Why Secret Intelligence Fails

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Why Secret Intelligence Fails

Michael A. Turner
Why Secret Intelligence Fails Book PDF

Author : Michael A. Turner
Publisher : Potomac Books, Inc.
Page : 346 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2011-07
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781612343075

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Why Secret Intelligence Fails by Michael A. Turner Pdf

Michael Turner argues that the root causes of failures in American intelligence can be found in the way it is organized and in the intelligence process itself. Intelligence that has gone awry affects national decision making and, ultimately, American national security. Intelligence officials are reluctant to talk about intelligence successes, claiming "the secret of our success is the secret of our success." But these officials also shy away from talking about failures, largely because doing so would expose the failings of American intelligence and have an impact on policy consumers who may become more reluctant to accept and act on the intelligence they receive. Rather than focusing on case studies, the book takes a holistic approach, beginning with structural issues and all dysfunctions that emanate from them. Turner explores each step of the intelligence cycle--priority setting, intelligence collection, analysis, production, and dissemination--to identify the "inflection points" within each stage that contribute to intelligence failures. Finally, he examines a variety of plans that, if implemented, would reduce the likelihood of intelligence failures. While examining the causes of intelligence failures, Turner also explores intelligence as a critical governmental activity, making the book an excellent primer on secret intelligence. Turner writes in jargon-free prose for the informed reader interested in foreign policy and national security policy matters and brings enough depth to his subject that even experts will find this a must-read.

Why Secret Intelligence Fails

Michael Turner
Why Secret Intelligence Fails Book PDF

Author : Michael Turner
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 217 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2007-12-01
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1422390896

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Why Secret Intelligence Fails by Michael Turner Pdf

Intelligence (intel) officials are reluctant to talk about intel successes. But these officials also shy away from failures, largely because doing so would expose their shortcomings & make policy makers more reluctant to act on the intel they receive. The root causes of failure in Amer. intel can be found in the way it is organized & in the intel process itself. Explores how the intel community functions, making it an excellent primer on secret intel. Discusses all the dysfunctions that emanate from them. Explores each step of the intel cycle -- priority setting, intel collection, analysis, production, & dissem. -- to identify the ¿inflection points¿ that contribute to intel failures. Examines a variety of plans that, if implemented, would improve Amer. intel.

Problem of Secret Intelligence

Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke
Problem of Secret Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke
Publisher : Edinburgh University Press
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2019-05-03
Category : History
ISBN : 9780748691845

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Problem of Secret Intelligence by Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke Pdf

What is intelligence - why is it so hard to define, and why is there no systematic theory of intelligence? Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke creates a new, systematic model of intelligence analysis, arguing that good intelligence is based on understanding the threats that appear beyond our experience, and are therefore the most dangerous to society.

Secret Intelligence

Christopher Andrew,Richard J. Aldrich,Wesley K. Wark
Secret Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Christopher Andrew,Richard J. Aldrich,Wesley K. Wark
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 698 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2019-07-26
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780429647369

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Secret Intelligence by Christopher Andrew,Richard J. Aldrich,Wesley K. Wark Pdf

The second edition of Secret Intelligence: A Reader brings together key essays from the field of intelligence studies, blending classic works on concepts and approaches with more recent essays dealing with current issues and ongoing debates about the future of intelligence. Secret intelligence has never enjoyed a higher profile. The events of 9/11, the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, the missing WMD controversy, public debates over prisoner interrogation, together with the revelations of figures such as Edward Snowden, recent cyber attacks and the rise of 'hybrid warfare' have all contributed to make this a ‘hot’ subject over the past two decades. Aiming to be more comprehensive than existing books, and to achieve truly international coverage of the field, this book provides key readings and supporting material for students and course convenors. It is divided into four main sections, each of which includes full summaries of each article, further reading suggestions and student questions: • The intelligence cycle • Intelligence, counter-terrorism and security • Ethics, accountability and secrecy • Intelligence and the new warfare This new edition contains essays by leading scholars in the field and will be essential reading for students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, international security and political science in general, and of interest to anyone wishing to understand the current relationship between intelligence and policy-making.

