Si Vis Pacem Para Utique Pacem

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SI VIS PACEM, PARA UTIQUE PACEM

Author : Willem Th. Oosterveld,Stephan de Spiegeleire,Marjolein de Ridder,Tim Sweijs,Frank Bekkers,Dana Poláčková,Scott Ward,Kamal Eldin Salah,Rik Rutten,Nathalie Olah
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 143 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2015-12-17
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102317

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SI VIS PACEM, PARA UTIQUE PACEM by Willem Th. Oosterveld,Stephan de Spiegeleire,Marjolein de Ridder,Tim Sweijs,Frank Bekkers,Dana Poláčková,Scott Ward,Kamal Eldin Salah,Rik Rutten,Nathalie Olah Pdf

Analyses of the international security environment typically provide somber overviews of the various drivers and manifestations of conflict and instability around the world. Recent developments such as the terrorist attacks in Paris, Beirut and elsewhere, a Middle East in flames, a resurgent Russia, incessant violence in West Africa or turmoil in South China Sea only reinforce this view. By framing our analysis of the security environment in these terms, debates about how to anticipate and respond to these current and future threats invariably focus on those forces of instability and conflict: how to identify threats and enemies and then eliminate them. This report is based on the premise that this conflict-centric mindset has led to portfolio choices in terms of strategies (‘what do we do and how do we do it?’), capabilities (‘what do we do it with?’), and partners (‘who do we do it with?’) that have been excessively onesided. This report argues that there is an alternative, complementary way of framing security that is equally real and equally actionable for defense and security organizations (DSOs4 ): a resilience-centric one.

Si Vis Pacem, Para Utique Pacem

Author : Willem Theo Oosterveld,Stephan De Spiegeleire,Marjolein de Ridder,Tim Sweijs,F.F. Bekkers,Dana Polackova,Scott Ward,Kamal Eldin Salah,Rik Rutten,Nathalie Olah
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2016
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9492102412

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Si Vis Pacem, Para Utique Pacem by Willem Theo Oosterveld,Stephan De Spiegeleire,Marjolein de Ridder,Tim Sweijs,F.F. Bekkers,Dana Polackova,Scott Ward,Kamal Eldin Salah,Rik Rutten,Nathalie Olah Pdf

Great Power Assertivitis

Author : Stephan De Spiegeleire
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 86 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2016-09-08
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102355

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Great Power Assertivitis by Stephan De Spiegeleire Pdf

Playing to Your Strengths

Author : Tim Sweijs,Frank Bekkers,Stephan De Spiegeleire
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-27
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102652

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Playing to Your Strengths by Tim Sweijs,Frank Bekkers,Stephan De Spiegeleire Pdf

This report contains the results from a research project aimed at identifying new capabilities for the future RNLA. Rather than sketch a full future force profile, it concentrates on promising new, or to be renewed capabilities.

Volatility and friction in the age of disintermediation

Author : Tim Sweijs,Stephan De Spiegeleire ,Sijbren de Jong,Willem Oosterveld ,Hannes Roos,Frank Bekkers ,Artur Usanov,Robert de Rave,Karlijn Jans
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2017-02-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102461

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Volatility and friction in the age of disintermediation by Tim Sweijs,Stephan De Spiegeleire ,Sijbren de Jong,Willem Oosterveld ,Hannes Roos,Frank Bekkers ,Artur Usanov,Robert de Rave,Karlijn Jans Pdf

Events unfolded once again at a swirling pace in 2016. Terrorists hit Europe’s capital in March. The British population voted for Brexit in June. Turkish armed forces failed to topple Erdoğan in July. A resurgent Russia flexed its military muscles again in the Middle East and actively interfered in American elections, in which the American population elected Trump, in November. We are worried but certainly not surprised by the volatility of contemporary international relations. In previous editions of our contribution to the Dutch government’s Strategic Monitor, we already observed a surge in assertive behavior, noted a dangerous uptick in crises, and warned for the contagiousness of political violence. The current volatility is not a coincidence, but rather the result of fundamental disturbances of the global order that are greatly amplified by rapid technological developments. Most mainstream explanations of recent turbulence focus on power transitions (the decline of the West and the rise of the rest), the concomitant return to more aggressive forms of power politics, and a backlash against globalization. What strikes us is that many of the explanations ignore what we consider one of the most striking mega trends that is reshaping the dynamics of power: the ongoing process of disintermediation. The StratMon 2016-2017 analyzes global trends in confrontation, cooperation and conflict based on different datasets. This year the report also contains case studies on Turkey, Moldova and The rise and fall of ISIS. Chapters analyzing the many faces of political violence and 'the other side of the security coin' are also included.

