Slowdown

Author : Danny Dorling
Publisher : Yale University Press
Page : 398 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2020-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780300252408

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Slowdown by Danny Dorling Pdf

The end of our high-growth world was underway well before COVID-19 arrived. In this powerful and timely argument, Danny Dorling demonstrates the benefits of a larger, ongoing societal slowdown Drawing from an incredibly rich trove of global data, this groundbreaking book reveals that human progress has been slowing down since the early 1970s. Danny Dorling uses compelling visualizations to illustrate how fertility rates, growth in GDP per person, and even the frequency of new social movements have all steadily declined over the last few generations. Perhaps most surprising of all is the fact that even as new technologies frequently reshape our everyday lives and are widely believed to be propelling our civilization into new and uncharted waters, the rate of technological progress is also rapidly dropping. Rather than lament this turn of events, Dorling embraces it as a moment of promise and a move toward stability, and he notes that many of the older great strides in progress that have defined recent history also brought with them widespread warfare, divided societies, and massive inequality.

Author : Tan Khee Giap,Luu Nguyen Trieu Duong,Nguyen Le Phuong Anh
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 308 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2017-11-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789813226777

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2016 Annual Competitiveness Analysis And Growth Slowdown Analysis For Asean-10 by Tan Khee Giap,Luu Nguyen Trieu Duong,Nguyen Le Phuong Anh Pdf

The book 2016 Annual Competitiveness Analysis and Growth Slowdown Analysis for ASEAN-10 begins by presenting the insights of Mr George Yeo, Former Minister for Foreign Affairs of Singapore, who provides a thoughtful reflection on identities and their continued relevance for policy-making. It then provides an update to the annual competitiveness analysis for ASEAN-10. Based on a rich dataset of 121 indicators, the study covers four environments of competitiveness: (1) Macroeconomic Stability, (2) Government and Institutional Setting, (3) Financial, Businesses and Manpower Conditions, and (4) Quality of Life and Infrastructure Development. It then presents each economy's strengths and weaknesses, and conducts "what-if" policy simulations to offer insights into the ASEAN economies. Furthermore, given prevailing worries about ASEAN economies falling into the "middle-income trap," growth slowdown analysis for the ASEAN economies is conducted. Through income-group specific econometric models, determinants of growth slowdown are identified and predictive probability of slowdown for each ASEAN economy is computed. Finally, progress of economic reforms in Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam is evaluated, from which policy implications for these countries' future development are drawn. Contents: A Sense of Self in an Age of Globalisation and ASEAN's Respect for Diversity2016 Update on Annual Competitiveness Analysis for ASEAN-10Growth Slowdown Analysis by Income Thresholds for ASEAN EconomiesTransitional Economies in ASEAN: Reform Progress, Challenges and Policy OptionsPositioning Singapore for the Waves of Change: Building Deep Capabilities for the Future EconomyConcluding Remarks and Future Research Agenda Readership: Researchers and advance graduates studying ASEAN developmental economics. Keywords: Competitiveness;Economic Development;Public Policy;ASEAN;Southeast Asia;Growth Slowdown;Bayesian Model Averaging;Transitional Economies;Cambodia;Laos;Myanmar;Vietnam;CLMV;George Yeo;Asia Competitiveness Institute (ACI)Review: "I highly appreciate ACI's effort in conducting research on competitiveness improvement for Asian countries, especially the members of ASEAN over the past few years. We really look forward to deepening research cooperation between VCCI and ACI." Dr Vu Tien Loc Chairman and President Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI), Vietnam Key Features: Existing global competitiveness rankings such as the World Competitiveness Yearbook by the IMD World Competitiveness Centre and the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report are like beauty contests; they merely identify who are doing well and who are facing challenges, but stop short of giving more constructive advice on improving the rankings. The ACI's competitiveness framework goes one step further by tackling the "so what" question. What is the policy implication of a competitiveness ranking result for a particular economy? Under this overarching framework, ACI combines leading-edge research methodologies with extensive data collection efforts to evaluate and track economic competitiveness for the ASEAN-10 economies since 2000The book benefits from the insights of Mr George Yeo, Former Minister for Foreign Affairs of Singapore, who provides a thoughtful and timely reflections on the nature of human beings' identities and their continued relevance for policy-making. The shock election of Donald Trump to the Presidency of the United States (US) and the victory of the "Leave" campaign during the Brexit referendum in 2016 have served to underscore the fact that the development of human societies is not only driven by economic but also soci

