Regional Economic Outlook October 2013

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2013

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2013-10-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484300480

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2013 by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

The October 2013 Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa provides a comprehensive report on the prospects for growth in the region, as well as the major risks to the outlook. Generally, growth is expected to remain strong despite a downward revision since the May 2013 report. The report analyzes drivers of growth in nonresource-rich sub-Saharan African countries, and examines the risks to frontier market economies of volatile capital flows as they become more integrated with international capital markets.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Europe, Building Confidence

Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2010-10-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589069510

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Europe, Building Confidence by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Pdf

The recovery in Europe continues, supported by strong policy action to contain sovereign debt problems in the euro area. In advanced Europe, lingering uncertainties and market pressures make for moderate and unequal growth, creating challenges for macroeconomic and financial sector policies. The REO also sheds light on the governance issues revealed by the crisis, arguing that better policy frameworks, in particular at the euro area level, promise a stronger Europe. For the first time, the REO devotes a separate chapter to the outlook for emerging Europe, where, after a deep recession, an export-led recovery is under way. However, the rebound is uneven across the region, and policymakers face the difficult challenge of dealing with the legacies of the crisis, while not hurting the recovery. Beyond the short term, the REO argues that the region will need to find new growth engines, as the capital inflows-driven and credit-fueled domestic demand boom needs to give way to more balanced growth. Indeed, the REO emphasizes that active fiscal policy and coordinated prudential measures are key to avoiding a repeat of the boom-bust cycle the region has just endured.

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2013, Western Hemisphere

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 66 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2013-05-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484347928

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Regional Economic Outlook, May 2013, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Despite some global risks, external conditions for Latin America should remain stimulative. With monetary policy in advanced economies expected to stay accommodative, external financing conditions will remain favorable. Strong demand from emerging Asian economies and the gradual recovery of advanced economies will continue to support commodity prices, benefiting exporters. The main policy challenge for most of the region is to take advantage of current conditions to continue buttressing a foundation for sustained growth. Other issues important to the region include: (i) strengthening balance sheets; (ii) understanding how changes in external conditions could impact public and external debt dynamics; and (iii) making the best use of the windfall from the recent terms-of-trade boom.

World Economic Outlook, October 2013

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 247 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2013-10-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484348833

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World Economic Outlook, October 2013 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses. Chapter 3 explores how output comovements are influenced by policy and financial shocks, growth surprises, and other linkages. Chapter 4 assesses why certain emerging market economies were able to avoid the classical boom-and-bust cycle in the face of volatile capital flows during the global financial crisis.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 134 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2018-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484339879

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinforced by the expected positive near-term spillovers from tax policy changes in the United States. Accommodative global financial conditions, despite some tightening and market volatility in early February 2018, have been providing support to economic recovery. Higher commodity prices are contributing to an improved outlook for commodity exporters. The US and Canadian economies posted solid gains in 2017 and are expected to grow above potential in the near term. Despite the improved near-term outlook, however, medium-term prospects are tilted downwards. Growth prospects for advanced economies are subdued and many emerging market and developing economies are projected to grow in per capita terms more slowly than advanced economies, raising concerns about income convergence. While risks appear broadly balanced in the near term, they skew to the downside over the medium term, including a possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies, and geopolitical strains.

World Economic Outlook, April 2013

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 204 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2013-04-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475560589

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World Economic Outlook, April 2013 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global economic prospects have improved again, but the bumpy recovery and skewed macroeconomic policy mix in advanced economies are complicating policymaking in emerging market economies. Chapter 3 examines the prospects for inflation, particularly because inflation was remarkably stable in the wake of the Great Recession and, in fact, has become less responsive to cyclical conditions. Chapter 4 examines whether today’s fast-growing, dynamic low-income countries are likely to maintain their momentum and avoid the reversals that afflicted many such countries in the past.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 216 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2019-04-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484397480

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World Economic Outlook, April 2019 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

After strong growth in 2017 and early 2018, global economic activity slowed notably in the second half of last year, reflecting a confluence of factors affecting major economies. China’s growth declined following a combination of needed regulatory tightening to rein in shadow banking and an increase in trade tensions with the United States. The euro area economy lost more momentum than expected as consumer and business confidence weakened and car production in Germany was disrupted by the introduction of new emission standards; investment dropped in Italy as sovereign spreads widened; and external demand, especially from emerging Asia, softened. Elsewhere, natural disasters hurt activity in Japan. Trade tensions increasingly took a toll on business confidence and, so, financial market sentiment worsened, with financial conditions tightening for vulnerable emerging markets in the spring of 2018 and then in advanced economies later in the year, weighing on global demand. Conditions have eased in 2019 as the US Federal Reserve signaled a more accommodative monetary policy stance and markets became more optimistic about a US–China trade deal, but they remain slightly more restrictive than in the fall.