The Other Side of the Security Coin

Author : Nicholas Farnham,Stephan De Spiegeleire,Tim Sweijs
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 14 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2017-02-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102539

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The Other Side of the Security Coin by Nicholas Farnham,Stephan De Spiegeleire,Tim Sweijs Pdf

The presence of peace is more than the absence of conflict. Analyses and evaluations of the state of the international security environment often focus solely on the most concerning developments and tend to fall back on various conflict-centric metrics when providing assessments of a given security landscape. This chapter, entitled “The Other Side of the Security Coin” investigates a number of positive socioeconomic trends occurring on a global level and how they can contribute to sustainable peace in the future. Improving citizens’ access to socioeconomic opportunities and livelihood-enhancing goods and services is a key factor in increasing the stake that citizens hold in the state of peace in their communities. Fitting within global trends such as the rise of the platform economy and social media, the role of technological and developmental processes improving individual empowerment will become more important for security and defense organizations in the near future. As to how we can leverage the dramatic changes ongoing throughout the world to better suit our security objectives remains yet to be seen. This study provides a brief overview of these trends and identifies the options for security and defense organizations to remain on top of them. This study is part of the 2016-2017 HCSS StratMon.

The Rise of Populist Sovereignism

Author : Stephan De Spiegeleire,Clarissa Skinner,Tim Sweijs
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 198 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2017-09-14
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102591

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The Rise of Populist Sovereignism by Stephan De Spiegeleire,Clarissa Skinner,Tim Sweijs Pdf

Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Defense

Author : Stephan De Spiegeleire,Matthijs Maas,Tim Sweijs
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 140 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2017-05-17
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102546

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Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Defense by Stephan De Spiegeleire,Matthijs Maas,Tim Sweijs Pdf

Artificial intelligence (AI) is on everybody’s minds these days. Most of the world’s leading companies are making massive investments in it. Governments are scrambling to catch up. Every single one of us who uses Google Search or any of the new digital assistants on our smartphones has witnessed first-hand how quickly these developments now go. Many analysts foresee truly disruptive changes in education, employment, health, knowledge generation, mobility, etc. But what will AI mean for defense and security? In a new study HCSS offers a unique perspective on this question. Most studies to date quickly jump from AI to autonomous (mostly weapon) systems. They anticipate future armed forces that mostly resemble today’s armed forces, engaging in fairly similar types of activities with a still primarily industrial-kinetic capability bundle that would increasingly be AI-augmented. The authors of this study argue that AI may have a far more transformational impact on defense and security whereby new incarnations of ‘armed force’ start doing different things in novel ways. The report sketches a much broader option space within which defense and security organizations (DSOs) may wish to invest in successive generations of AI technologies. It suggests that some of the most promising investment opportunities to start generating the sustainable security effects that our polities, societies and economies expect may lie in in the realms of prevention and resilience. Also in those areas any large-scale application of AI will have to result from a preliminary open-minded (on all sides) public debate on its legal, ethical and privacy implications. The authors submit, however, that such a debate would be more fruitful than the current heated discussions about ‘killer drones’ or robots. Finally, the study suggests that the advent of artificial super-intelligence (i.e. AI that is superior across the board to human intelligence), which many experts now put firmly within the longer-term planning horizons of our DSOs, presents us with unprecedented risks but also opportunities that we have to start to explore. The report contains an overview of the role that ‘intelligence’ - the computational part of the ability to achieve goals in the world - has played in defense and security throughout human history; a primer on AI (what it is, where it comes from and where it stands today - in both civilian and military contexts); a discussion of the broad option space for DSOs it opens up; 12 illustrative use cases across that option space; and a set of recommendations for - especially - small- and medium sized defense and security organizations.

The wheel of fortune

Author : Stephan de Spiegeleire,Tim Sweijs,Frank Bekkers
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 220 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2016-06-24
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102362

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The wheel of fortune by Stephan de Spiegeleire,Tim Sweijs,Frank Bekkers Pdf

National security starts with strategic anticipation: what are the risks for the Dutch national security? How can the Netherlands prepare for this, and what choices and investments are needed in order to do so?

Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2017

Author : Paul A.L. Ducheine,Frans P.B. Osinga
Publisher : Springer
Page : 332 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2017-07-14
Category : Law
ISBN : 9789462651890

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Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2017 by Paul A.L. Ducheine,Frans P.B. Osinga Pdf

