and empirical issues related to monetary economics and policy in the Islamic financial system. Derived from the Conference on Islamic Monetary Economics and Institutions: Theory and Practice 2017 held in Malé, Maldives, the enclosed papers highlights several option for authorities and regulatory bodies regarding monetary policy and regulation, as well as discussing how Islamic monetary policy effects growth, financial stability and resilience to shocks in practice. The inter-linkage between Islamic monetary policy and other markets are also explored. The subject of Islamic economics has gained considerable attention in the last four decades with the emergence of Islamic financial institutions around the world. This phenomenon has motivated economists to develop a comprehensive theoretical framework of modern monetary economics for Islamic economic system. An important characteristic of the Islamic economic system is the abolition of interest from the financial system. Islamic monetary economics is distinguished from conventional monetary economics due to the absence of interest. Therefore, under the Islamic economic system, monetary policy has to depend on other tools. In the early theoretical literature on Islamic monetary economics, many have discussed the role of money in Islamic economics system, while the number of empirical studies on Islamic monetary economics is a relatively new phenomenon. According to Islamic scholars, there are three main goals of Islamic monetary policy: a) economic well-being with full employment and optimum rate of economic growth; b) socioeconomic justice and equitable distribution of income and wealth and c) stability in the value of money. Hence, the Islamic monetary policy has several socioeconomic and ethical implications. Featuring regional case studies, this book serves as a valuable resource for academics, scholars, practitioners and policy makers in the areas of Islamic economics and finance.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 294 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Bank capital
ISBN : 9789291316694

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International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by Anonim Pdf

Author : Mr. Andreas A. Jobst,Nobuyasu Sugimoto,Timo Broszeit
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 84 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2014-07-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498324557

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Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector by Mr. Andreas A. Jobst,Nobuyasu Sugimoto,Timo Broszeit Pdf

Over the last decade, stress testing has become a central aspect of the Fund’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance work. Recently, more emphasis has also been placed on the role of insurance for financial stability analysis. This paper reviews the current state of system-wide solvency stress tests for insurance based on a comparative review of national practices and the experiences from Fund’s FSAP program with the aim of providing practical guidelines for the coherent and consistent implementation of such exercises. The paper also offers recommendations on improving the current insurance stress testing approaches and presentation of results.

Author : Ms.Li L. Ong,Mr.Rodolfo Maino,Ms.Nombulelo Duma
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 24 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2010-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781455210893

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Into the Great Unknown by Ms.Li L. Ong,Mr.Rodolfo Maino,Ms.Nombulelo Duma Pdf

Stress testing has become the risk management tool du jour in the wake of the global financial crisis. In countries where the information reported by financial institutions is considered to be of sufficiently good quality, and supervisory and regulatory standards are high, stress tests can be of significant value. In contrast, the proliferation of stress testing in underdeveloped financial systems with weak oversight regimes is fraught with uncertainties, as it is unclear what the results actually represent and how they could be usefully applied. In this paper, problems associated with stress tests using weak data are examined. We offer a potentially more useful alternative, the "breaking point" method, which also requires close coordination with on-site supervision and complemented by other supervisory tools and qualitative information. Excel spreadsheet templates of the stress tests presented in this paper are provided.

Author : Zhang Jin
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 404 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : Bank capital
ISBN : 1782720820

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CCAR and Beyond by Zhang Jin Pdf

This book explores the modelling techniques key to Comprehensive capital analysis and review (CCAR) and the business implications of the programme. Contributions from those directly involved in the implementation and regulation of these assessments provide a unique source of information and insight into the assessment practices. The author brings together industry experts in stress testing and capital assessment to examine the central issues surrounding CCAR including: 1) The design and severity of the macroeconomic scenarios; 2) Commercial and industrial (C&I) and Corporate, commercial real estate (CRE) portfolio stress testing; 3) Market, counterparty and operational risks; 4) Pre-provision net revenue modelling; 5) Governance; 6) Capital management." - - Extracted from BusinessWire.

Author : Jimmy Skoglund,Wei Chen
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 576 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2015-09-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119157236

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Financial Risk Management by Jimmy Skoglund,Wei Chen Pdf