Breakdown

Bill Gertz
Breakdown Book PDF

Author : Bill Gertz
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2012-03-28
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781596987104

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Breakdown by Bill Gertz Pdf

New York Times bestselling author Bill Gertz uses his unparalleled access to America's intelligence system to show how this system completely broke down in the years, months, and days leading up to the deadly terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon.

Historical Dictionary of Intelligence Failures

Glenmore S. Trenear-Harvey
Historical Dictionary of Intelligence Failures Book PDF

Author : Glenmore S. Trenear-Harvey
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 307 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2014-11-20
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781442232747

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Historical Dictionary of Intelligence Failures by Glenmore S. Trenear-Harvey Pdf

An Intelligence failure can be defined where there was intelligence available about a particular event, but either it was not collected or was mishandled later in the assessment cycle, as opposed to the failure of an intelligence operation. The Historical Dictionary of Intelligence Failures covers the history of intelligence failures through a chronology, an introductory essay, an extensive bibliography, and over 100 cross-referenced dictionary entries on the Ardennes Offensive, the Six Day War, and the Cuban Missile Crisis, the Prague Spring, the Arab Spring, 9/11. This book is an excellent access point for students, researchers, and anyone wanting to know more about the intelligence industry.

Senseless Secrets

Michael Lee Lanning
Senseless Secrets Book PDF

Author : Michael Lee Lanning
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 369 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2022-11-01
Category : History
ISBN : 9780811772105

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Senseless Secrets by Michael Lee Lanning Pdf

From the War for Independence to the War on Terror, American military intelligence has often failed, costing needless casualties and squandering money and materiel as well as prestige – and all too often it has failed to learn from its mistakes. Senseless Secrets covers more than 200 years of intelligence breakdowns in every American war, including not only how intelligence has been wrong, but also how good intel has failed to make it to battlefield commanders, how spies and traitors have infiltrated the military intelligence community, and more. Here are stories of Benedict Arnold’s turn in the Revolution, George McClellan’s reliance on the Pinkertons’ inflated estimates of enemy strengths in the Civil War, Custer’s flawed intelligence prior to the Little Bighorn, the controversy over Pearl Harbor, the surprise German attack that started the Battle of the Bulge, the failure to convey useful intelligence to small-unit commanders in Vietnam, overestimates of Iraqi strength during Operation Desert Storm, the bad intelligence about Saddam Hussein’s supposed nuclear arsenal in 2002-03, and the chaos surrounding the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021. Senseless Secrets is a military history of the United States through its intelligence operations. It should be required reading inside the U.S. military and beyond.

Intelligence Success and Failure

Uri Bar-Joseph,Rose McDermott
Intelligence Success and Failure Book PDF

Author : Uri Bar-Joseph,Rose McDermott
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2017-03-03
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780190676995

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Intelligence Success and Failure by Uri Bar-Joseph,Rose McDermott Pdf

The study of strategic surprise has long concentrated on important failures that resulted in catastrophes such as Pearl Harbor and the September 11th attacks, and the majority of previously published research in the field determines that such large-scale military failures often stem from defective information-processing systems. Intelligence Success and Failure challenges this common assertion that catastrophic surprise attacks are the unmistakable products of warning failure alone. Further, Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott approach this topic uniquely by highlighting the successful cases of strategic surprise, as well as the failures, from a psychological perspective. This book delineates the critical role of individual psychopathologies in precipitating failure by investigating important historical cases. Bar-Joseph and McDermott use six particular military attacks as examples for their analysis, including: "Barbarossa," the June 1941 German invasion of the USSR (failure); the fall-winter 1941 battle for Moscow (success); the Arab attack on Israel on Yom Kippur 1973 (failure); and the second Egyptian offensive in the war six days later (success). From these specific cases and others, they analyze the psychological mechanisms through which leaders assess their own fatal mistakes and use the intelligence available to them. Their research examines the factors that contribute to failure and success in responding to strategic surprise and identify the learning process that central decision makers use to facilitate subsequent successes. Intelligence Success and Failure presents a new theory in the study of strategic surprise that claims the key explanation for warning failure is not unintentional action, but rather, motivated biases in key intelligence and central leaders that null any sense of doubt prior to surprise attacks.