International conflict resolution increasingly involves the use of non-military power and non-kinetic capabilities alongside military capabilities in the face of hybrid threats. In this book, counter-measures to those threats are addressed by academics with both practical and theoretical experience and knowledge, providing strategic and operational insights into non-kinetic conflict resolution and on the use of power to influence, affect, deter or coerce states and non-state actors. This volume in the NL ARMS series deals with the non-kinetic capabilities to address international crises and conflicts and as always views matters from a global perspective. Included are chapters on the promise, practice and challenges of non-kinetic instruments of power, the instrumentality of soft power, information as a power instrument and manoeuvring in the information environment, Russia's use of deception and misinformation in conflict, applying counter-marketing techniques to fight ISIL, using statistics to profile terrorists, and employing tools such as Actor and Audience Analysis. Such diverse subjects as lawfare, the Law of Armed Conflict rules for non-kinetic cyber attacks, navigation warfare, GPS-spoofing, maritime interception operations, and finally, as a prerequisite, innovative ways for intelligence collection in UN Peacekeeping in Mali come up for discussion. The book will provide both professionals such as (foreign) policy makers and those active in the military services, academics at a master level and those with an interest in military law and the law of armed conflict with useful and up-to-date insights into the wide range of subjects that are contained within it. Paul A.L. Ducheine and Frans P.B. Osinga are General Officers and full professors at the Faculty of Military Sciences of the Netherlands Defence Academy in Breda, The Netherlands.

The Many Faces of Political Violence

Author : Tim Sweijs,Nicholas Farnham,Hannes Rõõs,Artur Usanov,Jibek Imanalieva
Publisher : The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
Page : 16 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2017-02-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789492102522

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The Many Faces of Political Violence by Tim Sweijs,Nicholas Farnham,Hannes Rõõs,Artur Usanov,Jibek Imanalieva Pdf

The modern era’s Great Power Peace has come under severe strain in recent years. The seams of the western-based world political order have stretched to the point of breaking, with non-state actors rising in response to exploit the global climate of paralysis and uncertainty. Indeed, violence levels are at historically high levels that haven’t been seen since 2004. But what does the violence waged on Europe’s borders mean for European citizens and their leaders? HCSS has analyzed trends in political violence using various open-data sources and provides a forecast of civil war onset risk for the year 2017 using in-house forecasting models based on rich quantitative datasets and complex theoretical frameworks. This study is part of the 2016-2017 HCSS StratMon.

Smart City Governance

Author : Alois Paulin
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2018-11-30
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780128165997

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Smart City Governance by Alois Paulin Pdf

Smart City Governance examines public domain activities and services in the digital age, evaluating all facets of smart city e-governance that fosters a cohesive understanding for the emerging generation of advanced “digital natives. Exploring the tensions between political science and jurisprudence theories with the principles of societies and their alignment with legal systems, the book examines how governance systems can translate into the digital domain, addressing both the technical and legal dimensions. It offers a model for the technological foundation of governance, discussing existing technological components. The book concludes with a section on outlooks for further research. Explores the development of sustainable governance by examining how public domain governance can leverage the full potential of smart city technologies Provides insights on the technical side of smart city governance Fuels discussions on how tomorrow’s urban public institutions can contribute to a more inclusive and participatory society Provides a system architecture blueprint based on the insights and lessons learned

Patrologiae Cursus Completus: Series Latina

Author : Jacques-Paul Migne
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 642 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 1849
Category : Christian literature, Early
ISBN : UCAL:C2686146

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Patrologiae Cursus Completus: Series Latina by Jacques-Paul Migne Pdf

Peace Through Health

Author : Neil Arya,Joanna Santa Barbara
Publisher : Kumarian Press
Page : 353 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9781565492585

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Peace Through Health by Neil Arya,Joanna Santa Barbara Pdf

We typically define and talk about wars using the language of politics, but what happens when you bring in a doctor’s perspective on conflict? Can war be diagnosed like an illness? Can health professionals participate in its mitigation and prevention? The contributors to Peace through Health: How Health Professionals Can Work for a Less Violent World engage with these ground-breaking ideas and describe tools that can further peace once war is understood as a public health problem. The idea of working for peace through the health sector has sparked many innovative programs, described here by over 30 experts familiar with the theory and practice of Peace through Health. They cover topics such as prevention and therapy, program evaluations, medical ethics, activism, medical journals, human rights, and the uses of epidemiology. Those considering careers in medicine and other health and humanitarian disciplines as well as those concerned about the growing presence of militarized violence in the world will value the book’s many insights Other Contributors: Will Boyce, Caecilie Buhmann, Anne BundeBirouste, Kenneth Bush, Helen Caldicott, Rob Chase, Khagendra Dahal, Hamit Dardagan, Ann Duggan, Lowell Ewert, Paul Farmer, Norbert Goldfield, Paula Gutlove, Katherine Kaufer Christoffel, Maria Kett, John Last, Barry S. Levy, Tarek Loubani, Evan Lyon, Graeme MacQueen, Ian Maddocks, Ambrogio Manenti, Klaus Melf, Viet Nguyen-Gillham, Wendy Orr, Andrew D. Pinto, Alex Rosen, Simon Rushton, Hana Saab, Victor W. Sidel, Sonal Singh, John Sloboda, Karen Trollope-Kumar, Marshall Wallace, Jim Yong Kim, Anthony Zwi.