Author : Tan Khee Giap,Wang Peng,Xie Teleixi
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2017-11-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789813226807

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2016 Growth Slowdown Analysis By Income Thresholds And Annual Update Of Competitiveness Analysis For 34 Greater China Economies by Tan Khee Giap,Wang Peng,Xie Teleixi Pdf

This book is an update of the competitiveness rankings for Greater China economies at the sub-national and regional level with the latest available data. The study uses a comprehensive methodology which measures competitiveness across four unique dimensions to provide an in-depth competitiveness analysis for the 34 economies and the five regions of Greater China. It then recommends policy prescriptions which would be relevant to each economy and region based on their specific strengths and weaknesses. Aside from exploring competitiveness, the book also analyses the growth slowdown phenomenon for Greater China economies by income thresholds. This volume is recommended for scholars and researchers interested in China's economic development. Contents: About ACIForeword (by Professor Wang Gungwu)Preface (by Professor Kishore Mahbubani)AcknowledgementsAbout the AuthorsList of EconomiesList of AbbreviationsList of Tables and FiguresChina's Economic New Normal, Coping with Deeper Economic Restructuring and the One-Belt One-Road StrategyOrganisation, Structure and Methodology2016 Annual Update on Competitiveness Rankings and Simulation Studies for 34 Greater China Economies2016 Annual Update on Regional Competitiveness Rankings and Simulation Studies for Greater ChinaGrowth Slowdown Analysis by Income Thresholds for Greater China EconomiesDiversifying and Seeking New Sources of Growth for China: Striving to Be a Global Economic Leader Readership: Scholars and researchers interested in China's economic development, categorised by regions and provinces. Keywords: Competitiveness;China;Growth Slowdown;Public Policy;Development StrategiesReview: "Professor Tan Khee Giap is developing important knowledge at the Asia Competitiveness Institute, to help Singapore gain in-depth knowledge of the economy around us. We will nurture local academics who can produce quality work and contribute to Singapore." Mr Ong Ye Kung Minister for Education (Higher Education and Skills) and Second Minister for Defence, Singapore "I like the growth slowdown research by the ACI very much. I don't think I have seen any similar Chinese research on the topic, especially at the sub-national level." "This research offers a very solid database. It also sheds light on important policy implications which are presented in a very graphical manner for both central and local policymakers to use as a policy reference tool." Dr Sun Jingying Assistant Professor, Institute of World Economics and Politics Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China Key Features: Unique volume with no other rival publications as yet, covering whole spread of all 34 economies and five regions in Greater ChinaIn-depth and rigorous study on regional analysis on Greater China which views competitiveness through a regional lens, by offering a strategic regional development from an academic perspective, with an aim to achieve sustainable and balanced growth throughout the economies coveredAsia Competitiveness Institute's other similar studies on 35 Indian states and federal territories, ASEAN-10 economies, and 34 Indonesian provinces provide similar sub-national insights and a basis for comparison across these countries

Author : Mr.Alexei Kireyev,Andrei Leonidov
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 45 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2016-03-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513555850

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China’s Imports Slowdown by Mr.Alexei Kireyev,Andrei Leonidov Pdf

The paper models international spillovers from a hypothetical drop of China’s imports as a result of China’s rebalancing of its growth model. A network-based model used in the paper allows capturing higher round network effects of the shock, which are largely unaccounted for in the existing literature. Such effects include direct spillovers from China on its trading partners, subsequent spillins among them, and spillbacks on China itself. The paper finds that the network effects most likely will be substantial, may amplify initial shock, and change the direction of its propagation. The impact on Asia and Pacific will be the strongest followed by the Middle East and Central Asia. The impact on sub-Saharan Africa would be noticeable only for some countries. Spillovers on Europe, including the Euro area, will be moderate, and spillovers on the Western Hemisphere, including the United States, would be very marginal. Metal and non-fuel commodity exporters may experience the largest negative impact.