Intelligence, Crises and Security

Len Scott,R. Gerald Hughes
Intelligence Crises and Security Book PDF

Author : Len Scott,R. Gerald Hughes
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 318 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2013-09-13
Category : History
ISBN : 9781317997559

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Intelligence, Crises and Security by Len Scott,R. Gerald Hughes Pdf

This collection of essays by leading experts seeks to explore what lessons for the exploitation and management of secret intelligence might be drawn from a variety of case studies ranging from the 1920s to the ‘War on Terror’. Long regarded as the ‘missing dimension’ of international history and politics, public and academic interest in the role of secret intelligence has continued to grow in recent years, not least as a result of controversy surrounding the terrorist attacks on the United States on September 11 2001. Intelligence, Crises and Security addresses a range of themes including: crisis management, covert diplomacy, intelligence tradecraft, counterterrorism, intelligence ‘overload’, intelligence in relation to neutral states, deception, and signals intelligence. The work breaks new ground in relation to numerous key international episodes and events, not least as a result of fresh disclosures from government archives across the world. This book was previously published as a special issue of Intelligence and National Security.

The Secret World

Christopher Andrew
The Secret World Book PDF

Author : Christopher Andrew
Publisher : Yale University Press
Page : 1019 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-04
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780300240528

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The Secret World by Christopher Andrew Pdf

“A comprehensive exploration of spying in its myriad forms from the Bible to the present day . . . Easy to dip into, and surprisingly funny.” —Ben Macintyre in The New York Times Book Review The history of espionage is far older than any of today’s intelligence agencies, yet largely forgotten. The codebreakers at Bletchley Park, the most successful WWII intelligence agency, were completely unaware that their predecessors had broken the codes of Napoleon during the Napoleonic wars and those of Spain before the Spanish Armada. Those who do not understand past mistakes are likely to repeat them. Intelligence is a prime example. At the outbreak of WWI, the grasp of intelligence shown by US President Woodrow Wilson and British Prime Minister Herbert Asquith was not in the same class as that of George Washington during the Revolutionary War and eighteenth-century British statesmen. In the first global history of espionage ever written, distinguished historian and New York Times–bestselling author Christopher Andrew recovers much of the lost intelligence history of the past three millennia—and shows us its continuing relevance. “Accurate, comprehensive, digestible and startling . . . a stellar achievement.” —Edward Lucas, The Times “For anyone with a taste for wide-ranging and shrewdly gossipy history—or, for that matter, for anyone with a taste for spy stories—Andrew’s is one of the most entertaining books of the past few years.” —Adam Gopnik, The New Yorker “Remarkable for its scope and delightful for its unpredictable comparisons . . . there are important lessons for spymasters everywhere in this breathtaking and brilliant book.” —Richard J. Aldrich, Times Literary Supplement “Fans of Fleming and Furst will delight in this skillfully related true-fact side of the story.” —Kirkus Reviews “A crowning triumph of one of the most adventurous scholars of the security world.” —Financial Times Includes illustrations

Understanding Intelligence Failure

James J. Wirtz
Understanding Intelligence Failure Book PDF

Author : James J. Wirtz
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 271 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2016-11-10
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781317375722

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Understanding Intelligence Failure by James J. Wirtz Pdf

This collection, comprising key works by James J. Wirtz, explains how different threat perceptions can lead to strategic surprise attack, intelligence failure and the failure of deterrence. This volume adopts a strategist’s view of the issue of surprise and intelligence failure by placing these phenomena in the context of conflict between strong and weak actors in world affairs. A two-level theory explains the incentives and perceptions of both parties when significant imbalances of military power exist between potential combatants, and how this situation sets the stage for strategic surprise and intelligence failure to occur. The volume illustrates this theory by applying it to the Kargil Crisis, attacks launched by non-state actors, and by offering a comparison of Pearl Harbor and the September 11, 2001 attacks. It explores the phenomenon of deterrence failure; specifically, how weaker parties in an enduring or nascent conflict come to believe that deterrent threats posed by militarily stronger antagonists will be undermined by various constraints, increasing the attractiveness of utilising surprise attack to achieve their objectives. This work also offers strategies that could mitigate the occurrence of intelligence failure, strategic surprise and the failure of deterrence. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, security studies and IR in general.