World Economic Outlook, October 2018

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 215 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2018-10-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484376799

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World Economic Outlook, October 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.

World Economic Outlook, October 2019

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2019-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513516172

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World Economic Outlook, October 2019 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth is forecast at 3.0 percent for 2019, its lowest level since 2008–09 and a 0.3 percentage point downgrade from the April 2019 World Economic Outlook.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2012, Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 119 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2012-10-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475510799

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2012, Sub-Saharan Africa by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

Economic conditions in sub-Saharan Africa have remained generally robust despite a sluggish global economy. The near-term outlook for the region remains broadly positive, and growth is projected at 51⁄4 percent a year in 2012-13. Most low-income countries are projected to continue to grow strongly, supported by domestic demand, including from investment. The outlook is less favorable for many of the middle-income countries, especially South Africa, that are more closely linked to European markets and thus experience a more noticeable drag from the external environment. The main risks to the outlook are an intensification of financial stresses in the euro zone and a sharp fiscal adjustment in the US--the so-called fiscal cliff.

World Economic Outlook, April 2020

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 177 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2020-04-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513539744

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World Economic Outlook, April 2020 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

The COVID-19 pandemic is inflicting high and rising human costs worldwide, and the necessary protection measures are severely impacting economic activity. As a result of the pandemic, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by –3 percent in 2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis. In a baseline scenario--which assumes that the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020 and containment efforts can be gradually unwound--the global economy is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2021 as economic activity normalizes, helped by policy support. The risks for even more severe outcomes, however, are substantial. Effective policies are essential to forestall the possibility of worse outcomes, and the necessary measures to reduce contagion and protect lives are an important investment in long-term human and economic health. Because the economic fallout is acute in specific sectors, policymakers will need to implement substantial targeted fiscal, monetary, and financial market measures to support affected households and businesses domestically. And internationally, strong multilateral cooperation is essential to overcome the effects of the pandemic, including to help financially constrained countries facing twin health and funding shocks, and for channeling aid to countries with weak health care systems.

Global Economic Prospects, June 2021

Author : World Bank
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 339 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2021-08-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781464816666

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Global Economic Prospects, June 2021 by World Bank Pdf

The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.

Global Economic Prospects, Volume 6, January 2013

Author : Banque mondiale,The World Bank,World Bank
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 178 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : East Asia
ISBN : 9780821398821

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Global Economic Prospects, Volume 6, January 2013 by Banque mondiale,The World Bank,World Bank Pdf

_x000D_ Fragile rebound after mid-year turmoil ... _x000D_ Financial markets conditions have improved markedly since mid 2012 due to national and EU-wide measures to improve fiscal sustainability, and the augmentation of measures that the European Central Bank (ECB) would take in defense of the euro, but so far the so far economic growth has not rebounded as sharply partly because of policy induced uncertainty, which has contributed to keep business-sector confidence low._x000D_ While growth showed signs of accelerating in Q3 of 2012, including in major middle-income countries such as Brazil and China, uncertainties being generated by the US election and fiscal cliff concerns, coupled with tensions between China and Japan over competing land claims cut into Q4 growth in high-income and developing countries.

World Economic Outlook, April 2018

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2018-04-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484338278

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World Economic Outlook, April 2018 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

This report describes the world economic outlook as of April 2018, projecting that advanced economies will continue to expand above their potential growth rates before decelerating, while growth in emerging markets in developing economies will rise before leveling off. It details global prospects and policies, including risks to the forecast, and essential determinants of long-term economic growth: labor force participation in advanced economies, the declining share of manufacturing jobs globally and in advanced economies, and the process through which innovative activity and technological knowledge spread across national borders.

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2011 Issue 1

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 412 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2011-07-18
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9264063471

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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2011 Issue 1 by OECD Pdf

In addition to the usual macroeconomic and country assessments and statistical annex with projection data, this issue of the OECD Economic Outlook also includes special chapters on the persistence of high unemployment and drivers and vulnerabilities associated with international capital flows.