Author : Asis Kumar Banerjee
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 195 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2023-03-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000846645

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Economic Slowdown in India by Asis Kumar Banerjee Pdf

The devastating effect of Covid19 on the Indian economy is by now well-known. The growth rate of the economy slumped to a negative figure in the year 2020-21. What is less talked about, however, is the fact that growth slowdown in India had started several years before the pandemic struck. The two questions that naturally arise are: what explains the long economic slowdown and what can be done about it. This book is an in-depth analysis of the economic slowdown in India in recent years and the reasons behind the persistent slowdown in the growth rate of the Indian economy in the 2010s, especially in the latter half of the decade. While discussing both macro- and microeconomic policies, the volume examines how the perspective on economic policy has evolved over time in consonance with experience by investigating major instances of such slowdowns in the past. Three global slowdowns (viz. the Great Depression of 1929, the stagflation induced by the oil crisis of the 1970s and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007) and the industrial deceleration in India in the late 1960s and early 1970s are discussed. The author also probes into the problems of inequality, poverty, inflation in the Indian economy pre- and post- pandemic and policies targeted towards development, manufacturing, and distribution of vaccines. The book further discusses possible economic impacts of the Ukraine War and the long-term problem of global warming. Concise and thoroughly researched, this book will be of interest to beginners, scholars, research students and teachers interested in economics, policy making and development studies.

Author : Tan Khee Giap,Gopalan Sasidaran,Tandon Anuja
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2017-11-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789813226838

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2016 Annual Competitiveness And Growth Slowdown Analysis For Sub-national Economies Of India by Tan Khee Giap,Gopalan Sasidaran,Tandon Anuja Pdf

This book undertakes rigorous empirical research on competitiveness of the sub-national economies of India. One of the cornerstones of Asia Competitiveness Institute (ACI)'s research strategies is to factor in the diversity of sub-national economies in a large and diverse country like India and undertake rigorous research that will inform policymakers in these economies. ACI's competitiveness framework computes rankings for all the sub-national economies of India by accounting for a plethora of socio-economic development indicators that determine competitiveness. Into its fourth edition, this book entitled 2016 Annual Competitiveness and Growth Slowdown Analysis for Sub-National Economies of India presents our annual update of competitiveness analysis of India's sub-national economies. ACI's competitiveness analysis employs 75 different indicators across four different environments to capture the dynamics of competitiveness in a holistic way at the sub-national level. The book also has a What-if competitiveness simulation exercise to identify the specific policy areas that each sub-national economy must focus on to improve its rankings. Further to an analysis of competitiveness, the book delves deeper into understanding the dynamics of economic growth of the various sub-national economies in India, which is a significant value-addition to the related literature as the book has a comprehensive and dedicated discussion on the prospects of and determinants of growth slowdown at the sub-national level. Contents: About Asia Competitiveness Institute (ACI)ForewordPrefaceAcknowledgementsAbout the AuthorsList of AbbreviationsList of Tables and FiguresIntroduction2016 Annual Update on Competitiveness for 35 Sub-National Economies of India2016 Annual Update on Competitiveness for Five Regions of IndiaGrowth Slowdown Analysis by Income Thresholds for India's Sub-National EconomiesConcluding Remarks and Directions for Future Research Readership: Academics, undergraduate and graduate students, and professionals interested in India's economic development. Keywords: Competitiveness;India;Growth Slowdown Analysis;Middle-Income Trap;Sub-National Economies;What-If Simulation;Make in India;Review:0

Author : Mr.Tigran Poghosyan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 41 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2018-07-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484367537

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Investment Slowdown in Denmark: Diagnosis and Policy Options by Mr.Tigran Poghosyan Pdf

Total investment in Denmark has experienced a sharp slowdown following the global financial crisis. This slowdown has coincided with a decline in labor productivity and expansion of the current account surplus. This paper presents stylized facts summarizing the investment slowdown followed by an empirical analysis identifying its drivers. The results suggest that the decline in output has contributed to investment slowdown, consistent with predictions of the accelerator model. However, other factors, including high leverage and structural rigidities in product markets, also played a role.