Intelligence in an Insecure World

Peter Gill,Mark Phythian
Intelligence in an Insecure World Book PDF

Author : Peter Gill,Mark Phythian
Publisher : Polity
Page : 244 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2006-08-29
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780745632445

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Intelligence in an Insecure World by Peter Gill,Mark Phythian Pdf

What exactly is intelligence? Who seeks to develop it and how? What happens to the intelligence that is produced? This book explores these and other key questions while examining the limits of intelligence, intelligence failures, and the relationship between intelligence and processes of public and private governance. The book closes with a consideration of the need for democratic control of intelligence to prevent potential abuse by unaccountable state or corporate agencies.

Before Intelligence Failed

Mark Wilkinson
Before Intelligence Failed Book PDF

Author : Mark Wilkinson
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 229 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2018-05-15
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781787380783

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Before Intelligence Failed by Mark Wilkinson Pdf

In the wake of the 2003 Iraq War, the term 'intelligence failure' became synonymous with the Blair Government and how it had used intelligence to construct a case for war. This book examines British secret intelligence over the thirty years preceding its very public failings. From the Soviet Union to South Africa and Libya, Mark Wilkinson provides a detailed analysis and vivid account of the development and functioning of Britain's intelligence agencies in the struggle against the proliferation of chemical and biological weapons. Based on archival research and interviews with key players in the intelligence establishment, he shows how a handful of chemical and biological weapons experts battled to make their voices heard. They had evidence that illegal weapons development was taking place but were continually rebuffed by adversaries in Whitehall. Fascinating, surprising and sometimes shocking, Before Intelligence Failed is a compelling account of what was known about chemical and biological weapons proliferation before the Iraq War.

Secrets and Spies

Jamie Gaskarth
Secrets and Spies Book PDF

Author : Jamie Gaskarth
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
Page : 201 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2020-02-18
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780815737988

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Secrets and Spies by Jamie Gaskarth Pdf

Exploring how intelligence professionals view accountability in the context of twenty-first century politics How can democratic governments hold intelligence and security agencies accountable when what they do is largely secret? Using the UK as a case study, this book addresses this question by providing the first systematic exploration of how accountability is understood inside the secret world. It is based on new interviews with current and former UK intelligence practitioners, as well as extensive research into the performance and scrutiny of the UK intelligence machinery. The result is the first detailed analysis of how intelligence professionals view their role, what they feel keeps them honest, and how far external overseers impact on their work Moving beyond the conventional focus on oversight, the book examines how accountability works in the day to day lives of these organizations, and considers the impact of technological and social changes, such as artificial intelligence and social media. The UK is a useful case study as it is an important actor in global intelligence, gathering material that helps inform global decisions on such issues as nuclear proliferation, terrorism, transnational crime, and breaches of international humanitarian law. On the flip side, the UK was a major contributor to the intelligence failures leading to the Iraq war in 2003, and its agencies were complicit in the widely discredited U.S. practices of torture and “rendition” of terrorism suspects. UK agencies have come under greater scrutiny since those actions, but it is clear that problems remain. The book concludes with a series of suggestions for improvement, including the creation of intelligence ethics committees, allowing the public more input into intelligence decisions. The issues explored in this book have important implications for researchers, intelligence professionals, overseers, and the public when it comes to understanding and scrutinizing intelligence practice.

Problem of Secret Intelligence

Hatlebrekke Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke
Problem of Secret Intelligence Book PDF

Author : Hatlebrekke Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke
Publisher : Edinburgh University Press
Page : 333 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2019-05-03
Category : History
ISBN : 9780748691852

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Problem of Secret Intelligence by Hatlebrekke Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke Pdf

What is intelligence - why is it so hard to define, and why is there no systematic theory of intelligence? Classic intelligence analysis is based on an inference between history and the future - and this has led to a restriction in how we can perceive new threats, and new variations of threats. Now, Kjetil Anders Hatlebrekke rethinks intelligence analysis, arguing that good intelligence is based on understanding the threats that appear beyond our experience, and are therefore the most dangerous to society.