A global banking risk management guide geared toward the practitioner Financial Risk Management presents an in-depth look at banking risk on a global scale, including comprehensive examination of the U.S. Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review, and the European Banking Authority stress tests. Written by the leaders of global banking risk products and management at SAS, this book provides the most up-to-date information and expert insight into real risk management. The discussion begins with an overview of methods for computing and managing a variety of risk, then moves into a review of the economic foundation of modern risk management and the growing importance of model risk management. Market risk, portfolio credit risk, counterparty credit risk, liquidity risk, profitability analysis, stress testing, and others are dissected and examined, arming you with the strategies you need to construct a robust risk management system. The book takes readers through a journey from basic market risk analysis to major recent advances in all financial risk disciplines seen in the banking industry. The quantitative methodologies are developed with ample business case discussions and examples illustrating how they are used in practice. Chapters devoted to firmwide risk and stress testing cross reference the different methodologies developed for the specific risk areas and explain how they work together at firmwide level. Since risk regulations have driven a lot of the recent practices, the book also relates to the current global regulations in the financial risk areas. Risk management is one of the fastest growing segments of the banking industry, fueled by banks' fundamental intermediary role in the global economy and the industry's profit-driven increase in risk-seeking behavior. This book is the product of the authors' experience in developing and implementing risk analytics in banks around the globe, giving you a comprehensive, quantitative-oriented risk management guide specifically for the practitioner. Compute and manage market, credit, asset, and liability risk Perform macroeconomic stress testing and act on the results Get up to date on regulatory practices and model risk management Examine the structure and construction of financial risk systems Delve into funds transfer pricing, profitability analysis, and more Quantitative capability is increasing with lightning speed, both methodologically and technologically. Risk professionals must keep pace with the changes, and exploit every tool at their disposal. Financial Risk Management is the practitioner's guide to anticipating, mitigating, and preventing risk in the modern banking industry.

Author : Mindaugas Leika,Hector Perez-Saiz,Ms.Olga Ilinichna Stankova,Torsten Wezel
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 58 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2020-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513532912

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Stress Testing in Sub-Saharan Africa by Mindaugas Leika,Hector Perez-Saiz,Ms.Olga Ilinichna Stankova,Torsten Wezel Pdf

The paper finds that supervisory stress tests are conducted in more than half of sub-Saharan African countries, particularly in western and southern Africa, and that the number of individual stress tests has grown exponentially since the early 2010s. By contrast, few central banks publish assessments of macro-financial linkages; the focus leans more toward discussing trends and weaknesses within the financial sector than on outside risks that may negatively affect its performance.

Author : Bart Baesens,Daniel Roesch,Harald Scheule
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 517 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2016-10-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119143987

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Credit Risk Analytics by Bart Baesens,Daniel Roesch,Harald Scheule Pdf

The long-awaited, comprehensive guide to practical credit risk modeling Credit Risk Analytics provides a targeted training guide for risk managers looking to efficiently build or validate in-house models for credit risk management. Combining theory with practice, this book walks you through the fundamentals of credit risk management and shows you how to implement these concepts using the SAS credit risk management program, with helpful code provided. Coverage includes data analysis and preprocessing, credit scoring; PD and LGD estimation and forecasting, low default portfolios, correlation modeling and estimation, validation, implementation of prudential regulation, stress testing of existing modeling concepts, and more, to provide a one-stop tutorial and reference for credit risk analytics. The companion website offers examples of both real and simulated credit portfolio data to help you more easily implement the concepts discussed, and the expert author team provides practical insight on this real-world intersection of finance, statistics, and analytics. SAS is the preferred software for credit risk modeling due to its functionality and ability to process large amounts of data. This book shows you how to exploit the capabilities of this high-powered package to create clean, accurate credit risk management models. Understand the general concepts of credit risk management Validate and stress-test existing models Access working examples based on both real and simulated data Learn useful code for implementing and validating models in SAS Despite the high demand for in-house models, there is little comprehensive training available; practitioners are left to comb through piece-meal resources, executive training courses, and consultancies to cobble together the information they need. This book ends the search by providing a comprehensive, focused resource backed by expert guidance. Credit Risk Analytics is the reference every risk manager needs to streamline the modeling process.

Author : Moorad Choudhry
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 868 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2022-09-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119755685

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The Principles of Banking by Moorad Choudhry Pdf

A timely and robust discussion of responsible bank stewardship and practice. The Second Edition of The Principles of Banking offers banking professionals, regulators, and students from a variety of backgrounds an authoritative and practical discussion of the foundations of modern banking and good banking practice. In the book, you'll find a comprehensive roadmap to a more sustainable business model for your banking organization. The author draws on his many years' experience as a commercial and investment banker as he explains the original principles of banking—including sound lending policy, capital management, and liquidity risk management—as well as new material covering the impact of COVID-19 on banks, risk management, and balance sheet management. The Principles of Banking also provides recommendations for bank asset-liability management best practices that enable banks to deliver optimized balance sheets for the benefit of all stakeholders. It also includes new chapters in market risk management, foreign exchange risk management, interest rate risk, and credit risk policy and management. An essential update to a widely read and taught banking text, The Principles of Banking, Second Edition is an indispensable resource for banking professionals and students everywhere.