Author : Mr.Tamim Bayoumi,Mr.Thomas Helbling
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 43 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2003-03-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451846577

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Are they All in the Same Boat? the 2000-2001 Growth Slowdown and the G-7 Business Cycle Linkages by Mr.Tamim Bayoumi,Mr.Thomas Helbling Pdf

This paper reviews the international business cycle among Group of Seven (G-7) countries since 1973 from two angles. An examination of business cycle synchronization among these countries using simple descriptive statistics shows that synchronized slowdowns have been the norm rather than the exception and that the slowdown in 2000-2001 largely followed patterns seen in the past. The paper also identifies the international business cycle with an asymptotic dynamic factor model. Two global factors explain roughly 80 percent of the variance in G-7 output gaps at business cycle frequencies. The factor model decomposes the "common part" of national output fluctuations into two factors, one capturing the average G-7 cycle and one that corrects for phase and amplitude differences. We also found some evidence supporting the hypothesis that global shocks were the main force behind the slowdown in 2000-2001.

Author : Muralidharan Dhanapalan
Publisher : D Muralidharan
Page : 136 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2019-11-30
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Slowdown blues? Let's beat it. by Muralidharan Dhanapalan Pdf

It is that time of the, where negative news pervades all over the world, including India, China and many European and Western nations as well. The most dreaded word, slowdown now is more heard and seen, both in the media, and through the Chinese whispers, and the annals of any organisation worth its size and name! So, how do we look at the future, and are we ready for tough times? How long is such a situation going to last? And is this for real, or are the media and the trail of negative news all over affecting the mood, and also exaggerating how bad things are, than they could be in reality. Whatever be the reality, the moment we are faced with a situation, it’s like a huge thunderbolt hit us. More than what in reality has happened – owing to external circumstances, and extraneous factors, what takes a toll is the way once reacts, when faced with a slowdown. This e-book is meant to be a good and thought helping companion when you think you are being bogged down by things like an impending slowdown or job loss, or anything similar. You are down, but that’s because of anything else BUT you – a host of factors not in anybody’s control. While there is nothing much you can do on the extraneous factors, what you can do, is to make use of the interregnum as a kind of platform for re-launching and rediscovering you, in every manner possible. The book is intended, not only for those who are in the midst of such an event, but also to everyone who wishes to be mentally prepared, just in case they are in any part of the globe, and are likely to be impacted by a slowdown. Not much has been written as to how the softer side of a slowdown situation is to be handled on the personal front. The pages of this book are meant to mentally prepare individuals, equip them to handle slowdown or pink-slips with grace, and face life with more confidence and renewed vigour, and make them more able and agile in handling the harsh reality of tough times in life, just in case. Read on. Let’s beat down the slow-down.

Author : United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 72 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Political Science
ISBN : MINN:31951D01218158O

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The Recent Economic Slowdown by United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee Pdf

Author : Mr.Bas B. Bakker
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 41 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2019-09-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513512532

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What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output by Mr.Bas B. Bakker Pdf

In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a decline in potential output growth (which has shifted the Okun curve to the left). We analyze what happens if central banks mistakenly diagnose the problem as insufficient demand, when it is actually a supply problem. We do this in a real model, in which inflation is not an issue. We show that aggressive central bank action may revive gross investment, but it will not revive net investment or growth. Moreover, low interest rates will lead to an increase in the capital output ratio, a low return on capital and high leverage. We show that these forecasts are in line with what has happened in major advanced countries.

Author : Mr.Shekhar Aiyar,Mr.Romain A Duval,Mr.Damien Puy,Mr.Yiqun Wu,Ms.Longmei Zhang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 64 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2013-03-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484315804

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Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap by Mr.Shekhar Aiyar,Mr.Romain A Duval,Mr.Damien Puy,Mr.Yiqun Wu,Ms.Longmei Zhang Pdf

The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we examine the middle-income trap as a special case of growth slowdowns, which are identified as large sudden and sustained deviations from the growth path predicted by a basic conditional convergence framework. We then examine their determinants by means of probit regressions, looking into the role of institutions, demography, infrastructure, the macroeconomic environment, output structure and trade structure. Two variants of Bayesian Model Averaging are used as robustness checks. The results—including some that indeed speak to the special status of middle-income countries—are then used to derive policy implications, with a particular focus on Asian economies.

Author : Ms.Ghada Fayad,Mr.Roberto Perrelli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 24 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2014-09-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498335836

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Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation by Ms.Ghada Fayad,Mr.Roberto Perrelli Pdf

Output growth has slowed in several emerging markets since 2011—a remarkable feature for a non-crisis period in EMs. Such synchronized slowdowns were largely unanticipated by scholars and forecasters alike. In this paper we attempt to shed light on the main drivers of growth surprises and synchronized slowdowns in emerging markets post-global financial crisis. We find that lower trading partner demand was a key external factor in explaining these events during 2011–13, and that changes in external financing conditions have yet to play a role in EMs’ growth. On the domestic front, the withdrawal of the fiscal stimulus put in place right after the Lehman collapse is a relevant aspect in these episodes, compounding the effect of the weaker external demand. Idiosyncratic factors, such as structural bottlenecks with the potential to impair growth in a more lasting fashion, also seem to partly explain these events, as reflected in the larger residuals found in regression-based estimates for certain countries.

Author : Nichole Nordeman
Publisher : Thomas Nelson
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2017-08-22
Category : Religion
ISBN : 9780718099022

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Slow Down by Nichole Nordeman Pdf

The days are long, but the years are short. No matter if it’s your child’s first step, first day of school, or first night tucked away in a new dorm room away from home, there comes a moment when you realize just how quickly the years are flying by. Christian music artist Nichole Nordeman’s profound lyrics in her viral hit “Slow Down” struck a chord with moms everywhere, and now this beautiful four-color book will inspire you to celebrate the everyday moments of motherhood. Filled with thought-provoking writings from Nichole, as well as guest writings from friends including Shauna Niequist and Jen Hatmaker, practical tips, and journaling space for reflection, Slow Down will be a poignant gift for any mom, as well as a treasured keepsake. Take a few moments to reflect and celebrate the privilege of being a parent and getting to watch your little ones grow—and Slow Down. Nichole Nordeman has sold more than 1 million albums as a Christian music artist and has won 9 GMA Dove Awards, including two awards for Female Vocalist of the Year and Songwriter of the Year. Nichole released a lyric video for her song “Slow Down,” and it struck a chord with parents everywhere, amassing 14 million views in its first five days. She lives in Oklahoma with her two children.

Author : Michaelangelo Matos
Publisher : Hachette Books
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2020-12-08
Category : Music
ISBN : 9780306903359

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Can't Slow Down by Michaelangelo Matos Pdf

A Rolling Stone-Kirkus Best Music Book of 2020 The definitive account of pop music in the mid-eighties, from Prince and Madonna to the underground hip-hop, indie rock, and club scenes Everybody knows the hits of 1984 - pop music's greatest year. From "Thriller" to "Purple Rain," "Hello" to "Against All Odds," "What's Love Got to Do with It" to "Wake Me Up Before You Go-Go," these iconic songs continue to dominate advertising, karaoke nights, and the soundtracks for film classics (Boogie Nights) and TV hits (Stranger Things). But the story of that thrilling, turbulent time, an era when Top 40 radio was both the leading edge of popular culture and a moral battleground, has never been told with the full detail it deserves - until now. Can't Slow Down is the definitive portrait of the exploding world of mid-eighties pop and the time it defined, from Cold War anxiety to the home-computer revolution. Big acts like Michael Jackson (Thriller), Prince (Purple Rain), Madonna (Like a Virgin), Bruce Springsteen (Born in the U.S.A.), and George Michael (Wham!'s Make It Big) rubbed shoulders with the stars of the fermenting scenes of hip-hop, indie rock, and club music. Rigorously researched, mapping the entire terrain of American pop, with crucial side trips to the UK and Jamaica, from the biz to the stars to the upstarts and beyond, Can't Slow Down is a vivid journey to the very moment when pop was remaking itself, and the culture at large - one hit at a time.